BHP Group Limited

ASX:BHP Lagerbericht

Marktkapitalisierung: AU$294.4b

BHP Group Zukünftiges Wachstum

Future Kriterienprüfungen 1/6

BHP Group wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 4.6% bzw. 0.5% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 4.6% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 19.3% betragen.

Wichtige Informationen

4.6%

Wachstumsrate der Gewinne

4.64%

EPS-Wachstumsrate

Metals and Mining Gewinnwachstum15.1%
Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen0.5%
Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite19.34%
Analystenabdeckung

Good

Zuletzt aktualisiert07 May 2026

Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum

Recent updates

Analyse-Update May 04

BHP: Commodity Mix And China Ties Will Shape Future Fairly Valued Outlook

BHP Group's analyst price target has moved higher to A$53.40 from A$52.50, as analysts factor in slightly stronger revenue growth assumptions along with a modestly higher future P/E, partly supported by recent target increases from major brokers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BHP Group shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several price target revisions and rating changes reflecting different views on valuation, earnings power and macro exposure.
Analyse-Update Apr 19

BHP: Commodity Mix And China Stabilization Will Shape Future Fairly Valued Outlook

The analyst fair value estimate for BHP Group has shifted slightly lower to A$52.50 from A$53.37, as analysts factor in updated assumptions for higher long term revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin, a slightly higher discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple following a mix of recent price target increases and trims across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on BHP Group has been mixed, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets while more cautious analysts have trimmed theirs or maintained restrained views.
Analyse-Update Apr 05

BHP: Commodity Mix And China Stabilization Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook

The analyst fair value estimate for BHP Group has increased modestly to A$53.37 from A$52.50, reflecting updated assumptions about slightly stronger revenue growth and a refreshed set of mixed but generally constructive price targets from recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BHP Group shows a mix of optimism on long term prospects and caution around valuation and execution risks, which helps explain the modest adjustment in the fair value estimate.
Analyse-Update Mar 22

BHP: Commodity Cycles And China Recovery Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook

Analysts have adjusted the BHP Group fair value estimate slightly higher to A$52.50. This reflects refreshed price targets that balance updated revenue and margin assumptions with mixed views on commodity exposure and valuation.
Neue Analyse Mar 21

BHP’s value is durability today (iron ore) and optionality tomorrow (copper + potash). Execution and macro demand are the swing factors.

Catalysts 1) Copper demand: electrification + AI-driven power infrastructure The market often frames copper as an “energy transition” commodity, but I see incremental demand coming from AI/data-center power density and grid capex (transmission, distribution, redundancy). This supports a structurally tighter copper market over time.
Analyse-Update Mar 05

BHP: Commodity Cycles And China Recovery Will Shape Future Returns

The analyst fair value estimate for BHP Group has been adjusted slightly higher to A$51.98 from A$51.72. This change reflects a series of recent price target increases across the Street as analysts factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, margins and valuation multiples.
Analyse-Update Feb 19

BHP: Commodity Cycles And Mega Deals Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have lifted their BHP Group price target by A$3.54. The change is supported by model updates that incorporate a higher fair value estimate, a small adjustment to the discount rate, a slightly lower revenue growth assumption, a modestly higher profit margin, and a marginally higher future P/E multiple.
Neue Analyse Feb 18

Copper And Potash Expansion Will Expose Long Term Earnings And Margin Vulnerabilities

Catalysts About BHP Group BHP Group is a diversified mining company with large operations in copper, iron ore, steelmaking coal, uranium, gold and potash. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Analyse-Update Feb 05

BHP: Commodity Cycles Legal Risks And Mega Deals Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts nudged their BHP Group price targets higher, with the modelled fair value moving from about A$48.99 to A$48.17 as they factored in updated revenue growth, profit margin, P/E and discount rate assumptions aligned with the latest Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around BHP Group has been relatively limited in volume, but the available signals point to modest valuation adjustments rather than wholesale changes in conviction.
Analyse-Update Jan 22

BHP: Commodity Cycles Legal Risks And Copper Exposure Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for BHP Group from $44.58 to $49.00, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that align with the recent price target increase of 100 GBp reported in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BHP Group has focused on aligning price targets and fair value estimates with updated assumptions for revenue, margins and future P/E multiples, with JPMorgan lifting its price target by 100 GBp. Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the higher price target and fair value estimate as consistent with updated revenue and margin assumptions, which they view as better reflecting BHP Group's current earnings power.
Analyse-Update Jan 07

BHP: Commodity Cycles Legal Liabilities And Copper Projects Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts have trimmed their price target on BHP Group to £21.00 from £22.00, reflecting slightly updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, while maintaining a neutral overall stance. Analyst Commentary Recent research on BHP Group has focused on fine tuning valuation assumptions rather than shifting the overall stance, with the latest move being a trim in the price target while keeping a neutral rating.
Analyse-Update Dec 14

BHP: Commodity Cycles And Legal Liabilities Will Shape Future Performance Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on BHP Group slightly, from 2,200 GBp to 2,100 GBp, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate and only incremental changes to long term revenue growth, margins, and valuation assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research suggests that sentiment on BHP Group is balanced, with the latest adjustment to the price target framed more as a fine tuning of assumptions than a fundamental change in outlook.
Analyse-Update Nov 30

BHP: Sector Volatility And Legal Risks Will Influence Performance Outlook

Analysts have slightly increased their target fair value for BHP Group, raising it from $44.73 to $45.21. They cite modest improvements in projected revenue growth and valuation outlook as the reasons for this adjustment.
Analyse-Update Nov 16

BHP: Mixed Market Signals And Legal Headwinds Will Shape Near-Term Performance

BHP Group’s analyst fair value target has increased modestly from $43.95 to $44.73. Analysts are factoring in revised financial assumptions and recent price target adjustments, despite mixed short-term sentiment.
Analyse-Update Nov 01

BHP: Earnings Outlook Will Balance Inflation Risks And China Demand Uncertainty

BHP Group’s analyst price target was recently lowered by £1.00 to £21.00 per share. Analysts cite softer assumptions for profit margin and revenue growth as factors contributing to their revised outlook.
Analyse-Update Oct 17

Global Decarbonization And Asia Demand Will Underpin Durable Metals Performance

BHP Group's analyst price target has been raised from 2,160 GBp to 2,200 GBp. Analysts cite improvements in projected profit margins and a more favorable revenue outlook as supporting factors for a higher valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity on BHP Group reflects a mix of renewed optimism and lingering caution regarding the company's outlook, following updated earnings and operational guidance.
Analyseartikel Oct 16

It's Unlikely That BHP Group Limited's (ASX:BHP) CEO Will See A Huge Pay Rise This Year

Key Insights BHP Group will host its Annual General Meeting on 23rd of October CEO Mike Henry's total compensation...
Analyse-Update Oct 03

Global Decarbonization And Asia Demand Will Underpin Durable Metals Performance

The analyst price target for BHP Group has been raised from A$42.33 to A$43.51, as analysts cite resilient financial performance and a stable margin outlook despite ongoing cost pressures. Analyst Commentary Recent reports reflect a mix of optimism and caution among analysts covering BHP Group.
Analyse-Update Sep 17

Global Decarbonization And Asia Demand Will Underpin Durable Metals Performance

BHP Group's consensus price target was trimmed to A$42.33 as analysts cite valuation concerns amid reduced free cash flow yields, persistent cost pressures, and project execution risks, with the revision reflecting a more cautious outlook despite recent strong results. Analyst Commentary Mixed analyst sentiment with several downgrades to Neutral/Market Perform, citing valuation concerns after the recent share rally and reduced free cash flow yields.
Analyse-Update Aug 27

Expanding Copper Production And Potash Entry Will Diversify Portfolio, But Analysts Forecast Earnings Decline

Consensus analyst reasoning reflects cautious optimism for BHP Group, as improved underlying fiscal results and modest upgrades to revenue forecasts are tempered by ongoing execution risks, cost inflation, and less compelling valuation following a share price rally—resulting in a moderate increase in the analyst price target from A$41.44 to A$42.94. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts pointed to execution risk related to significant cost overruns (“cost blow out”) at Jansen Stage 1, weighing on future outlook.
Analyseartikel Jun 02

An Intrinsic Calculation For BHP Group Limited (ASX:BHP) Suggests It's 40% Undervalued

Key Insights The projected fair value for BHP Group is AU$62.61 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...
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Neue Analyse Feb 11

Focus On Copper And Potash Expansion Will Shape Future Success

BHP's strategic investments in copper and potash aim to align with long-term demand trends, potentially boosting future revenue growth.
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Neue Analyse Jan 30

Upcoming Potash And Copper Projects Will Strengthen Global Market Position

BHP's investments in potash and copper, combined with operational excellence, promise long-term revenue and margin growth through strategic developments and increasing global demand.

Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen

ASX:BHP - Zukünftige Analystenschätzungen und Finanzdaten der Vergangenheit (USD Millions)
DatumUmsatzGewinneFreier CashflowBargeld aus operativen TätigkeitenDurchschn. Anz. Analysten
6/30/202855,35612,66512,06020,66317
6/30/202755,96512,99610,83220,55119
6/30/202656,78012,44510,58020,66819
12/31/202553,98810,2439,89519,747N/A
9/30/202552,6259,6319,39719,220N/A
6/30/202551,2629,0198,89818,692N/A
3/31/202552,43210,2039,63119,395N/A
12/31/202453,60211,38610,36420,098N/A
9/30/202454,6309,64210,87820,382N/A
6/30/202455,6587,89711,39220,665N/A
3/31/202455,3627,64411,70420,740N/A
12/31/202355,0657,39112,01520,815N/A
9/30/202354,44110,15611,81719,758N/A
6/30/202353,81712,92111,61818,701N/A
3/31/202356,87815,57615,51322,184N/A
12/31/202260,56418,23119,40725,667N/A
9/30/202262,98819,23822,73528,921N/A
6/30/202265,09820,24526,06332,174N/A
3/31/202264,65718,08925,72231,658N/A
12/31/202163,90315,93225,38131,142N/A
9/30/202160,57913,73123,40629,188N/A
6/30/202157,25511,52921,43027,234N/A
3/31/202147,0339,23517,62222,434N/A
12/31/202044,9507,15610,86717,633N/A
9/30/202044,0877,5569,46716,670N/A
6/30/202039,1537,8489,53915,706N/A
3/31/202044,8128,7049,12316,873N/A
12/31/201945,8329,45210,17918,039N/A
9/30/201945,0609,047N/A17,955N/A
6/30/201944,5728,641N/A17,871N/A
3/31/201943,7128,739N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201843,6498,836N/A18,392N/A
9/30/201843,5187,731N/A18,427N/A
6/30/201843,1296,626N/A18,461N/A
3/31/201842,0725,580N/A17,456N/A
12/31/201737,6875,005N/A16,450N/A
9/30/201737,0165,684N/A16,627N/A
6/30/201735,9476,362N/A16,804N/A
3/31/201736,6824,189N/A14,933N/A
12/31/201634,6982,488N/A13,062N/A
9/30/201633,027-1,948N/A11,844N/A
6/30/201629,005-490N/A10,625N/A
3/31/201633,653-6,248N/A12,379N/A
12/31/201535,936-6,111N/A14,133N/A
9/30/201540,527-1,344N/A16,715N/A
6/30/201545,1243,422N/A19,296N/A

Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum

Einkommen vs. Sparrate: BHPDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (4.6% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.6%).

Ertrag vs. Markt: BHPDie Erträge des Unternehmens (4.6% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt Australian (12% pro Jahr).

Hohe Wachstumserträge: BHPDie Erträge des Unternehmens werden voraussichtlich steigen, jedoch nicht deutlich.

Einnahmen vs. Markt: BHPDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (0.5% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt Australian (6.4% pro Jahr).

Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: BHPDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (0.5% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.


Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie


Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite

Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: BHPDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (19.3%).


Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken

Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status

DatenZuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit)
Unternehmensanalyse2026/05/08 06:20
Aktienkurs zum Tagesende2026/05/08 00:00
Gewinne2025/12/31
Jährliche Einnahmen2025/06/30

Datenquellen

Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.

PaketDatenZeitrahmenBeispiel US-Quelle *
Finanzdaten des Unternehmens10 Jahre
  • Gewinn- und Verlustrechnung
  • Kapitalflussrechnung
  • Bilanz
Konsensschätzungen der Analysten+3 Jahre
  • Finanzielle Vorausschau
  • Kursziele der Analysten
Marktpreise30 Jahre
  • Aktienkurse
  • Dividenden, Splits und Aktionen
Eigentümerschaft10 Jahre
  • Top-Aktionäre
  • Insiderhandel
Verwaltung10 Jahre
  • Das Führungsteam
  • Direktorium
Wichtige Entwicklungen10 Jahre
  • Ankündigungen des Unternehmens

* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.

Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.

Analysemodell und Schneeflocke

Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.

Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.

Metriken für Industrie und Sektor

Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.

Analysten-Quellen

BHP Group Limited wird von 60 Analysten beobachtet. 19 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.

AnalystEinrichtung
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Ayan GhoshAvior Capital Markets
Caroline LearmonthBarclays