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SFR: Future Profitability Assumptions Will Likely Expose Downside Risk

Update shared on 15 Dec 2025

Fair value Increased 4.39%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
85.0%
7D
6.1%

Analysts have raised their price target for Sandfire Resources by approximately A$0.64 to A$15.30, citing slightly higher long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions.

Valuation Changes

  • The fair value estimate has risen slightly from A$14.66 to A$15.30 per share, reflecting a modest uplift in intrinsic valuation.
  • The discount rate has increased marginally from 7.74% to 7.79%, implying a slightly higher required return on equity.
  • Revenue growth has been revised up from 7.94% to 9.02% annually, indicating higher expectations for top line expansion.
  • The net profit margin has edged higher from 22.11% to 22.37%, suggesting a small improvement in long term profitability assumptions.
  • The future P/E multiple has increased modestly from 16.67x to 16.96x, pointing to a slightly higher valuation multiple for projected earnings.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.