Sims Limited

ASX:SGM Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$5.0b

Sims Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 0/6

Sims's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -31.2%, while the Metals and Mining industry saw earnings growing at 15.2% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 2.9% per year.

Key information

-31.17%

Earnings growth rate

-30.92%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining Industry Growth22.33%
Revenue growth rate2.93%
Return on equity-2.33%
Net Margin-0.76%
Next Earnings Update18 Aug 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 30

SGM: Higher FY26 EBIT Outlook Will Test Recycled Metals Recovery

Analysts have raised their Sims price target from A$25.13 to A$29.13, citing recent research that reflects higher FY26 guidance, a stronger EBIT outlook, and slightly adjusted assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News for Sims Sims Limited upgraded its FY2026 underlying EBIT guidance to A$420 million to A$435 million, according to recent coverage of the stock.
Narrative Update Jun 16

SGM: Higher Earnings Multiple Will Pressure Future Share Price Returns

Analysts have nudged their Sims price target higher to A$25.13 from A$23.36, reflecting updated views on fair value and profitability assumptions following recent research, including the upgrade from RBC Capital. What’s in the News for Sims Analysts have revised their Sims price target to A$25.13, up from A$23.36, following refreshed research coverage.
Narrative Update Jun 02

SGM: Elevated Lifecycle Services Expectations Will Pressure Future Return Profile

Analysts have lifted their price targets on Sims, with our fair value estimate moving from A$22.78 to A$23.36 as they factor in upgraded ratings, a higher A$20 Street target, and stronger Sims Lifecycle Services EBITDA supported by higher chip prices, resale volumes, and hyperscaler service fees. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a shift toward a more balanced view on Sims, with price targets aligning around A$20 and greater focus on the earnings power of Sims Lifecycle Services.
Narrative Update Apr 27

SGM: Lifecycle Services Momentum And Dividend Policy Will Shape Future Return Profile

Analysts have lifted their price expectations for Sims, with targets moving from A$16.30 to A$20.00 as recent research points to stronger contributions from Sims Lifecycle Services, supported by higher computer chip prices, resale volumes and hyperscaler service fees. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the 130% increase in Sims Lifecycle Services EBITDA as a key support for higher valuation targets, given the clearer earnings contribution from this segment.
Narrative Update Apr 12

SGM: Lifecycle Services Strength And Dividend Outlook Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target for Sims to A$22.78 from A$22.61, citing recent upgrades and research that highlight stronger Sims Lifecycle Services earnings tied to higher chip prices, resale volumes, and hyperscaler service fees, along with updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the upgrade in Sims Lifecycle Services EBITDA of 130% in the recent first half as a key support for higher earnings assumptions, particularly for the chip reuse and resale part of the business.
Narrative Update Mar 27

SGM: Lifecycle Services EBITDA Surge Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted their price targets for Sims. One recent move took the stock from A$16.30 to A$20, citing improved fair value estimates, a more supportive discount rate and growth assumptions, healthier profit margins, and stronger Sims Lifecycle Services EBITDA tied to higher chip prices, resale volumes, and hyperscaler service fees.
Narrative Update Mar 12

SGM: Lifecycle Services Strength And Investor Days Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target for Sims higher, with fair value moving from about A$20.45 to roughly A$20.74. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E after recent research highlighted stronger Sims Lifecycle Services EBITDA supported by higher chip prices, resale volumes and hyperscaler service fees.
New Narrative Mar 03

Rally in sustainable practices over value recyclable metal stock

About Sims Metal Management Sims Limited is a global metals recycler and circular economy operator with processing facilities across Australia, North America, and Europe. The company collects, sorts, and sells recycled ferrous (steel-based) and non-ferrous (aluminium, copper) scrap metal to steelmakers and smelters worldwide.
Narrative Update Feb 25

SGM: Investor Days And Rich Future P/E Will Restrain Share Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target for Sims from A$18.09 to A$20.45, citing slightly different assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E to support the new view. What's in the News Sims Limited determined an interim dividend of A$0.14 per share, fully franked, with payment scheduled for 18 March 2026 to shareholders on the register as at 4 March 2026 (company announcement).
Analysis Article Feb 15

An Intrinsic Calculation For Sims Limited (ASX:SGM) Suggests It's 34% Undervalued

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Sims fair value estimate is AU$31.78 Sims is estimated to be...
Narrative Update Feb 11

SGM: Investor Day Focus Will Highlight Rich P/E Capping Future Returns

The analyst price target for Sims has increased from A$16.71 to A$18.09. Analysts attribute this change to updated assumptions that include slightly higher revenue growth, modestly improved profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple as key drivers.
Narrative Update Jan 26

SGM: Investor Day Focus And Rich P/E Will Likely Cap Future Returns

Analysts have lifted their price target on Sims to A$16.71 from A$16.02, citing updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, modestly stronger profit margins and a marginally different forward P/E multiple. What's in the News Sims plans a Sims Lifecycle Services Investor Day event in Nashville, giving investors a focused update on the lifecycle services business (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Jan 11

SGM: Stable Margins And Investor Day Focus Will Likely Restrain Returns

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Sims at A$16.02 per share. Only slight adjustments to the discount rate and the assumed future P/E ratio have influenced this unchanged price target.
Narrative Update Dec 26

SGM: Stable Margins And Sluggish Outlook Will Likely Limit Future Returns

Analysts have modestly maintained their outlook on Sims, keeping the price target effectively unchanged at $16.02 per share. Slightly higher discount rate assumptions are largely offset by stable revenue growth, profit margin, and valuation expectations.
Narrative Update Dec 12

SGM: Modest Earnings Outlook Will Likely Constrain Future Share Price Upside

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Sims, citing slightly stronger long term revenue growth, improved margin expectations, and a higher forward P/E outlook. This lifts the fair value by approximately $0.69 per share.
Narrative Update Nov 27

SGM: Rising Discount Rate Will Challenge Market Expectations Moving Forward

Analysts have increased their price target for Sims from $14.08 to $15.33 per share. They cite modest improvements in both expected profit margins and revenue growth projections.
Analysis Article Apr 09

Are Investors Undervaluing Sims Limited (ASX:SGM) By 50%?

Key Insights The projected fair value for Sims is AU$25.48 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...
Analysis Article Mar 18

There's No Escaping Sims Limited's (ASX:SGM) Muted Revenues

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x Sims Limited ( ASX:SGM ) may be sending very bullish signals at the...
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New Narrative Feb 09

Optimization Of Acquisitions Like Baltimore Scrap Will Unlock Future Operational Efficiencies

Strategic focus on North America and optimizing recent acquisitions aim to drive margin improvement and operational efficiencies.
Analysis Article Dec 20

Sims (ASX:SGM) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Analysis Article Nov 07

A Look At The Fair Value Of Sims Limited (ASX:SGM)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Sims fair value estimate is AU$15.42 With AU$13.66 share...
Analysis Article Sep 16

There Is A Reason Sims Limited's (ASX:SGM) Price Is Undemanding

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x Sims Limited ( ASX:SGM ) is definitely a stock worth...
Analysis Article May 07

Sims Limited's (ASX:SGM) Subdued P/E Might Signal An Opportunity

When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may consider...
Analysis Article Feb 24

Sims (ASX:SGM) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Dec 22

Is Sims Limited (ASX:SGM) Trading At A 30% Discount?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Sims fair value estimate is AU$22.11 Current share price of...
Analysis Article Sep 28

Sims' (ASX:SGM) Shareholders Will Receive A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

Sims Limited ( ASX:SGM ) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to A$0.21 on the 18th of October...
Analysis Article Sep 11

These 4 Measures Indicate That Sims (ASX:SGM) Is Using Debt Extensively

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Aug 18

Sims' (ASX:SGM) Dividend Is Being Reduced To A$0.21

Sims Limited ( ASX:SGM ) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to A$0.21 on the 18th of October...
Analysis Article Jul 12

Sims (ASX:SGM) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Amongst other things...
Analysis Article May 26

Do Sims' (ASX:SGM) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
Analysis Article Apr 12

Sims (ASX:SGM) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Analysis Article Mar 30

Does Sims (ASX:SGM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Mar 15

Calculating The Fair Value Of Sims Limited (ASX:SGM)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Sims is AU$13.48 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Sims' AU$14.93...

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Sims makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

ASX:SGM Revenue, expenses and earnings (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Dec 257,653-5800
30 Sep 257,589-2800
30 Jun 257,525200
31 Dec 247,368-6500
30 Sep 247,296-3200
30 Jun 247,224200
31 Dec 236,33619400
30 Sep 236,49719500
30 Jun 236,65919700
31 Mar 238,46631400
31 Dec 228,84944700
30 Sep 229,06352300
30 Jun 229,27759900
31 Mar 228,50851400
31 Dec 217,74043000
30 Sep 216,83333000
30 Jun 215,92722900
31 Mar 215,2945400
31 Dec 204,662-12100
30 Sep 204,790-19300
30 Jun 204,919-26500
31 Mar 205,473-14000
31 Dec 196,027-1500
30 Sep 196,3396900
30 Jun 196,65215300
31 Mar 196,73517100
31 Dec 186,81718900
30 Sep 186,63919600
30 Jun 186,46020400
31 Mar 186,07220900
31 Dec 175,68321500
30 Sep 175,38720900
30 Jun 175,09120400
31 Mar 174,86315900
31 Dec 164,63411400
30 Sep 164,649-5100
30 Jun 164,664-21600
31 Dec 155,375-21900
30 Sep 155,852-5500

Quality Earnings: SGM is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: SGM is currently unprofitable.


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: SGM is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 31.2% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare SGM's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: SGM is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Metals and Mining industry (59.9%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: SGM has a negative Return on Equity (-2.33%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/01 02:02
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Sims Limited is covered by 30 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Benjamin BrayshawBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Megan Kirby-LewisBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
April LowisBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited