Yara International ASA

OB:YAR Stock Report

Market Cap: NOK 89.2b

Yara International Valuation

Is YAR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YAR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: YAR (NOK350.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NOK548.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: YAR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YAR?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

YAR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.3x
PEG Ratio1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does YAR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for YAR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.6x
BRG Borregaard
24.4x16.1%NOK 19.6b
FMC FMC
5.5x-18.5%US$8.0b
MOS Mosaic
35.1x30.3%US$8.6b
600426 Shandong Hualu-Hengsheng Chemical
13.6x16.8%CN¥55.6b
YAR Yara International
31.8x33.3%NOK 89.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YAR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.8x) compared to the peer average (19.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does YAR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a38.6%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a38.6%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YAR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.8x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (18.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YAR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YAR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.8x
Fair PE Ratio22.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: YAR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst YAR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNOK 350.10
NOK 347.40
-0.8%
14.7%NOK 435.00NOK 280.00n/a17
Sep ’25NOK 308.80
NOK 346.67
+12.3%
15.0%NOK 435.00NOK 270.00n/a17
Aug ’25NOK 306.40
NOK 352.04
+14.9%
15.6%NOK 435.00NOK 270.00n/a17
Jul ’25NOK 307.10
NOK 352.10
+14.7%
16.4%NOK 435.00NOK 270.00n/a17
Jun ’25NOK 324.90
NOK 354.78
+9.2%
15.8%NOK 435.00NOK 270.00n/a17
May ’25NOK 317.50
NOK 370.87
+16.8%
14.6%NOK 448.73NOK 280.00n/a17
Apr ’25NOK 342.90
NOK 381.12
+11.1%
11.7%NOK 439.06NOK 300.00n/a17
Mar ’25NOK 342.30
NOK 386.17
+12.8%
11.6%NOK 435.00NOK 300.00n/a17
Feb ’25NOK 351.60
NOK 385.36
+9.6%
14.5%NOK 460.00NOK 260.00n/a16
Jan ’25NOK 361.20
NOK 397.64
+10.1%
13.3%NOK 475.00NOK 300.00n/a16
Dec ’24NOK 362.60
NOK 399.58
+10.2%
13.4%NOK 475.00NOK 300.00n/a16
Nov ’24NOK 363.20
NOK 402.89
+10.9%
12.8%NOK 475.00NOK 320.00n/a16
Oct ’24NOK 405.30
NOK 416.05
+2.7%
13.1%NOK 505.00NOK 320.00NOK 337.6017
Sep ’24NOK 387.60
NOK 412.50
+6.4%
13.4%NOK 505.00NOK 320.00NOK 308.8018
Aug ’24NOK 412.30
NOK 411.41
-0.2%
13.2%NOK 505.00NOK 320.00NOK 306.4018
Jul ’24NOK 379.00
NOK 433.29
+14.3%
13.2%NOK 520.00NOK 330.00NOK 307.1018
Jun ’24NOK 412.70
NOK 441.76
+7.0%
12.8%NOK 525.00NOK 350.00NOK 324.9018
May ’24NOK 428.80
NOK 456.59
+6.5%
13.4%NOK 540.00NOK 360.00NOK 317.5018
Apr ’24NOK 453.90
NOK 472.10
+4.0%
12.4%NOK 550.00NOK 360.00NOK 342.9018
Mar ’24NOK 491.80
NOK 484.51
-1.5%
11.2%NOK 550.00NOK 360.00NOK 342.3017
Feb ’24NOK 443.10
NOK 476.09
+7.4%
10.5%NOK 560.00NOK 380.00NOK 351.6017
Jan ’24NOK 430.60
NOK 475.12
+10.3%
11.4%NOK 560.00NOK 380.00NOK 361.2017
Dec ’23NOK 449.70
NOK 477.25
+6.1%
11.8%NOK 560.00NOK 380.00NOK 362.6017
Nov ’23NOK 462.20
NOK 478.73
+3.6%
11.4%NOK 560.00NOK 380.00NOK 363.2017
Oct ’23NOK 383.30
NOK 483.06
+26.0%
13.5%NOK 575.00NOK 350.00NOK 405.3017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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