Raízen S.A.

BOVESPA:RAIZ4 Lagerbericht

Marktkapitalisierung: R$4.9b

Raízen Zukünftiges Wachstum

Future Kriterienprüfungen 3/6

Raízen wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 140.2% bzw. 4.1% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 135.7% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich -6.3% betragen.

Wichtige Informationen

140.2%

Wachstumsrate der Gewinne

135.67%

EPS-Wachstumsrate

Specialty Retail Gewinnwachstum26.8%
Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen4.1%
Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite-6.28%
Analystenabdeckung

Good

Zuletzt aktualisiert21 Apr 2026

Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum

Recent updates

RAIZ4: Index Removals And Argentine Asset Sale Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Raízen to R$2.84, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. These changes keep their fair value view broadly in line with prior estimates.

RAIZ4: Argentine Asset Sale Prospects Will Drive Future Undervalued Upside

Raízen's updated analyst price target has shifted to reflect changes in estimated fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a higher future P/E assumption. Analysts point to these revised inputs as the key drivers of their refreshed outlook in R$ terms.

RAIZ4: Index Removals And Argentina Asset Sale Prospects Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their Raízen price target to R$1.24 from R$1.58, reflecting updated assumptions around slightly higher revenue growth, a modestly lower fair value estimate, a small change in discount rate, a slightly softer profit margin outlook, and a reduced future P/E of 63.19x versus 80.35x previously. What's in the News Raízen has been dropped from the S&P Global BMI Index, removing the stock from a broad global benchmark followed by many institutional investors (Index constituent change).

RAIZ4: Index Removals And Asset Sale Talks Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Raízen to R$1.58 from R$1.83, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E that they see as better aligned with the company’s current outlook. What's in the News Raízen has been removed from the Brazil IBRX Index, reducing its presence in a broad benchmark followed by local equity investors (index announcement).

RAIZ4: Potential Argentine Asset Sale Will Support Future Undervalued Upside

Analysts have trimmed their Raízen price target from R$4.19 to R$3.94, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Mercuria Energy Group is reported to be moving closer to acquiring a refinery and hundreds of fuel retail stations in Argentina from Raízen, with sources indicating negotiations have advanced significantly and a potential deal value expected to exceed US$1b, although no binding agreement has been signed and the deal could still fall through (sources familiar with the talks).

RAIZ4: Potential Argentine Asset Sale Will Support Stronger Long Term Repricing

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Raízen from R$1.25 to R$1.75 per share, citing updates to discount rate assumptions, slightly softer revenue growth and margin expectations, and a lower expected future P/E multiple. What's in the News Mercuria Energy Group is reported to be moving closer to acquiring a refinery and hundreds of fuel retail stations in Argentina from Raízen, although sources say the deal still carries execution risk and may take weeks to sign, if it proceeds at all (Bloomberg, sources familiar with the talks).

RAIZ4: Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Raízen from R$1.92 to R$1.83 as updated assumptions for a lower discount rate, higher revenue growth, a much thinner profit margin, and a substantially higher future P/E are reflected in their models. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed slightly from R$1.92 to R$1.83 per share.

RAIZ4: Higher Margins And Lower Future P/E Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged their price target on Raízen slightly lower, trimming it by a small amount in currency terms as they factor in modestly higher projected profit margins alongside a slightly reduced future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Model fair value per share is unchanged at 1.91923.

RAIZ4: Higher Revenue Assumptions And P/E Rerating Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Raízen, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth at 80.27% and a future P/E of 2.99. Together, these factors imply a recalibration of expected cash flows and valuation in currency terms.

RAIZ4: Exit From Joint Venture Will Drive Renewed Focus And Upside

Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their price target on Raízen slightly, reducing fair value from approximately $1.98 to $1.92. They are factoring in a higher discount rate and more moderate revenue growth assumptions, partly offset by a marginally stronger profit margin outlook and a modestly lower future P/E multiple.

RAIZ4: Exit From Joint Venture Will Drive Renewed Focus And Upside

Raízen’s analyst price target has been modestly adjusted upward to $1.98. Analysts cite incremental changes in profitability and underlying risk assumptions as the key drivers behind the revised valuation.

RAIZ4: Revenue Momentum And Index Shift Will Drive Further Upside

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Raízen, citing improved revenue growth expectations. However, this is offset by a higher discount rate and marginally lower profit margin forecasts.

RAIZ4: Lower Discount Rate And Asset Reshuffle Will Unlock Future Upside

Analysts have revised Raízen's fair value estimate downward by approximately R$0.18. They cite updated projections for revenue growth and a reduced discount rate in their latest evaluation.

Efficient Operations And Second Generation Ethanol Will Advance Biofuels

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Raízen to R$2.16 from R$2.20, citing minor adjustments in profit margin and forward price-to-earnings estimates. Overall growth projections remain steady.

Efficient Operations And Second Generation Ethanol Will Advance Biofuels

Analysts have revised their price target for Raízen downward from $2.38 to $2.20. They cite improved revenue growth and profit margin projections, but also factor in a significantly reduced estimated price-to-earnings ratio for the company's future outlook.

Efficient Operations And Second Generation Ethanol Will Advance Biofuels

Raízen’s fair value estimate has been revised downward, primarily reflecting a moderate contraction in its future P/E multiple while top-line growth expectations remain flat, resulting in a new analyst price target of R$2.40. What's in the News Raízen S.A. added to Brazil Small Cap Index.

Potential Rise In Ethanol Blending Mandates And Efficiency Measures Will Strengthen Future Performance

Despite notable improvements in Raízen's net profit margin and consensus revenue growth forecasts, the consensus Analyst Price Target has been revised downward from R$2.80 to R$2.63. What's in the News Raízen S.A. announced a Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting to be held remotely in Brazil.
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Operational Efficiency, E2G Expansion, And Refinery Modernization To Drive Profitability Growth In Renewable Energy

Raízen's focus on operational efficiency, increasing E2G production, and asset optimization aims to boost revenue, profitability, and margins significantly.

Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen

BOVESPA:RAIZ4 - Zukünftige Analystenschätzungen und Finanzdaten der Vergangenheit (BRL Millions)
DatumUmsatzGewinneFreier CashflowBargeld aus operativen TätigkeitenDurchschn. Anz. Analysten
3/31/2029267,811487-3427,4942
3/31/2028248,076-109006,9757
3/31/2027239,920-1,489-4644,94110
3/31/2026225,490-6,163-7,194-5,8877
12/31/2025232,247-22,257-7,2982,477N/A
9/30/2025238,727-9,293-6,1914,096N/A
6/30/2025251,727-7,153-6,8564,087N/A
3/31/2025255,268-4,257-5,2416,216N/A
12/31/2024251,226-2,5992,53814,620N/A
9/30/2024242,8467713,90416,223N/A
6/30/2024229,3929336,53118,762N/A
3/31/2024220,4545219,34521,421N/A
12/31/2023221,7373,9935,12116,375N/A
9/30/2023223,6143,3884,77815,897N/A
6/30/2023228,3962,5272,10612,905N/A
3/31/2023245,8322,4412,39913,056N/A
12/31/2022244,358962639,634N/A
9/30/2022239,3791,3081548,746N/A
6/30/2022223,4812,9004588,168N/A
3/31/2022191,2703,1497,67113,914N/A
12/31/2021164,2793,3401,1844,777N/A
9/30/2021133,9882,3533582,040N/A
6/30/2021107,9042,1303,6544,413N/A
3/31/202189,4159962,2022,732N/A
12/31/202086,4526902,0862,576N/A
9/30/202088,0681,6612,6703,241N/A
6/30/202091,3721,4471,4172,070N/A
3/31/2020100,9412,0562,6953,449N/A
12/31/2019100,5782,4873,8114,494N/A
9/30/201998,9421,610N/A4,562N/A
6/30/201994,4511,681N/A4,569N/A
3/31/201988,9511,654N/A3,750N/A
12/31/201885,2681,470N/A2,482N/A
9/30/201879,5651,415N/A1,625N/A
6/30/201876,9491,515N/A1,643N/A
3/31/201874,5861,607N/A2,334N/A
12/31/201772,7891,450N/A1,876N/A
9/30/201771,3631,535N/A1,547N/A
6/30/201770,2341,641N/A1,729N/A
3/31/201769,4491,599N/A1,490N/A
12/31/201668,1431,556N/A1,761N/A
9/30/201667,1131,510N/A2,205N/A
6/30/201665,4291,240N/A1,966N/A
3/31/201663,7431,164N/A1,814N/A
12/31/201561,4131,321N/A2,641N/A
9/30/201559,1991,245N/A2,466N/A
6/30/201557,8941,182N/A2,197N/A

Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum

Einkommen vs. Sparrate: RAIZ4 wird in den nächsten 3 Jahren voraussichtlich rentabel werden, was als schnelleres Wachstum als die Sparquote angesehen wird (12.1%).

Ertrag vs. Markt: RAIZ4 wird in den nächsten 3 Jahren voraussichtlich rentabel werden, was als überdurchschnittliches Marktwachstum angesehen wird.

Hohe Wachstumserträge: RAIZ4 wird voraussichtlich in den nächsten 3 Jahren rentabel werden.

Einnahmen vs. Markt: RAIZ4Die Einnahmen des Unternehmens (4.1% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt BR (6.4% pro Jahr).

Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: RAIZ4Die Einnahmen des Unternehmens (4.1% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.


Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie


Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite

Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: RAIZ4 wird voraussichtlich in 3 Jahren unrentabel sein.


Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken

Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status

DatenZuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit)
Unternehmensanalyse2026/05/03 00:27
Aktienkurs zum Tagesende2026/04/30 00:00
Gewinne2025/12/31
Jährliche Einnahmen2025/03/31

Datenquellen

Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.

PaketDatenZeitrahmenBeispiel US-Quelle *
Finanzdaten des Unternehmens10 Jahre
  • Gewinn- und Verlustrechnung
  • Kapitalflussrechnung
  • Bilanz
Konsensschätzungen der Analysten+3 Jahre
  • Finanzielle Vorausschau
  • Kursziele der Analysten
Marktpreise30 Jahre
  • Aktienkurse
  • Dividenden, Splits und Aktionen
Eigentümerschaft10 Jahre
  • Top-Aktionäre
  • Insiderhandel
Verwaltung10 Jahre
  • Das Führungsteam
  • Direktorium
Wichtige Entwicklungen10 Jahre
  • Ankündigungen des Unternehmens

* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.

Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.

Analysemodell und Schneeflocke

Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.

Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.

Metriken für Industrie und Sektor

Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.

Analysten-Quellen

Raízen S.A. wird von 20 Analysten beobachtet. 10 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.

AnalystEinrichtung
Daniel CobucciBB Banco de Investimento S.A.
Isabella SimonatoBofA Global Research
Vicente Falanga NetoBradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários