Mizuho Financial Group (8411) Stock Overview
Engages in banking, trust banking, securities, and other businesses related to financial services in Japan, the Americas, Europe, Asia/Oceania, and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 4/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 5/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 3/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
No risks detected for 8411 from our risk checks.
8411 Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 12 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | JP¥8,507.00 |
| 52 Week High | JP¥8,816.00 |
| 52 Week Low | JP¥4,569.00 |
| Beta | 0.38 |
| 1 Month Change | 1.07% |
| 3 Month Change | 21.81% |
| 1 Year Change | 80.77% |
| 3 Year Change | 276.08% |
| 5 Year Change | 434.36% |
| Change since IPO | -2.33% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Aug 03
8411: Buyback Expansion And Higher Margins Will Support Stronger Equity Returns
Mizuho Financial Group’s analyst fair value estimate has shifted from ¥6,540 to ¥9,800. Analysts cite updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E as the basis for this revised price target.
Narrative Update • Jul 20
8411: Share Repurchases And Higher Margins Will Likely Leave Shares Overstretched
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Mizuho Financial Group from ¥4,200 to about ¥5,589, citing updated assumptions that include a lower discount rate, a wider profit margin near 44%, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Mizuho Financial Group has completed a share repurchase of 5,302,700 shares, about 0.22% of its issued share capital, for ¥39,573.65 million under the buyback announced on May 15, 2026.
Narrative Update • Jul 06
8411: Buybacks And Dividend Guidance Will Support A Measured Future Earnings Multiple
Analysts have lifted their price target for Mizuho Financial Group to ¥7,992 from ¥7,831, citing updated assumptions that include a slightly lower discount rate, adjusted revenue growth expectations, a higher profit margin outlook, and a modestly revised future P/E ratio. What’s in the News for Mizuho Financial Group Mizuho Financial Group advanced its Board approved share buyback program, repurchasing 5,302,700 shares, about 0.22% of shares, for ¥39.6b between May 15, 2026 and June 30, 2026, with remaining room under the authorized maximum for further repurchases (The Globe and Mail).Recent updates
Narrative Update • Aug 03
8411: Buyback Expansion And Higher Margins Will Support Stronger Equity Returns
Mizuho Financial Group’s analyst fair value estimate has shifted from ¥6,540 to ¥9,800. Analysts cite updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E as the basis for this revised price target.Narrative Update • Jul 20
8411: Share Repurchases And Higher Margins Will Likely Leave Shares Overstretched
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Mizuho Financial Group from ¥4,200 to about ¥5,589, citing updated assumptions that include a lower discount rate, a wider profit margin near 44%, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Mizuho Financial Group has completed a share repurchase of 5,302,700 shares, about 0.22% of its issued share capital, for ¥39,573.65 million under the buyback announced on May 15, 2026.Narrative Update • Jul 06
8411: Buybacks And Dividend Guidance Will Support A Measured Future Earnings Multiple
Analysts have lifted their price target for Mizuho Financial Group to ¥7,992 from ¥7,831, citing updated assumptions that include a slightly lower discount rate, adjusted revenue growth expectations, a higher profit margin outlook, and a modestly revised future P/E ratio. What’s in the News for Mizuho Financial Group Mizuho Financial Group advanced its Board approved share buyback program, repurchasing 5,302,700 shares, about 0.22% of shares, for ¥39.6b between May 15, 2026 and June 30, 2026, with remaining room under the authorized maximum for further repurchases (The Globe and Mail).Narrative Update • Jun 22
8411: Alliance With Rakuten Bank And Buybacks Will Support Measured Future Earnings Multiple
Analysts have lifted their price target for Mizuho Financial Group from about ¥7,617 to roughly ¥7,831, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations that modestly adjust their valuation model. What's in the News On May 20, Mizuho Financial Group and Rakuten Bank agreed on a capital and business alliance that includes Mizuho Bank acquiring shares in Rakuten Bank and working together on a new credit model that connects large corporate banking expertise with digital retail banking reach.Narrative Update • Jun 07
8411: Share Repurchases And Capital Policy Will Support Measured Future Earnings Multiple
Analysts have inched up their price target for Mizuho Financial Group from about ¥7,615 to roughly ¥7,617, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, while keeping future P/E expectations broadly similar. What's in the News Shareholders who had submitted a proposal on risks tied to the potential consolidation of Orient Corporation withdrew it on May 27, 2026, after Mizuho Bank's shareholding ratio in Orient Corporation changed, and the Board agreed to the withdrawal on May 28, 2026, according to company disclosures.Narrative Update • May 18
8411: Share Repurchases And Capital Policy Will Support Higher Future Earnings Multiple
Analysts have raised their price target for Mizuho Financial Group from ¥7,212.08 to ¥7,615.00, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News Mizuho Financial Group announced a share repurchase program of up to 25,000,000 shares, about 1.03% of issued share capital, for ¥100,000 million.Narrative Update • Apr 26
8411: Ongoing Share Repurchases Will Support Higher Future Earnings Multiple
Analysts now see Mizuho Financial Group’s fair value shifting from ¥6,920 to about ¥7,212, reflecting updated assumptions around modestly higher revenue, slightly stronger profit margins, a small adjustment to the discount rate, and a marginally higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Mizuho Financial Group has been repurchasing shares under its ongoing buyback, acquiring 31,687,600 shares, or 1.28% of shares, for ¥215,514.78 million between January 1, 2026 and March 11, 2026, and has completed a total of 47,016,600 shares, or 1.9%, for ¥299,999.89 million under the program announced on November 14, 2025 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 09
8411: Extended Buybacks And Stable Earnings Outlook Will Support Fair Value
Analysts have kept their ¥6,920 price target for Mizuho Financial Group unchanged, citing only slight refinements in assumptions such as the discount rate and future P/E ratio, rather than any change in the core earnings outlook. What's in the News Mizuho Financial Group completed a share repurchase of 47,016,600 shares, representing 1.9% of shares for ¥299,999.89 million under the buyback program announced on November 14, 2025 (company disclosure).Narrative Update • Mar 26
8411: Extended Buybacks And Earnings Guidance Will Likely Support Fair Value
The analyst price target for Mizuho Financial Group has shifted from about ¥6,753 to ¥6,920, reflecting updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that analysts see as better aligning with their latest valuation work. What's in the News Mizuho Financial Group provided earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, projecting profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥1,130,000 million and earnings per share of common stock of ¥454.39 (company guidance).Narrative Update • Mar 09
8411: Extended Buybacks And Stable Profit Outlook Will Likely Support Fair Value
Analysts now set their price target for Mizuho Financial Group at ¥6,753, up modestly from ¥6,716, citing small adjustments to fair value assumptions, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E inputs. What's in the News Mizuho Financial Group scheduled a board meeting for February 2, 2026 to consider and approve the repurchase of common stock, signaling continued focus on its share repurchase framework (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 23
8411: Buybacks And Modest Profit Outlook Will Likely Support Fairly Priced Shares
Analysts have lifted their price target on Mizuho Financial Group from ¥6,468 to ¥6,716, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that feed into a slightly higher fair value estimate. What's in the News On February 2, 2026, Mizuho Financial Group extended its existing share repurchase plan through March 31, 2026 (company announcement).Narrative Update • Feb 09
8411: Buyback And Dividend Support Will Likely Fail To Offset Valuation Risk
Analysts have lifted their price target for Mizuho Financial Group from ¥6,335 to about ¥6,468, citing updated assumptions that combine a slightly lower discount rate, a higher profit margin of about 36.8%, and a modestly lower future P/E estimate of around 12.2. What's in the News Mizuho Financial Group extended its existing share buyback plan to March 31, 2026, keeping the program in place longer than originally scheduled (company announcement, February 2, 2026). The company issued earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, with profit attributable to owners of parent projected at ¥1,130,000 million and earnings per share of ¥454.39 (corporate guidance, February 2, 2026).Narrative Update • Jan 25
8411: Buyback, Dividend And Updated Guidance Will Support Steady Future Returns
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Mizuho Financial Group from ¥5,751.82 to ¥6,335.00, citing updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that they view as better aligned with current company fundamentals. What's in the News Mizuho Financial Group completed a share repurchase of 15,329,000 shares, representing 0.62% of its shares, for ¥84,485.11 million under the buyback announced on November 14, 2025 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 10
8411: Buyback And Higher Dividend Will Support Steady Longer-Term Shareholder Returns
Analysts have lifted their price target on Mizuho Financial Group to ¥5,751.82 from ¥5,435.45, citing slightly lower assumed revenue declines, a modestly higher profit margin, a small change in the discount rate, and a marginally higher future P/E multiple as key drivers of the update. What's in the News Mizuho Financial Group approved a share repurchase program of up to 60,000,000 shares, or 2.41% of issued share capital, for ¥200,000 million.Narrative Update • Dec 14
8411: Buyback And Higher Dividend Will Support Cautious Longer-Term Returns
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Mizuho Financial Group to approximately ¥5,435 from about ¥5,335, citing slightly lower discount rates, a marginally improved profit margin outlook, and a higher expected future price to earnings multiple. What's in the News Mizuho Financial Group announced a new share repurchase program of up to 60,000,000 shares, or about 2.41% of its issued share capital, for ¥200,000 million, with all repurchased shares to be cancelled and the program running until February 28, 2026 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Nov 28
8411: Share Buybacks And Higher Dividend Will Support A Measured Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target for Mizuho Financial Group from ¥5,232 to ¥5,335. They cite improved revenue growth projections and a slightly lower discount rate as key factors supporting the upward revision.Narrative Update • Nov 14
8411: Share Repurchase Program And Improved Margin Will Support Stable Outlook
Analysts have maintained their price target for Mizuho Financial Group at ¥5,231.82. They noted that minor adjustments in profit margin and growth assumptions balanced each other out, resulting in no overall change to fair value estimates.Narrative Update • Oct 31
8411: Share Buyback And Improved Projections Will Support Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have updated their price target for Mizuho Financial Group, maintaining the fair value estimate at ¥5,231.82. They cite modest improvements in revenue projections and a slightly higher discount rate as reasons for this update.Narrative Update • Oct 17
Calculated Partnerships With Greenhill And Rakuten Propel Growth And Elevate Earnings Potential
Mizuho Financial Group's analyst price target has been increased slightly, rising from ¥5,191.82 to ¥5,231.82. Analysts cite modest improvements in fair value estimates and updated expectations for future earnings multiples as the reasons for this change.Narrative Update • Oct 03
Calculated Partnerships With Greenhill And Rakuten Propel Growth And Elevate Earnings Potential
Analysts have raised their price target for Mizuho Financial Group from ¥5,035 to ¥5,192, citing slightly improved profit margins and revenue growth projections, along with a modest decrease in the discount rate. What's in the News Mizuho Financial Group has completed the repurchase of 23,909,200 shares, representing 0.95 percent of shares, for ¥99,999.72 million under the buyback program announced in May 2025 (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Sep 23
Mizuho Financial Group (TSE:8411) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥72.50
Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. ( TSE:8411 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥72.50 per share on the 8th of...Analysis Article • Sep 09
Mizuho Financial Group (TSE:8411) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥72.50
The board of Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. ( TSE:8411 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 8th of...Narrative Update • Sep 05
Calculated Partnerships With Greenhill And Rakuten Propel Growth And Elevate Earnings Potential
Mizuho Financial Group's slightly higher future P/E indicates modestly increased earnings expectations, while a stable discount rate supports a marginally higher consensus price target, which has edged up from ¥4972 to ¥5035. What's in the News Completed share buyback of 23,909,200 shares (0.95%) for ¥99,999.72 million under May 2025 program.Analysis Article • Aug 25
Mizuho Financial Group (TSE:8411) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥72.50
The board of Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. ( TSE:8411 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥72.50 per share on...
New Narrative • Jan 05
Calculated Partnerships With Greenhill And Rakuten Propel Growth And Elevate Earnings Potential
Strategic acquisitions, partnerships, and cost-cutting initiatives aim to enhance competitive edge, improve efficiency, and expand revenue streams for Mizuho Financial Group.Shareholder Returns
| 8411 | JP Banks | JP Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 0.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% |
| 1Y | 80.8% | 67.6% | 32.5% |
Return vs Industry: 8411 exceeded the JP Banks industry which returned 67.6% over the past year.
Return vs Market: 8411 exceeded the JP Market which returned 32.5% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| 8411 volatility | |
|---|---|
| 8411 Average Weekly Movement | 5.6% |
| Banks Industry Average Movement | 4.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 4.4% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in JP Market | 9.4% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in JP Market | 2.2% |
Stable Share Price: 8411 has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the JP market.
Volatility Over Time: 8411's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1873 | 52,427 | Masahiro Kihara | www.mizuho-fg.co.jp |
Mizuho Financial Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in banking, trust banking, securities, and other businesses related to financial services in Japan, the Americas, Europe, Asia/Oceania, and internationally. The company offers finance solutions, including corporate, syndicated, acquisition, real estate, project, ECA, and other structured finance solutions; financing and advisory solutions for capital markets comprising debt, loan, and equity capital markets; corporate finance advisory services; treasury solutions that include deposit, cash management, and trade finance; and market solutions for foreign exchange, derivatives, futures, equities, and fixed income. It also provides asset management services; research services, such as industry, macroeconomic, equity, and fixed income research; and institutional services, including markets, JPY clearing, custody, fund administration, and securities lending services.
Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| 8411 fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | JP¥20.03t |
| Earnings (TTM) | JP¥1.38t |
| Revenue (TTM) | JP¥4.74t |
15.0x
P/E Ratio1.8x
P/B RatioIs 8411 overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| 8411 income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | JP¥4.74t |
| Cost of Revenue | JP¥0 |
| Gross Profit | JP¥4.74t |
| Other Expenses | JP¥3.36t |
| Earnings | JP¥1.38t |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 568.39 |
| Gross Margin | 100.00% |
| Net Profit Margin | 29.14% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 649.8% |
How did 8411 perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
1.8%
Current Dividend Yield26%
Payout RatioDoes 8411 pay a reliable dividends?
See 8411 dividend history and benchmarks| Mizuho Financial Group dividend dates | |
|---|---|
| Ex Dividend Date | Sep 29 2026 |
| Dividend Pay Date | Dec 07 2026 |
| Days until Ex dividend | 47 days |
| Days until Dividend pay date | 116 days |
Does 8411 pay a reliable dividends?
See 8411 dividend history and benchmarksCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/08/12 11:53 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/08/12 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. is covered by 28 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Shinichi Tamura | Barclays |
| Shinichiro Nakamura | BofA Global Research |
| Koichi Niwa | Citigroup Inc |