When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may consider Sims Limited (ASX:SGM) as an attractive investment with its 14.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Sims has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Sims
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Sims.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Sims' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 67%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 14% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 16% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Sims' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Sims' analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Sims that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Sims, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:SGM
Sims
Engages in buying, processing, and selling of ferrous and non-ferrous recycled metals in Australia, Bangladesh, China, India, Turkey, the United States, and internationally.
Undervalued with adequate balance sheet.