AerCap Holdings Future Growth
Future criteria checks 0/6
AerCap Holdings's earnings are forecast to decline at 4.5% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 1.9% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 1.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13.8% in 3 years.
Key information
-4.5%
Earnings growth rate
-1.5%
EPS growth rate
| Trade Distributors earnings growth | 10.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | 1.9% |
| Future return on equity | 13.8% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 01 May 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
AerCap Holdings N.V. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
May 03
AerCap: An Excellent Stock To Buy
May 01Insufficient Growth At AerCap Holdings N.V. (NYSE:AER) Hampers Share Price
Mar 21AerCap: Key Developments In 2024 Annual Report
Mar 18AerCap To Fly To New Heights: Q4 Earnings Fuel A Bullish 2025 Takeoff
Mar 06AerCap: A Solid Growth Opportunity With Growing Dividends
Feb 26AerCap Set To Fly Higher In 2025
Feb 06When Should You Buy AerCap Holdings N.V. (NYSE:AER)?
Jan 09AerCap Holdings: A Financial Company That Flies
Jan 07Investors Don't See Light At End Of AerCap Holdings N.V.'s (NYSE:AER) Tunnel
Dec 18Is AerCap Holdings (NYSE:AER) A Risky Investment?
Nov 27Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For AerCap Holdings (NYSE:AER)
Nov 06AerCap Stock Still Scores A Strong Buy Rating
Oct 31We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And AerCap Holdings (NYSE:AER) Passed With Ease
Sep 26AerCap: The Buy Thesis Strengthens On New Share Repurchase Program
Sep 20AerCap: The World's Biggest Airplane Company You've Never Heard Of
Sep 10Little Excitement Around AerCap Holdings N.V.'s (NYSE:AER) Earnings
Sep 08AerCap Holdings (NYSE:AER) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Aug 21
Aviation Leader's Strategy For Growth Amidst Market Challenges Promises Bright Horizons
Aug 21 AerCap's efficient operations and strong demand for its assets indicate potential for future revenue growth through operational efficiency and market demand.AerCap Holdings: This Industry Leader Is A Buy Trading Below Book Value
Aug 05Is It Too Late To Consider Buying AerCap Holdings N.V. (NYSE:AER)?
Jul 15Investors Aren't Buying AerCap Holdings N.V.'s (NYSE:AER) Earnings
Jun 08AerCap: High Capex And Loan Refinancing Threatens Future Buybacks
May 30AerCap Investor Day Takeaways And Updated SOTP
May 13AerCap Holdings: Hitting Cruising Altitude
May 02AerCap: Great Year, But Fair Value In Sight (Rating Downgrade)
Mar 04AerCap Share Price Could Potentially Go Higher
Feb 21AerCap: A Quality Compounder Trading Below Fair Value
Jan 02AerCap Holdings: 4 Hidden Factors Why True Tangible Value Is $123 Per Share
Dec 08AerCap Holdings: Going Private In Slow Motion
Nov 20AerCap: Strong Q3 Results And Potential Insurance Claims Make For A Compelling Opportunity
Oct 28AerCap: Size Up As General Electric Sells Down
Sep 25AerCap's Repurchase Playbook With GE Is A Piece Of Art
Sep 13AerCap Stock: Strong Buy On Russia News
Sep 07AerCap: Buy Your Own Airplane And Collect Cash
Aug 02Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 8,489 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3 |
| 12/31/2026 | 8,296 | 1,967 | -280 | 5,280 | 7 |
| 12/31/2025 | 8,134 | 1,959 | 370 | 5,390 | 6 |
| 3/31/2025 | 8,056 | 2,137 | -2,090 | 5,396 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 7,997 | 2,099 | -1,180 | 5,437 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 7,817 | 2,533 | -1,017 | 5,552 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 7,761 | 3,263 | -918 | 5,489 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 7,733 | 3,308 | -849 | 5,274 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 7,580 | 3,136 | -971 | 5,261 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 7,481 | 2,525 | -185 | 5,412 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 7,284 | 1,860 | 12 | 5,219 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 6,991 | 1,707 | 644 | 5,198 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 7,014 | -726 | 1,299 | 5,171 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 6,558 | -1,132 | 1,452 | 5,355 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 5,876 | -1,138 | 1,998 | 5,031 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,284 | -1,228 | 1,872 | 4,630 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 4,589 | 1,001 | 1,904 | 3,694 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 4,178 | 940 | 1,485 | 2,612 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 4,193 | -344 | 1,564 | 2,365 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,351 | -347 | 1,039 | 1,902 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,494 | -299 | 947 | 2,130 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 4,719 | -17 | 59 | 2,246 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 4,886 | 1,103 | -1,028 | 2,522 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 4,970 | 1,188 | -1,056 | 2,989 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 4,937 | 1,146 | -1,623 | 3,106 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 4,900 | 1,069 | -2,539 | 3,116 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 4,873 | 1,062 | -2,533 | 3,015 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 4,786 | 984 | -3,066 | 2,848 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 4,800 | 1,016 | N/A | 2,840 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 4,797 | 1,049 | N/A | 2,786 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 4,904 | 1,052 | N/A | 2,887 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 4,973 | 1,080 | N/A | 3,077 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 5,037 | 1,076 | N/A | 3,140 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,057 | 1,175 | N/A | 3,351 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 4,991 | 1,134 | N/A | 3,365 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 4,962 | 1,085 | N/A | 3,344 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 5,043 | 1,047 | N/A | 3,381 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 5,098 | 946 | N/A | 3,400 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 5,213 | 1,014 | N/A | 3,365 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 5,316 | 1,090 | N/A | 3,438 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 5,287 | 1,179 | N/A | 3,360 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 5,242 | 1,213 | N/A | 3,246 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 5,164 | 1,253 | N/A | 3,329 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 4,596 | 1,067 | N/A | 2,919 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 3,572 | 810 | N/A | 2,314 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 2,557 | 578 | N/A | 1,656 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 1,591 | 328 | N/A | 977 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: AER's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.5% per year).
Earnings vs Market: AER's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.5% per year).
High Growth Earnings: AER's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: AER's revenue (1.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.3% per year).
High Growth Revenue: AER's revenue (1.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: AER's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.8%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/05/04 17:17 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/05/02 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
AerCap Holdings N.V. is covered by 27 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jaap Meijer | Arqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L. |
| Terry Ma | Barclays |
| David Fintzen | Barclays |