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Sandfire Resources LimitedASX:SFR Stock Report

Market Cap AU$9.1b
Share Price
AU$19.28
AU$19.05
1.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
1Y64.5%
7D-1.8%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Sandfire Resources Limited

ASX:SFR Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$9.1b

Sandfire Resources (SFR) Stock Overview

A mining company, explores for, evaluates, and develops mineral tenements and projects. More details

SFR fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation1/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance3/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Risk Analysis

No risks detected for SFR from our risk checks.

SFR Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 41 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Sandfire Resources Limited Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Sandfire Resources
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceAU$19.28
52 Week HighAU$21.75
52 Week LowAU$10.11
Beta1.6
1 Month Change7.59%
3 Month Change12.81%
1 Year Change64.51%
3 Year Change220.27%
5 Year Change160.89%
Change since IPO5,832.31%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update May 30

SFR: Fair Outlook Will Rely On Margins And Refined P/E Framework

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Sandfire Resources from A$18.79 to A$19.05, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Analysts reviewing Sandfire Resources are focusing on how the updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E feed into the revised fair value estimate of A$19.05.
Narrative Update May 10

SFR: Free Cash Flow Strength And Commodity Decks Will Shape Fair Outlook

Analysts have made a small upward revision to Sandfire Resources' price target, reflecting updated cash flow expectations and refreshed commodity price assumptions. Recent Street research includes moves from A$17.50 to A$18 and from A$19.50 to A$21.
Narrative Update Apr 24

SFR: Free Cash Flow And Commodity Assumptions Will Guide Fair Outcome

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Sandfire Resources by A$0.17 to A$18.81, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, margins and future P/E, following recent research that includes higher Street price targets in the A$18 to A$21 range and continued focus on free cash flow and revised commodity price decks. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to strong free cash flow as a key support for the current valuation, arguing that consistent cash generation offers flexibility for funding projects or strengthening the balance sheet.

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 30

SFR: Fair Outlook Will Rely On Margins And Refined P/E Framework

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Sandfire Resources from A$18.79 to A$19.05, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Analysts reviewing Sandfire Resources are focusing on how the updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E feed into the revised fair value estimate of A$19.05.
Narrative Update May 10

SFR: Free Cash Flow Strength And Commodity Decks Will Shape Fair Outlook

Analysts have made a small upward revision to Sandfire Resources' price target, reflecting updated cash flow expectations and refreshed commodity price assumptions. Recent Street research includes moves from A$17.50 to A$18 and from A$19.50 to A$21.
Narrative Update Apr 24

SFR: Free Cash Flow And Commodity Assumptions Will Guide Fair Outcome

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Sandfire Resources by A$0.17 to A$18.81, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, margins and future P/E, following recent research that includes higher Street price targets in the A$18 to A$21 range and continued focus on free cash flow and revised commodity price decks. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to strong free cash flow as a key support for the current valuation, arguing that consistent cash generation offers flexibility for funding projects or strengthening the balance sheet.
Narrative Update Apr 09

SFR: Free Cash Flow Strength And 2026 Guidance Will Shape Fair Outcome

Analysts have trimmed the blended fair value estimate for Sandfire Resources by about A$0.10 to A$18.98. Recent Street research price target moves to A$18 and A$21 highlight a mix of updated commodity assumptions and views on cash flow strength.
Narrative Update Mar 25

SFR: Free Cash Flow And 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Repricing

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Sandfire Resources slightly to A$19.08 from A$18.99, citing updated commodity price assumptions and recent price target moves around A$18 to A$21, which are supported by free cash flow and valuation views. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates offer a mixed but constructive view on Sandfire Resources, with most commentary focused on refreshed commodity price assumptions, free cash flow support and where the shares sit relative to updated price targets.
Narrative Update Mar 10

SFR: Free Cash Flow And 2026 Guidance Will Support Upside Repricing

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Sandfire Resources slightly higher to about A$19.00 per share, reflecting updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, as well as recent price target increases to A$18 and A$21 that highlight ongoing focus on free cash flow and revised commodity price forecasts. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are pointing to strong free cash flow as a key support for their higher fair value assumptions, suggesting the current P/E they are using in models is underpinned by cash generation rather than just sentiment.
Narrative Update Feb 24

SFR: Free Cash Flow And 2026 Output Guidance Will Support Balanced Risk Profile

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Sandfire Resources higher to A$18.99 from A$18.53. This reflects updated views on free cash flow strength and revised commodity price assumptions feeding into revenue growth, margin, discount rate and future P/E inputs.
Narrative Update Feb 09

SFR: Updated Production Outlook And Margins Will Likely Support Balanced Risk Profile

Analysts have nudged their price target for Sandfire Resources higher to A$18.53 from A$18.26, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue, profit margins and a slightly lower expected future P/E multiple. What's in the News Sandfire issued new production guidance for fiscal 2026, with Group copper equivalent (CuEq) output expected in a range of 149 kt to 165 kt.
Narrative Update Jan 26

SFR: Updated Margin And Production Assumptions Will Likely Sustain Balanced Risk Profile

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their price target for Sandfire Resources from A$15.65 to A$18.26, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly revised discount rate and P/E expectations. What's in the News Sandfire Resources issued new production guidance for fiscal 2026, outlining expected Group CuEq production in a range of 149 kt to 165 kt.
Narrative Update Jan 11

SFR: Higher Margin Assumptions Will Likely Sustain Material Downside Risk

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Sandfire Resources to A$15.65 from A$15.30, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has risen slightly from A$15.30 to A$15.65.
Narrative Update Dec 15

SFR: Future Profitability Assumptions Will Likely Expose Downside Risk

Analysts have raised their price target for Sandfire Resources by approximately A$0.64 to A$15.30, citing slightly higher long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has risen slightly from A$14.66 to A$15.30 per share, reflecting a modest uplift in intrinsic valuation.
Narrative Update Dec 01

SFR: Fair Value Will Remain Balanced Despite Marginal Profit Pressure

Analysts have raised their price target for Sandfire Resources slightly, from $14.59 to $14.66, citing modest improvements in projected revenue growth and fair value estimates. Valuation Changes Fair Value has risen slightly from A$14.59 to A$14.66.
Narrative Update Nov 16

SFR: Profit Margin Outlook Will Not Offset Overvaluation Risk

Narrative Update on Sandfire Resources: Analyst Price Target Change Analysts have increased their price target for Sandfire Resources slightly, raising it from $14.53 to $14.59. The change is attributed to improved profit margin forecasts and a modest uptick in fair value, even though revenue growth expectations have been tempered.
Analysis Article Nov 01

An Intrinsic Calculation For Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR) Suggests It's 38% Undervalued

Key Insights Sandfire Resources' estimated fair value is AU$26.11 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...
Narrative Update Nov 01

SFR: Rising Discount Rate May Pressure Price Performance

Analysts have raised Sandfire Resources’ fair value estimate from $13.51 to $14.53 per share, citing improvements in revenue growth and profit margin forecasts as key drivers for the upward revision. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has increased from A$13.51 to A$14.53 per share.
Narrative Update Oct 18

Motheo Copper Mine And MATSA Will Secure Future Supply

Analysts have raised their price target for Sandfire Resources from $12.26 to $13.51. They highlighted improved profit margins and a more favorable long-term outlook as key drivers for the update.
Narrative Update Oct 03

Motheo Copper Mine And MATSA Will Secure Future Supply

Analysts have raised their price target for Sandfire Resources from $11.87 to $12.26 per share. They cite improved revenue growth projections and a higher forecasted fair value for the company.
Narrative Update Sep 04

Motheo Copper Mine And MATSA Will Secure Future Supply

Sandfire Resources’ future P/E has risen sharply while revenue growth forecasts have weakened, suggesting a less favorable earnings outlook, though the consensus price target has only edged up slightly to A$11.87. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Sandfire Resources The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from A$11.69 to A$11.87.
Analysis Article Aug 28

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Sandfire Resources Limited's (ASX:SFR) Revenues Yet

Sandfire Resources Limited's ( ASX:SFR ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.2x might make it look like a strong buy...
User avatar
New Narrative May 11

MATSA And Motheo Production Will Advance Operational Efficiency

Projected production increases and successful cost management at MATSA and Motheo could boost revenue and enhance financial stability.

Shareholder Returns

SFRAU Metals and MiningAU Market
7D-1.8%-3.2%-1.2%
1Y64.5%52.7%0.8%

Return vs Industry: SFR exceeded the Australian Metals and Mining industry which returned 52.7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: SFR exceeded the Australian Market which returned 0.8% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is SFR's price volatile compared to industry and market?
SFR volatility
SFR Average Weekly Movement7.4%
Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement12.2%
Market Average Movement10.2%
10% most volatile stocks in AU Market17.2%
10% least volatile stocks in AU Market4.1%

Stable Share Price: SFR has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.

Volatility Over Time: SFR's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
20031,355Brendan Harriswww.sandfire.com.au

Sandfire Resources Limited, a mining company, explores for, evaluates, and develops mineral tenements and projects. It primarily explores for copper, gold, silver, lead, and zinc deposits. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Sandfire Resources Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do Sandfire Resources's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
SFR fundamental statistics
Market capAU$9.09b
Earnings (TTM)AU$197.03m
Revenue (TTM)AU$1.83b
46.1x
P/E Ratio
5.0x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
SFR income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$1.29b
Cost of RevenueUS$480.56m
Gross ProfitUS$808.14m
Other ExpensesUS$669.33m
EarningsUS$138.81m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

Jul 23, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)0.29
Gross Margin62.71%
Net Profit Margin10.77%
Debt/Equity Ratio6.3%

How did SFR perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/06 04:03
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/05 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Sandfire Resources Limited is covered by 29 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Aryan NoroziBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
April LowisBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Glyn LawcockBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited