Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That GCM Mining (TSE:GCM) Is Using Debt Extensively

TSX:ARIS
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that GCM Mining Corp. (TSE:GCM) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for GCM Mining

What Is GCM Mining's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2021 GCM Mining had debt of US$314.3m, up from US$140.2m in one year. But it also has US$323.6m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$9.30m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:GCM Debt to Equity History May 11th 2022

A Look At GCM Mining's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that GCM Mining had liabilities of US$64.3m due within a year, and liabilities of US$455.5m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$323.6m in cash and US$29.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$166.7m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since GCM Mining has a market capitalization of US$343.4m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, GCM Mining boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

But the bad news is that GCM Mining has seen its EBIT plunge 11% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if GCM Mining can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While GCM Mining has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last two years, GCM Mining's free cash flow amounted to 28% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing up

While GCM Mining does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$9.30m. So while GCM Mining does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example GCM Mining has 5 warning signs (and 3 which don't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.