Mizuho Financial Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Mizuho Financial Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.5% and 0.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 8.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.6% in 3 years.

Key information

6.5%

Earnings growth rate

8.62%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth	9.0%
Revenue growth rate	0.4%
Future return on equity	9.58%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	30 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Calculated Partnerships With Greenhill And Rakuten Propel Growth And Elevate Earnings Potential

Jan 05 Strategic acquisitions, partnerships, and cost-cutting initiatives aim to enhance competitive edge, improve efficiency, and expand revenue streams for Mizuho Financial Group.

Mizuho Financial Group's (TSE:8411) Dividend Will Be ¥65.00

Jan 05

Mizuho Financial Group (TSE:8411) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥65.00

Dec 22

Mizuho Financial Group's (TSE:8411) Dividend Will Be ¥65.00

Dec 08

Mizuho Financial Group (TSE:8411) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To ¥57.50

Sep 20

Mizuho Financial Group (TSE:8411) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To ¥57.50

Sep 06

Mizuho Financial Group's (TSE:8411) Dividend Will Be Increased To ¥57.50

Aug 23

Mizuho Financial Group's (TSE:8411) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Aug 09

Mizuho Financial Group's (TSE:8411) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Jul 26

Mizuho Financial Group (TSE:8411) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At ¥57.50

Jul 12

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSE:8411 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
3/31/2028	3,611,350	1,127,087	N/A	N/A	2
3/31/2027	3,463,027	1,065,568	N/A	N/A	8
3/31/2026	3,244,538	975,412	N/A	N/A	8
3/31/2025	2,967,806	906,100	N/A	N/A	7
12/31/2024	3,834,387	892,047	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2024	3,583,727	829,381	-1,508,715	-1,206,202	N/A
6/30/2024	3,300,875	723,101	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2024	3,122,105	678,993	-554,280	-298,509	N/A
12/31/2023	3,010,015	654,570	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2023	3,197,943	637,316	13,193,557	13,401,234	N/A
6/30/2023	2,861,070	641,425	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2023	2,779,216	555,527	2,078,659	2,261,835	N/A
12/31/2022	2,940,436	595,100	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2022	2,626,161	478,786	-6,898,903	-6,735,131	N/A
6/30/2022	2,844,665	439,232	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2022	2,805,932	530,479	2,183,600	2,322,381	N/A
12/31/2021	2,515,381	595,272	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2021	2,473,253	641,154	6,697,952	6,884,561	N/A
6/30/2021	2,433,275	599,186	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2021	2,455,289	471,020	12,157,843	12,374,003	N/A
12/31/2020	2,457,443	399,009	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2020	2,441,861	376,423	1,764,615	2,004,408	N/A
6/30/2020	2,439,203	408,505	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2020	2,411,712	448,568	-6,431,197	-6,197,490	N/A
12/31/2019	2,559,370	90,600	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2019	2,450,143	24,874	-10,741,509	-10,570,257	N/A
6/30/2019	2,545,036	97,989	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2019	2,555,627	96,566	-5,597,153	-5,442,855	N/A
12/31/2018	2,596,730	510,773	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2018	2,769,420	619,262	N/A	1,464,012	N/A
6/30/2018	2,809,851	619,272	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2018	2,715,720	576,547	N/A	-3,204,611	N/A
12/31/2017	2,748,252	574,592	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2017	2,725,006	562,006	N/A	-8,825,487	N/A
6/30/2017	2,620,532	589,195	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2017	2,676,935	603,544	N/A	-9,390,592	N/A
12/31/2016	2,669,318	655,118	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2016	2,640,981	643,939	N/A	-4,957,942	N/A
6/30/2016	2,666,436	643,136	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2016	2,759,921	668,514	N/A	-1,465,540	N/A
12/31/2015	2,792,215	601,850	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2015	2,817,118	634,493	N/A	-1,463,378	N/A
6/30/2015	2,901,102	610,319	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2015	2,733,641	607,025	N/A	-3,161,014	N/A
12/31/2014	2,557,227	641,755	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2014	2,585,789	607,216	N/A	-1,162,047	N/A
6/30/2014	2,517,611	588,441	N/A	N/A	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 8411's forecast earnings growth (6.5% per year) is above the savings rate (0.4%).

Earnings vs Market: 8411's earnings (6.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the JP market (7.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 8411's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 8411's revenue (0.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the JP market (4.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 8411's revenue (0.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 8411's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.6%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/05/12 14:14
End of Day Share Price	2025/05/12 00:00
Earnings	2024/12/31
Annual Earnings	2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. is covered by 33 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Shinichi Tamura	Barclays
Toyoki Sameshima	BNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Shinichiro Nakamura	BofA Global Research

Mizuho Financial Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 8.6% to JP¥4,038

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2025

Price target increased by 9.0% to JP¥3,666

Recent updates

Is Now The Time To Put Mizuho Financial Group (TSE:8411) On Your Watchlist?

Webull Corporation completed the acquisition of SK Growth Opportunities Corporation (NasdaqGM:SKGR) from a group of shareholders in a reverse merger transaction.

Class Over Inc. completed the acquisition of Battery Future Acquisition Corp. (NYSE:BFAC) from a group of shareholders in a reverse merger transaction.

New minor risk - Share price stability

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Upcoming dividend of JP¥65.00 per share

Mizuho Financial Group (TSE:8411) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥65.00

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on May 15, 2025

Mizuho Financial Group (TSE:8411) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥65.00

Mizuho Financial Group (TSE:8411) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥65.00

Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Mizuho Financial Group's (TSE:8411) Dividend Will Be ¥65.00

Mizuho Financial Group (TSE:8411) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥65.00

Femco Steel Technology Co., Ltd. (TPEX:6731) completed the acquisition of Chenghe Acquisition I Co. (NasdaqGM:LATG) from a group of sellers in a reverse merger transaction.

Calculated Partnerships With Greenhill And Rakuten Propel Growth And Elevate Earnings Potential

Mizuho Financial Group's (TSE:8411) Dividend Will Be ¥65.00

Price target increased by 8.6% to JP¥4,038

Mizuho Financial Group (TSE:8411) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥65.00

TVS Credit Reportedly to Make A Bid for Avendus Capital

New Era Helium Corp. completed the acquisition of Roth Ch Acquisition V Co. (NasdaqGM:ROCL) from a group of sellers in a reverse merger transaction.

Mizuho Financial Group's (TSE:8411) Dividend Will Be ¥65.00

First half dividend of JP¥65.00 announced

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Feb 03, 2025

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. (TSE:8411) completed the acquisition of 14.99% stake in Rakuten Card Co.,Ltd. from Rakuten Group, Inc. (TSE:4755).

Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. (TSE:8411) agreed to acquire 14.99% stake in Rakuten Card Co.,Ltd. from Rakuten Group, Inc. (TSE:4755) for approximately ¥170 billion.

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. (TSE:8411) announces an Equity Buyback for 50,000,000 shares, representing 1.97% for ¥100,000 million.

Nomura Holdings and Mizuho Financial Group Reportedly Leading Bidders for Avendus Capital

Upcoming dividend of JP¥57.50 per share

Mizuho Financial Group (TSE:8411) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To ¥57.50

Carlyle, Mizuho & Premji Invest Reportedly Aim for Avendus

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Nov 14, 2024

Mizuho Financial Group (TSE:8411) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To ¥57.50

Mizuho Financial Group's (TSE:8411) Dividend Will Be Increased To ¥57.50

Citius Oncology, Inc. completed the acquisition of TenX Keane Acquisition (NasdaqGM:TENK) from 10XYZ Holdings LP, Hudson Bay Capital Management LP, Wolverine Asset Management, LLC, Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. and others in a reverse merger transaction.

Mizuho Financial Group's (TSE:8411) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Mizuho Reportedly Plans to Say No to Yes Bank Deal

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%

New minor risk - Share price stability

First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2025

Mizuho Financial Group's (TSE:8411) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Price target increased by 9.0% to JP¥3,666

Mizuho Financial Group (TSE:8411) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At ¥57.50

Final dividend of JP¥57.50 announced

High number of new directors

Semnur Pharmaceuticals, Inc. signed a letter of intent to acquire Denali Capital Acquisition Corp. (NasdaqGM:DECA) in a reverse merger transaction for approximately $2 billion on July 2, 2024.

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Jul 31, 2024

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Mizuho Financial Reportedly in Talks to Buy KKR’s Part Stake in InCred Finance

Class Over Inc. entered into a definitive business combination agreement to acquire Battery Future Acquisition Corp. (NYSE:BFAC) in a reverse merger transaction.

Upcoming dividend of JP¥50.00 per share

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on May 15, 2024

Nature's Miracle Inc. completed the acquisition of Lakeshore Acquisition II Corp. (NasdaqGM:LBBB) from a group of shareholders in a reverse merger transaction.

Now 23% overvalued after recent price rise

Ethereal Tech PTE. Ltd (BitFuFu) acquired Arisz Acquisition Corp. (NasdaqGM:ARIZ) from a group of shareholders in a reverse merger transaction.

SK Growth Opportunities Corporation (NasdaqGM:SKGR) agreed to acquire Webull Corporation.

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Announces Change in Representative Executive Officer

Adagio Medical, Inc. entered a definitive agreement to acquire ARYA Sciences Acquisition Corp IV (NasdaqCM:ARYD) from ARYA Sciences Holdings IV, Perceptive Advisors LLC and Others for $26.736 million.

Now 20% overvalued after recent price rise

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Provides Year End Dividend Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2024

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Feb 02, 2024

Ecohouse Developments Limited entered into definitive business combination agreement to acquire Zalatoris II Acquisition Corp. from J.Streicher Holdings LLC and others for approximately $130 million in a reverse merger transaction.

Nukkleus Inc. (OTCPK:NUKK) completed the acquisition of Brilliant Acquisition Corporation (NasdaqCM:BRLI) from Nisun Investment Holding Limited and others in a reverse merger transaction.

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Revises Interim Dividend for the Six Months Ended September 30, 2023, Payable on December 6, 2023; Revises Year End Dividend Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2024

Mizuho Financial Group Reportedly Plans to increase its Stake in Rakuten Securities to Nearly 50% with an Expected Investment of about JPY 90 Billion

Citius Oncology, Inc. entered into an agreement and plan of merger to acquire TenX Keane Acquisition (NasdaqGM:TENK) from 10XYZ Holdings LP and others for approximately $730 million in a reverse merger transaction.

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Nov 13, 2023

Upcoming dividend of JP¥47.50 per share at 3.6% yield

Golden Star Acquisition Corporation (NasdaqGM:GODN) entered into a definitive business combination agreement to acquire Gamehaus Network Technology Co.,Ltd.