Chipotle Mexican Grill Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Chipotle Mexican Grill is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 10.8% and 9.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 56.4% in 3 years.
Key information
10.8%
Earnings growth rate
12.91%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality earnings growth | 21.3% |
| Revenue growth rate | 9.9% |
| Future return on equity | 56.42% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 31 Oct 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Analysts Are Updating Their Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Estimates After Its Second-Quarter Results
Jul 26
Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Price Target After Its Latest Report
Apr 28Recent updates
Chipotle: Challenges Are Ahead, But The Beatdown Prices A Lot In (Rating Upgrade)
Oct 30The Price Is Right For Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Even After Diving 26%
Aug 01Analysts Are Updating Their Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Estimates After Its Second-Quarter Results
Jul 26Is Now The Time To Put Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) On Your Watchlist?
Jul 14Should You Investigate Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) At US$51.47?
May 21Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Price Target After Its Latest Report
Apr 28Chipotle Q1 Preview: Tariffs Hurt Them (Deep Dive)
Apr 22Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s (NYSE:CMG) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 32% Above Its Share Price
Apr 09Chipotle: Dark Pool Buys And Long-Term Growth Make It A Buy
Mar 19Chipotle: Rare Opportunity To Buy At A Truly Attractive Price
Feb 28The Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG) Annual Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts
Feb 07Chipotle: Tariff Fears Overblown, Dips Are Tasty For Long-Term Investors
Feb 05Here's Why We Think Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) Is Well Worth Watching
Feb 04What Is Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s (NYSE:CMG) Share Price Doing?
Jan 21Chipotle: It Still Has Fuel In The Tank
Jan 21The Price Is Right For Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG)
Jan 08Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:CMG)
Dec 25Chipotle: In A Tough Spot As Price Hikes May Trigger Further Sales Deterioration
Dec 20It's Time To Get Mexican Food: Chipotle Is A Buy (Technical Analysis)
Nov 25Chipotle: Both The Business And The Investment Are Very Simple
Nov 07Chipotle Mexican Grill: Still Too Rich For My Wallet
Oct 17Chipotle Mexican Grill: Still Destined For Growth
Oct 07Chipotle: I'm Not Worried About CEO's Departure
Sep 23Beyond The CEO: Evaluating Chipotle's Fundamental Strengths
Sep 11Chipotle: Departing CEO Niccol Brian Leaves Behind An Extraordinary Team
Aug 23Chipotle: Can The Sector Leader Avoid Sector Gravity?
Aug 11Chipotle: Growth Meets Overvaluation - A Sell Recommendation
Aug 01Chipotle Mexican Grill: Why We Exited CMG
Jul 23Chipotle And Its Real Value
Jul 08Chipotle: Growth Beyond The Split, But Valuation On Focus, Hold
Jun 30Chipotle: Gains Are Likely To Stall As Valuation Risks Are High
Jun 08Chipotle: Unsustainable Price Hikes
May 31Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 14,656 | 1,872 | 1,887 | 2,530 | 20 |
| 12/31/2026 | 13,115 | 1,621 | 1,633 | 2,293 | 30 |
| 12/31/2025 | 11,933 | 1,541 | 1,472 | 2,190 | 30 |
| 9/30/2025 | 11,787 | 1,537 | 1,573 | 2,215 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 11,578 | 1,542 | 1,466 | 2,092 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 11,487 | 1,561 | 1,487 | 2,093 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 11,314 | 1,534 | 1,511 | 2,105 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 10,985 | 1,484 | 1,251 | 1,844 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 10,663 | 1,410 | 1,301 | 1,878 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 10,205 | 1,296 | 1,325 | 1,898 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 9,872 | 1,229 | 1,223 | 1,783 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 9,536 | 1,170 | 1,387 | 1,920 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 9,284 | 1,114 | 1,251 | 1,791 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 8,983 | 1,032 | 992 | 1,495 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 8,635 | 899 | 844 | 1,323 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 8,415 | 809 | 903 | 1,360 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 8,147 | 756 | 862 | 1,289 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 7,826 | 684 | 807 | 1,259 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 7,547 | 653 | 840 | 1,282 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 7,194 | 710 | 512 | 959 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 6,843 | 586 | 502 | 922 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 6,315 | 406 | 405 | 788 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 5,985 | 356 | 290 | 664 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 5,817 | 237 | 393 | 735 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 5,619 | 256 | 369 | 726 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 5,689 | 338 | 374 | 721 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 5,586 | 350 | 388 | 722 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 5,371 | 310 | 349 | 664 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 5,193 | 249 | N/A | 627 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 5,025 | 205 | N/A | 603 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 4,865 | 177 | N/A | 622 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 4,750 | 188 | N/A | 581 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 4,653 | 170 | N/A | 520 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 4,556 | 190 | N/A | 519 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 4,476 | 176 | N/A | 468 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 4,401 | 148 | N/A | 447 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 4,310 | 137 | N/A | 413 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 4,139 | 95 | N/A | 438 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,904 | 23 | N/A | 355 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 3,867 | 75 | N/A | 376 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 4,047 | 212 | N/A | 462 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 4,247 | 327 | N/A | 502 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 4,501 | 476 | N/A | 683 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 4,574 | 529 | N/A | 721 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 4,441 | 515 | N/A | 723 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 4,293 | 485 | N/A | 745 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 4,108 | 445 | N/A | 682 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: CMG's forecast earnings growth (10.8% per year) is above the savings rate (3.1%).
Earnings vs Market: CMG's earnings (10.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16% per year).
High Growth Earnings: CMG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: CMG's revenue (9.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (10.5% per year).
High Growth Revenue: CMG's revenue (9.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: CMG's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (56.4%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/11/04 22:27 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/11/04 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is covered by 57 analysts. 30 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| John Staszak | Argus Research Company |
| David Tarantino | Baird |
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |