Aris Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Aris Mining is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 91.4% and 18.6% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 73.6% per annum.

Key information

91.4%

Earnings growth rate

73.6%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	32.2%
Revenue growth rate	18.6%
Future return on equity	n/a
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	24 Sep 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Aris Mining Corporation (TSE:ARIS) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Jun 28

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Aris Mining's (TSE:ARIS) Earnings

May 22

Even With A 28% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Aris Mining Corporation's (TSE:ARIS) Performance Completely

Mar 29

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:ARIS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	987	326	340	358	3
12/31/2025	680	153	113	245	3
12/31/2024	506	52	-72	107	3
6/30/2024	466	13	-70	87	N/A
3/31/2024	458	17	-53	84	N/A
12/31/2023	448	11	-16	105	N/A
9/30/2023	426	14	-25	87	N/A
6/30/2023	403	-47	-56	50	N/A
3/31/2023	396	-16	-45	72	N/A
12/31/2022	400	-5	-40	77	N/A
9/30/2022	390	2	-15	91	N/A
6/30/2022	387	76	18	110	N/A
3/31/2022	385	67	19	91	N/A
12/31/2021	383	186	17	81	N/A
9/30/2021	385	143	17	83	N/A
6/30/2021	402	142	59	124	N/A
3/31/2021	376	95	48	118	N/A
12/31/2020	375	-5	64	136	N/A
9/30/2020	364	-117	81	143	N/A
6/30/2020	335	-132	47	105	N/A
3/31/2020	336	-115	68	116	N/A
12/31/2019	313	-131	62	104	N/A
9/30/2019	294	26	53	92	N/A
6/30/2019	278	31	45	82	N/A
3/31/2019	270	-1	51	87	N/A
12/31/2018	257	-3	44	80	N/A
9/30/2018	260	-7	41	74	N/A
6/30/2018	237	-22	34	65	N/A
3/31/2018	224	43	N/A	54	N/A
12/31/2017	206	37	N/A	51	N/A
9/30/2017	186	17	N/A	41	N/A
6/30/2017	194	26	N/A	39	N/A
3/31/2017	187	-8	N/A	36	N/A
12/31/2016	176	4	N/A	33	N/A
9/30/2016	160	0	N/A	33	N/A
6/30/2016	149	-2	N/A	34	N/A
3/31/2016	133	1	N/A	34	N/A
12/31/2015	129	-13	N/A	33	N/A
9/30/2015	130	18	N/A	28	N/A
6/30/2015	124	24	N/A	19	N/A
3/31/2015	127	4	N/A	8	N/A
12/31/2014	123	-3	N/A	10	N/A
9/30/2014	118	-80	N/A	8	N/A
6/30/2014	127	-146	N/A	11	N/A
3/31/2014	137	-185	N/A	16	N/A
12/31/2013	149	-165	N/A	14	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ARIS's forecast earnings growth (91.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.2%).

Earnings vs Market: ARIS's earnings (91.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (14.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ARIS's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ARIS's revenue (18.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ARIS's revenue (18.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if ARIS's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

Aris Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Aris Mining Corporation Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 22%

Aris Mining Corporation Provides Production Guidance for the Full Year 2023

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%, revenue downgraded

Aris Mining Corporation Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2023

Recent updates

Executive Vice President exercised options and sold CA$494k worth of stock

Chief Financial Officer recently bought CA$133k worth of stock

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%

Insider recently sold CA$847k worth of stock

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.038 (vs US$0.061 in 2Q 2023)

Aris Mining Announces High Grade Drill Results from Ongoing 2024 Exploration Drilling Program at its Segovia Operations in Colombia

Aris Mining Corporation to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 13, 2024

Aris Mining Corporation (TSE:ARIS) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Aris Mining Holdings Corp. entered into a binding agreement to acquire Soto Norte Gold project from AUX Colombia Ltda. for approximately $90 million.

Aris Mining Holdings Corp. entered into a binding agreement to acquire Soto Norte Gold project from AUX Colombia Ltda.

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Aris Mining's (TSE:ARIS) Earnings

First quarter 2024 earnings released: US$0.005 loss per share (vs US$0.04 loss in 1Q 2023)

Insider recently bought CA$396k worth of stock

Aris Mining Corporation to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 14, 2024

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Even With A 28% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Aris Mining Corporation's (TSE:ARIS) Performance Completely

Director exercised options to buy CA$533k worth of stock.

Director recently sold CA$537k worth of stock

Director recently sold CA$83k worth of stock

Is Aris Mining (TSE:ARIS) Using Too Much Debt?

Aris Mining Corporation, Annual General Meeting, May 16, 2024

Aris Mining Corporation to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 06, 2024

Aris Mining Corporation Appoints Two Independent Directors

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%

Aris Mining Corporation's (TSE:ARIS) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

Aris Mining Corporation Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2024

Aris Mining Corporation Provides NI 43-101 Technical Report for the Segovia Operations, Antioquia, Colombia

Aris Mining Corporation Announces Updated Mineral Reserve Estimates for Its Segovia Operations in Colombia

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 22%

Aris Mining Corporation Announces Updated Mineral Reserve Estimates for Its Segovia Operations in Colombia

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%

Aris Mining Corporation Provides Production Guidance for the Full Year 2023

Aris Mining Corporation Announces Updated Mineral Resource Estimate for Its Segovia Operations in Colombia Effective September 30, 2023

Aris Mining Corporation to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 08, 2023

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

These 4 Measures Indicate That Aris Mining (TSE:ARIS) Is Using Debt Extensively

Aris Mining Corporation Announces High Grade Drill Results from Ongoing Segovia Operations Exploration Program

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.061 (vs US$0.40 in 2Q 2022)

CEO & Director recently bought CA$403k worth of stock

Is Aris Mining (TSE:ARIS) Using Too Much Debt?

First quarter 2023 earnings released: US$0.04 loss per share (vs US$0.054 profit in 1Q 2022)

Director recently sold CA$275k worth of stock

High number of new and inexperienced directors

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 13%

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Executive Vice President & CFO recently bought CA$77k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%, revenue downgraded

Aris Mining Corporation Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2023

Independent Director recently sold CA$1.6m worth of stock

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Aris Mining Corporation (TSE:ARIS)

Now 21% undervalued

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: US$0.48 loss per share (vs US$0.26 profit in 3Q 2021)

Aris Mining Corporation Updates Mineral Resource and Reserve Estimates and Preliminary Feasibility Study for Marmato Expansion Project

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Aris Mining Corporation Announces the Board of Directors and Leadership Team

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

GCM Mining Corp. (TSX:GCM) completed the acquisition of the remaining 55.7% stake in Aris Gold Corporation.

Is GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Using Too Much Debt?

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.015 per share

GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.015

GCM Mining Declares September 15, 2022 Dividend, Payable on September 15, 2022

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.40 (vs US$0.41 in 2Q 2021)

GCM Mining Corp. Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2022

GCM Mining Corp. (TSX:GCM) entered into a definitive agreement to acquire remaining 55.7% stake in Aris Gold Corporation (TSX:ARIS) for approximately $100 million.

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.015 per share