Universal Music Group N.V.

ENXTAM:UMG Stock Report

Market Cap: €47.4b

Universal Music Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Universal Music Group's earnings are forecast to decline at 0.5% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 6.4% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 1.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 32% in 3 years.

Key information

-0.5%

Earnings growth rate

-1.2%

EPS growth rate

Entertainment earnings growth17.1%
Revenue growth rate6.4%
Future return on equity32.0%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated01 May 2025

Recent future growth updates

Results: Universal Music Group N.V. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Apr 01
Results: Universal Music Group N.V. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Results: Universal Music Group N.V. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Mar 10
Results: Universal Music Group N.V. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Recent updates

Is Now The Time To Put Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) On Your Watchlist?

Apr 29
Is Now The Time To Put Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) On Your Watchlist?

Results: Universal Music Group N.V. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Apr 01
Results: Universal Music Group N.V. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Mar 26
Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Results: Universal Music Group N.V. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Mar 10
Results: Universal Music Group N.V. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

A Look At The Fair Value Of Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)

Feb 27
A Look At The Fair Value Of Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)

Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Knows How To Allocate Capital

Feb 05
Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Knows How To Allocate Capital

Does Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Jan 15
Does Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

At €24.70, Is Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG) Worth Looking At Closely?

Dec 30
At €24.70, Is Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG) Worth Looking At Closely?

A Look At The Fair Value Of Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)

Nov 27
A Look At The Fair Value Of Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)
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Innovative Streaming And Global Expansion Set To Boost Engagement And Drive Earnings Growth

Nov 07 Universal Music Group's focus on an artist-centric strategy and innovative streaming plans is set to boost revenue via enhanced customer engagement and monetization.

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)

Oct 15
Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)

A Look Into Universal Music Group's (AMS:UMG) Impressive Returns On Capital

Oct 02
A Look Into Universal Music Group's (AMS:UMG) Impressive Returns On Capital

Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Sep 19
Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Here's Why We Think Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Sep 05
Here's Why We Think Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

A Look At The Fair Value Of Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)

Jul 18
A Look At The Fair Value Of Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)

Many Would Be Envious Of Universal Music Group's (AMS:UMG) Excellent Returns On Capital

Jun 18
Many Would Be Envious Of Universal Music Group's (AMS:UMG) Excellent Returns On Capital

Universal Music Group N.V.'s (AMS:UMG) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't

Jun 04
Universal Music Group N.V.'s (AMS:UMG) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't

Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

May 22
Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)?

May 08
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)?

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ENXTAM:UMG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202714,4241,9342,2392,57510
12/31/202613,4051,7882,0782,39216
12/31/202512,4611,4941,7602,04814
12/31/202411,8342,0861,5721,755N/A
9/30/202411,6601,8171,5311,691N/A
6/30/202411,4861,5481,4891,627N/A
3/31/202411,2971,4041,6271,756N/A
12/31/202311,1081,2591,7641,885N/A
9/30/202310,9311,2131,7061,819N/A
6/30/202310,7541,1661,6471,753N/A
3/31/202310,5479741,6431,743N/A
12/31/202210,3407821,6391,732N/A
9/30/20229,8747291,4111,497N/A
6/30/20229,4076751,1831,262N/A
3/31/20229,0628721,4211,491N/A
12/31/20218,5048861,0791,140N/A
9/30/20218,1549851,1151,171N/A
6/30/20217,8041,0831,1501,202N/A
3/31/20217,4721,41283140N/A
12/31/20207,4321,366860926N/A
12/31/20197,159972610685N/A
1/1/20196,023897637747N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: UMG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.5% per year).

Earnings vs Market: UMG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: UMG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: UMG's revenue (6.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Dutch market (7.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: UMG's revenue (6.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: UMG's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (32%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/05 09:03
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/02 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Universal Music Group N.V. is covered by 30 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
JULIEN ROCHBarclays
William PackerBNP Paribas Exane
Adrien de Saint HilaireBofA Global Research