Merck Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Merck is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 24.1% and 5.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 23.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 38.7% in 3 years.

Key information

24.1%

Earnings growth rate

23.8%

EPS growth rate

Pharmaceuticals earnings growth	23.9%
Revenue growth rate	5.6%
Future return on equity	38.7%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	31 May 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Merck Stock: Still Discounted To Graham P/E

May 29

Merck & Co., Inc.'s (NYSE:MRK) CEO Compensation Looks Acceptable To Us And Here's Why

May 22

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:MRK - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	72,619	24,789	25,211	26,696	21
12/31/2025	68,543	22,247	23,321	24,632	23
12/31/2024	64,120	19,507	18,477	24,594	23
3/31/2024	61,403	2,306	11,040	14,757	N/A
12/31/2023	60,115	365	9,143	13,006	N/A
9/30/2023	59,315	4,608	13,167	17,190	N/A
6/30/2023	58,311	3,111	10,828	15,075	N/A
3/31/2023	57,869	13,030	11,262	15,673	N/A
12/31/2022	59,283	14,519	14,707	19,095	N/A
9/30/2022	58,974	15,322	15,249	19,696	N/A
6/30/2022	57,169	16,641	14,398	18,891	N/A
3/31/2022	53,978	13,910	12,870	17,220	N/A
12/31/2021	48,704	12,345	9,661	14,109	N/A
9/30/2021	46,131	5,908	8,401	13,072	N/A
6/30/2021	43,906	3,665	6,953	11,897	N/A
3/31/2021	41,857	4,793	6,659	11,184	N/A
12/31/2020	41,518	4,519	5,812	10,241	N/A
9/30/2020	42,438	9,492	6,906	11,041	N/A
6/30/2020	43,906	9,070	7,996	11,645	N/A
3/31/2020	46,312	9,399	8,947	12,811	N/A
12/31/2019	39,121	5,690	10,071	13,440	N/A
9/30/2019	45,970	9,314	8,973	12,238	N/A
6/30/2019	44,367	9,362	7,846	10,805	N/A
3/31/2019	43,073	8,399	8,343	11,103	N/A
12/31/2018	42,294	6,220	8,307	10,922	N/A
9/30/2018	41,729	3,347	8,948	11,349	N/A
6/30/2018	41,259	1,341	5,196	7,385	N/A
3/31/2018	40,725	1,579	5,321	7,320	N/A
12/31/2017	40,122	2,394	N/A	6,451	N/A
9/30/2017	39,804	2,845	N/A	6,064	N/A
6/30/2017	40,016	5,086	N/A	10,206	N/A
3/31/2017	39,929	4,346	N/A	8,489	N/A
12/31/2016	39,807	3,920	N/A	10,376	N/A
9/30/2016	39,907	5,492	N/A	10,990	N/A
6/30/2016	39,444	5,133	N/A	11,330	N/A
3/31/2016	39,385	4,614	N/A	12,427	N/A
12/31/2015	39,498	4,442	N/A	12,538	N/A
9/30/2015	39,765	10,781	N/A	7,128	N/A
6/30/2015	40,249	9,850	N/A	8,165	N/A
3/31/2015	41,398	11,168	N/A	7,783	N/A
12/31/2014	42,237	11,920	N/A	7,989	N/A
9/30/2014	43,075	5,385	N/A	12,050	N/A
6/30/2014	43,550	5,614	N/A	11,651	N/A
3/31/2014	43,626	4,516	N/A	11,674	N/A
12/31/2013	44,033	4,404	N/A	11,654	N/A
9/30/2013	44,450	4,531	N/A	10,437	N/A
6/30/2013	44,907	5,136	N/A	9,627	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MRK's forecast earnings growth (24.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.4%).

Earnings vs Market: MRK's earnings (24.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MRK's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: MRK's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MRK's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MRK's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (38.7%)

Merck Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Merck & Co., Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for Full-Year 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Recent updates

First quarter dividend of US$0.77 announced

Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE:MRK) entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Eyebiotech Limited for $3 billion.

Merck Declares Dividend for the Third Quarter of 2024, Payable on July 8, 2024

Merck Stock: Still Discounted To Graham P/E

Merck Announces Phase 3 KEYNOTE-522 Trial Met Its Overall Survival (OS) Endpoint in Patients with High-Risk Early-Stage Triple Negative Breast Cancer (TNBC)

Merck & Co., Inc.'s (NYSE:MRK) CEO Compensation Looks Acceptable To Us And Here's Why

Merck Provides Update on Phase 3 KeyVibe-010 Trial Evaluating an Investigational Coformulation of Vibostolimab and Pembrolizumab as Adjuvant Treatment for Patients With Resected High-Risk Melanoma

Merck Provides Update on Phase 3 KEYNOTE-B21 Trial Evaluating KEYTRUDA (pembrolizumab) Plus Chemotherapy

Insider exercised options to buy US$1.8m worth of stock.

Merck Q1: There's Still Room For Growth

Merck Announces Phase 3 KEYNOTE-811 Trial Met Dual Primary Endpoint of Overall Survival as First-Line Treatment in Patients with HER2-Positive Advanced Gastric or Gastroesophageal Junction (GEJ) Adenocarcinoma

Merck & Co., Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for Full-Year 2024

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Merck Earnings Preview: Not Much To Fear, Plenty To Look Forward To

We Think Merck (NYSE:MRK) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Merck Initiates Phase 3 Clinical Trial of MK-1084, an Investigational Oral KRAS G12C Inhibitor, in Combination with KEYTRUDA®? (pembrolizumab) for First-Line Treatment of Certain Patients with Metastatic Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Merck: Better Times Ahead On Approvals And Outlook

European Commission Approves Merck’s Keytruda® (Pembrolizumab) Plus Chemotherapy

Merck's Future Brightens With Winrevair's Blockbuster Potential

Merck Provides Update on Phase 3 Keylynk-006 Trial Evaluating Keytruda® (Pembrolizumab) Plus Maintenance Lynparza® (Olaparib) for Certain Patients with Metastatic Nonsquamous Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Merck Announces Positive Data on V116, Investigational, 21-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine Specifically Designed for Adults, Demonstrated Immune Responses in Adults

Merck Announces its KEYTRUDA Plus Chemoradiotherapy (CRT) Significantly Improved Overall Survival Versus CRT Alone in Patients with Newly Diagnosed High-Risk Locally Advanced Cervical Cancer

Merck Announces Plans to Conduct Clinical Trials of A Novel Investigational Multi-Valent Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Vaccine and Single-Dose Regimen for GARDASIL®9

IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc. Announces Clinical Collaboration to Evaluate Ide161 in Combination with KEYTRUDA (Pembrolizumab) in Patients with Endometrial Cancer

Gilead and Merck Announce Phase 2 Data Showing an Investigational Oral Once-Weekly Combination Regimen of Islatravir and Lenacapavir Maintained Viral Suppression at Week 24

Upcoming dividend of US$0.77 per share

Merck: A High-Conviction Investment For Long-Term Growth

Merck Receives Positive EU CHMP Opinion for KEYTRUDA® (pembrolizumab) in Combination With Chemotherapy as Neoadjuvant Treatment, Then Continued as Monotherapy as Adjuvant Treatment, for the Treatment of Resectable NSCLC at High Risk of Recurrence

Merck & Co., Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 28, 2024

FDA Grants Priority Review to Merck's Application for Keytruda (Pembrolizumab) Plus Chemotherapy as Treatment for Primary Advanced or Recurrent Endometrial Carcinoma

Health Canada Approves Keytruda® in Combination with Trastuzumab and Chemotherapy, as A First-Line Treatment for Patients with Locally Advanced Her2-Positive Gastric or Gastric or Gastroesophageal Junction Adenocarcinoma

Insider notifies of intention to sell stock

Insider exercised options and sold US$1.7m worth of stock

Executive VP & General Counsel recently sold US$3.8m worth of stock

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Merck: Big Pharma Looks Stronger Than Ever Ahead Of 2023 Earnings

Merck Announces Results from the Phase 3 AMBASSADOR (A031501/KeyNOTE-123 Trial Evaluating KEYTRUDA

Third quarter dividend of US$0.77 announced

Is Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE:MRK) Trading At A 47% Discount?

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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