Vale S.A.

BOVESPA:VALE3 Lagerbericht

Marktkapitalisierung: R$306.0b

Vale Zukünftiges Wachstum

Future Kriterienprüfungen 3/6

Vale wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 21% bzw. 1% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 32.3% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 18.7% betragen.

Wichtige Informationen

21.0%

Wachstumsrate der Gewinne

32.30%

EPS-Wachstumsrate

Metals and Mining Gewinnwachstum24.5%
Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen1.0%
Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite18.65%
Analystenabdeckung

Good

Zuletzt aktualisiert12 Aug 2026

Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum

Recent updates

Narrative-Update • Aug 04

VALE3: Weaker Iron Ore Pricing Will Drive Cautious Future Return Expectations

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Vale to R$65.96 from R$75.65, reflecting updated price targets between R$15 and R$21 and recent research that points to mixed catalysts, more conservative metals pricing assumptions and a lower implied future P/E of about 15.8x versus 20.9x previously. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vale highlights a more cautious tone from several firms.
Narrative-Update • Jul 21

VALE3: Copper Optionality Will Drive Future Returns Over Iron Ore Uncertainty

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Vale to R$87.30 from R$91.61 after a series of recent price target cuts, tied to lower iron ore assumptions, commodity volatility and updated cost forecasts. These changes have led to slightly softer expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples.
Narrative-Update • Jul 07

VALE3: Copper Expansion Will Shape Future Returns Over Iron Ore Risk

Analysts have nudged the implied fair value for Vale higher, with the updated target suggesting a move of roughly R$2 per share as refreshed models factor in revised revenue growth assumptions, fine tuned profit margins, and updated valuation multiples informed by recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vale points to a mix of optimism about the company’s valuation support and growth options, alongside a more cautious read on execution risks and sector exposure.
Narrative-Update • Jun 23

VALE3: Copper Expansion And Updated Models Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have modestly raised their fair value estimate for Vale, with the price target moving higher to reflect updated models that now factor in copper growth and revised assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E, supported by a series of recent price target increases in Brazilian reais from several research firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vale points to a series of upward price target revisions that feed into the higher fair value estimate.
Narrative-Update • Jun 08

VALE3: Copper And Base Metals Execution Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged the updated fair value for Vale slightly lower while raising their overall price targets in the R$18 to R$19.50 range, citing refreshed models that now factor in copper growth and other revisions to company assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a cluster of higher price targets for Vale, with several bullish analysts updating their models and narrowing in on the R$18 to R$19.50 range.
Narrative-Update • May 25

VALE3: Iron Ore Assumptions And Execution Risks Will Shape Balanced Future Returns

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Vale from R$69.39 to R$75.65, citing a series of higher price targets from R$14.80 to R$19.50 issued by major banks and updated models that incorporate revised profit margins and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Vale shows a mix of optimism and caution, with higher targets from some large banks set against a series of downgrades and more restrained views from other bearish analysts.
Narrative-Update • May 05

VALE3: Base Metals Mix And Copper Strength Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have nudged the R$ fair value estimate for Vale higher to R$104.54 from R$101.20. The updated estimate reflects a series of recent price target increases, even as analysts factor in a slightly higher discount rate, more conservative revenue growth, modestly lower profit margins and a higher future P/E assumption.
Narrative-Update • Apr 20

VALE3: Base Metals Strength And Iron Ore Risks Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have slightly lifted the R$ fair value estimate for Vale, reflecting broadly higher Street price targets. These emphasize stronger base metals contributions, a higher assumed future P/E and more cautious views on revenue growth and profit margins.
Narrative-Update • Apr 05

VALE3: Copper Strength And Base Metals Mix Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have slightly reduced the fair value estimate for Vale. The updated price target of R$101.20 reflects a higher discount rate and more conservative revenue growth assumptions, partly offset by a marginally stronger profit margin outlook and a lower future P/E.
Narrative-Update • Mar 22

VALE3: Base Metals And Copper Mix Will Drive Future Returns

Narrative Update on Vale The analyst price target for Vale edges slightly lower in the model, reflecting a marginal trim to fair value to R$88.67. Analysts see the shares more fully reflecting iron ore and base metals assumptions after a series of target increases and recent rating downgrades that emphasize valuation and oversupply risks.
Narrative-Update • Mar 08

VALE3: Base Metals And Copper Shift Will Support Future Returns

Our analyst price target for Vale has been revised higher to R$88.95 from R$80.25, reflecting Street research that has generally nudged targets up on stronger base metals contributions and copper demand, even as analysts flag iron ore price softness, steel demand headwinds, and potential oversupply risks. Analyst Commentary Street research on Vale has turned more mixed recently, with several price target increases sitting alongside fresh rating downgrades.
Narrative-Update • Feb 22

VALE3: Copper And Base Metals Mix Will Drive Future Upside Potential

The updated analyst price target for Vale implies fair value rising from about R$86.67 to roughly R$102.54. Analysts point to stronger margin assumptions, a lower discount rate and a lower future P/E, supported by recent research that highlights higher copper exposure even as iron ore faces potential oversupply risk.
Analyseartikel • Feb 19

There May Be Reason For Hope In Vale's (BVMF:VALE3) Disappointing Earnings

Vale S.A.'s ( BVMF:VALE3 ) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. While the headline numbers were...
Narrative-Update • Feb 07

VALE3: Iron Ore Oversupply And Execution Risks Will Pressure Future Earnings

Our updated analyst price target for Vale edges slightly lower by about $0.65, as analysts balance more constructive assumptions on revenue growth with modestly softer profit margin expectations and a small adjustment in the assumed P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vale has been mixed, with some firms lifting price targets and others sounding more cautious.
Analyseartikel • Jan 30

Returns At Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Appear To Be Weighed Down

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect...
Narrative-Update • Jan 24

VALE3: Iron Ore Oversupply Risk Will Pressure Earnings Power And Sentiment

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Vale from $54.24 to $70.04, reflecting mixed views on iron ore oversupply risk and cost discipline, along with generally higher Street price targets clustered around $12 to $15.50. Analyst Commentary Street research around Vale highlights a split view, with some firms raising price targets on the back of modeling updates and cost control, while bearish analysts flag iron ore market risks and temper expectations for upside.
Narrative-Update • Jan 09

VALE3: Base And Precious Metals Exposure Will Drive Future Upside Potential

The updated analyst price target for Vale implies a fair value move from about $84 to $87, as analysts balance oversupply risks in iron ore with improving views on base and precious metals exposure, alongside a revised future P/E assumption of 13.2x. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vale reflects a split view, with some caution around iron ore oversupply risk and a cluster of more constructive opinions tied to base and precious metals exposure, as well as updated models after recent company results.
Narrative-Update • Dec 25

VALE3: Base Metals Expansion And Cost Discipline Will Drive Balanced Future Returns

Vale's analyst price target has been nudged higher, with fair value estimates rising by about $3.50 per share as analysts factor in slightly stronger long term revenue growth, modestly better margins, and a richer future earnings multiple following a series of recent target hikes from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vale reflects a generally constructive stance, with a clear tilt toward incremental upgrades and higher price targets as analysts recalibrate models following the latest quarterly update.
Narrative-Update • Dec 11

VALE3: Base Metals And Copper Expansion Will Drive Balanced Future Return Potential

The analyst price target for Vale has been nudged higher to about $14.50 per share from roughly $14 previously, as analysts cite updated post Q3 models, improving base metals performance, and constructive views on copper driven by tight supply and stronger precious metal prices. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a broadly constructive tone on Vale, with multiple firms raising price targets as they refresh models following the Q3 report and factor in stronger trends in base and precious metals.
Narrative-Update • Nov 27

VALE3: Base Metals Segment Performance Will Drive 2026 Profitability Upside

Vale’s analyst price target has been raised from $71.08 to $75.14. Analysts cite constructive views following the company's Q3 report, improved Base Metals segment performance, and ongoing cost control as key reasons for the increased valuation.
Narrative-Update • Nov 12

VALE3: Revenue Momentum And Base Metals Performance Will Offset Market Caution

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Vale, raising it by $0.76. This adjustment reflects stronger revenue growth forecasts and improved performance in the Base Metals segment.
Analyseartikel • Nov 08

Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Narrative-Update • Oct 29

Higher Precious Metal Prices Will Drive Earnings Thanks To Copper Supply Disruptions

Vale's analyst price target has been modestly increased, rising from $13.50 to $14. Analysts cite improved profit margins and supportive trends in precious and base metal markets as contributing factors.
Analyseartikel • Oct 21

Return Trends At Vale (BVMF:VALE3) Aren't Appealing

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
Narrative-Update • Oct 14

Bacaba And Voisey's Bay Projects Will Fuel Global Decarbonization Efforts

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Vale from approximately $67.35 to $70.15. This change reflects tempered optimism due to the company's ongoing cost-cutting, gradual copper expansion, and broadly cautious sentiment on iron ore market fundamentals.
Analyseartikel • Oct 02

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Vale S.A.'s (BVMF:VALE3) P/E

It's not a stretch to say that Vale S.A.'s ( BVMF:VALE3 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.6x right now seems...
Narrative-Update • Sep 27

Bacaba And Voisey's Bay Projects Will Fuel Global Decarbonization Efforts

Vale’s consensus price target was modestly raised to R$67.35 as bullish analysts cite resilient iron ore prices and cost reductions, though sentiment is tempered by concerns over China demand, macro headwinds, and regulatory risks. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts note improved conviction in iron ore price resilience and potential for recovery in global steel demand.
Narrative-Update • Sep 05

Bacaba And Voisey's Bay Projects Will Fuel Global Decarbonization Efforts

Vale’s fair value estimate saw a negligible reduction, as consensus revenue growth and discount rate projections remained largely unchanged, resulting in only a minor decrease in the analyst price target from R$67.03 to R$66.11. What's in the News Vale and BHP offered $1.4B to settle a UK class action lawsuit related to the Mariana dam disaster, but claimants’ lawyers are demanding about $3B (Financial Times).
User avatar
Neues Narrative • Nov 07

Iron Ore Strategy And Cost Efficiency To Drive Growth Amidst Legal And Market Challenges

Strategic focus on cost efficiency and premium iron ore could enhance margins and market competitiveness.

Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen

BOVESPA:VALE3 - Zukünftige Analystenschätzungen und Finanzdaten der Vergangenheit (BRL Millions)
DatumUmsatzGewinneFreier CashflowBargeld aus operativen TätigkeitenDurchschn. Anz. Analysten
12/31/2028219,25142,02832,31455,32019
12/31/2027214,01641,41124,01447,18821
12/31/2026213,78540,86323,24946,37021
6/30/2026218,06910,36918,75150,599N/A
3/31/2026214,86415,60316,54248,816N/A
12/31/2025213,59513,81415,37548,765N/A
9/30/2025213,32030,18516,08151,126N/A
6/30/2025209,59728,95411,23446,544N/A
3/31/2025211,52531,4656,55142,103N/A
12/31/2024206,00531,59215,10150,199N/A
9/30/2024211,10948,25124,98156,702N/A
6/30/2024210,09348,72930,18061,642N/A
3/31/2024206,11638,71034,27364,753N/A
12/31/2023208,06639,94036,45965,905N/A
9/30/2023206,29647,51723,55452,283N/A
6/30/2023206,41456,93927,33255,025N/A
3/31/2023213,63072,58735,30863,400N/A
12/31/2022226,50886,10630,01758,201N/A
9/30/2022237,09596,96033,23158,698N/A
6/30/2022249,433101,48960,75489,169N/A
3/31/2022281,451124,56984,349112,232N/A
12/31/2021293,524133,712109,465136,766N/A
9/30/2021296,709116,999133,655161,108N/A
6/30/2021290,197104,799116,684139,427N/A
3/31/2021243,63966,78783,680105,783N/A
12/31/2020206,09835,58853,48875,208N/A
9/30/2020170,61015,48030,62651,578N/A
6/30/2020153,3686,40722,41842,221N/A
3/31/2020148,939734N/A46,755N/A
12/31/2019144,6353,959N/A47,282N/A
9/30/2019145,07614,222N/A48,403N/A
6/30/2019142,27413,433N/A47,588N/A
3/31/2019137,50314,162N/A49,090N/A
12/31/2018134,48325,967N/A47,799N/A
9/30/2018126,85515,618N/A47,442N/A
6/30/2018117,59317,354N/A39,562N/A
3/31/2018109,72217,467N/A37,582N/A
12/31/2017108,53220,235N/A39,154N/A
9/30/2017109,35721,669N/A36,743N/A
6/30/2017102,58816,136N/A36,988N/A
3/31/2017100,80119,335N/A33,297N/A
12/31/201694,63317,470N/A21,635N/A
9/30/201679,220-20,596N/A18,235N/A
6/30/201680,739-29,215N/A16,376N/A
3/31/201680,604-27,729N/A11,999N/A
12/31/201578,057-43,553N/A15,719N/A
9/30/201585,970-15,819N/A13,380N/A

Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum

Einkommen vs. Sparrate: VALE3Das prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (21% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (12.6%).

Ertrag vs. Markt: VALE3Die Erträge des Unternehmens (21% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als der Markt BR (12.2% pro Jahr).

Hohe Wachstumserträge: VALE3Es wird erwartet, dass die Erträge des Unternehmens in den nächsten 3 Jahren erheblich steigen werden.

Einnahmen vs. Markt: VALE3Die Einnahmen des Unternehmens (1% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt BR (6.8% pro Jahr).

Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: VALE3Die Einnahmen des Unternehmens (1% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.

Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie

Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite

Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: VALE3Die Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (18.7%).

Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status

DatenZuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit)
Unternehmensanalyse2026/08/14 06:48
Aktienkurs zum Tagesende2026/08/13 00:00
Gewinne2026/06/30
Jährliche Einnahmen2025/12/31

Datenquellen

Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.

PaketDatenZeitrahmenBeispiel US-Quelle *
Finanzdaten des Unternehmens10 Jahre
  • Gewinn- und Verlustrechnung
  • Kapitalflussrechnung
  • Bilanz
Konsensschätzungen der Analysten+3 Jahre
  • Finanzielle Vorausschau
  • Kursziele der Analysten
Marktpreise30 Jahre
  • Aktienkurse
  • Dividenden, Splits und Aktionen
Eigentümerschaft10 Jahre
  • Top-Aktionäre
  • Insiderhandel
Verwaltung10 Jahre
  • Das Führungsteam
  • Direktorium
Wichtige Entwicklungen10 Jahre
  • Ankündigungen des Unternehmens

* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.

Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.

Analysemodell und Schneeflocke

Details zum Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite; außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Nutzung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf Youtube an.

Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.

Metriken für Industrie und Sektor

Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.

Analysten-Quellen

Vale S.A. wird von 41 Analysten beobachtet. 21 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.

AnalystEinrichtung
Leonardo CorreaBarclays
Amos FletcherBarclays
Mary Cleia da SilvaBB Banco de Investimento S.A.