Mineral Resources Limited

ASX:MIN Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$6.4b

Mineral Resources Valuation

Is MIN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MIN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MIN (A$32.88) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$91.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MIN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MIN?

Key metric: As MIN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MIN. This is calculated by dividing MIN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MIN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio51.3x
EarningsAU$125.00m
Market CapAU$6.44b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MIN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MIN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.9x
LYC Lynas Rare Earths
69.9x43.5%AU$6.1b
PLS Pilbara Minerals
24.3x28.6%AU$6.4b
NIC Nickel Industries
21.9x48.0%AU$3.5b
ILU Iluka Resources
7.6x2.7%AU$2.1b
MIN Mineral Resources
51.3x40.1%AU$6.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MIN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.3x) compared to the peer average (30.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MIN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KCN Kingsgate Consolidated
1.7x-13.3%US$213.99m
RHI Red Hill Minerals
1.7xn/aUS$164.92m
GRR Grange Resources
2.4xn/aUS$162.55m
PTN Patronus Resources
1.8xn/aUS$50.08m
MIN 51.3xIndustry Avg. 12.8xNo. of Companies10PE01020304050+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MIN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.3x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (12.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MIN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MIN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio51.3x
Fair PE Ratio36.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MIN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MIN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$32.88
AU$45.22
+37.5%
26.8%AU$70.00AU$31.20n/a16
Dec ’25AU$33.63
AU$45.38
+34.9%
26.8%AU$67.00AU$31.20n/a16
Nov ’25AU$40.61
AU$47.78
+17.7%
23.4%AU$67.00AU$31.20n/a16
Oct ’25AU$51.61
AU$52.63
+2.0%
25.7%AU$88.79AU$32.00n/a18
Sep ’25AU$40.15
AU$56.49
+40.7%
25.3%AU$88.79AU$32.00n/a17
Aug ’25AU$53.82
AU$65.73
+22.1%
18.5%AU$88.79AU$44.70n/a17
Jul ’25AU$54.94
AU$69.54
+26.6%
17.0%AU$88.79AU$47.00n/a17
Jun ’25AU$71.66
AU$71.99
+0.5%
16.4%AU$88.79AU$47.00n/a18
May ’25AU$72.16
AU$71.04
-1.6%
16.2%AU$88.79AU$47.00n/a18
Apr ’25AU$70.87
AU$68.82
-2.9%
14.4%AU$88.79AU$47.10n/a18
Mar ’25AU$67.85
AU$67.67
-0.3%
15.4%AU$88.79AU$47.10n/a18
Feb ’25AU$58.38
AU$67.06
+14.9%
13.0%AU$77.00AU$49.50n/a16
Jan ’25AU$70.00
AU$69.90
-0.1%
16.2%AU$90.00AU$48.30n/a16
Dec ’24AU$60.60
AU$70.79
+16.8%
17.8%AU$90.00AU$48.30AU$33.6316
Nov ’24AU$58.75
AU$73.45
+25.0%
20.0%AU$111.38AU$50.30AU$40.6117
Oct ’24AU$67.63
AU$76.86
+13.6%
18.8%AU$111.38AU$45.90AU$51.6117
Sep ’24AU$72.14
AU$76.71
+6.3%
19.2%AU$111.38AU$45.90AU$40.1517
Aug ’24AU$71.55
AU$77.16
+7.8%
19.1%AU$111.38AU$49.60AU$53.8217
Jul ’24AU$71.43
AU$79.56
+11.4%
17.2%AU$111.38AU$59.00AU$54.9417
Jun ’24AU$68.26
AU$82.30
+20.6%
18.1%AU$113.00AU$53.00AU$71.6617
May ’24AU$73.14
AU$84.75
+15.9%
16.9%AU$115.00AU$60.17AU$72.1616
Apr ’24AU$80.59
AU$95.27
+18.2%
15.4%AU$125.00AU$73.44AU$70.8715
Mar ’24AU$86.00
AU$94.78
+10.2%
14.9%AU$124.00AU$73.44AU$67.8516
Feb ’24AU$90.25
AU$96.68
+7.1%
14.5%AU$126.00AU$75.00AU$58.3815
Jan ’24AU$77.20
AU$93.12
+20.6%
12.9%AU$127.00AU$75.00AU$70.0015
Dec ’23AU$89.23
AU$90.56
+1.5%
12.7%AU$125.00AU$78.90AU$60.6014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 07:26
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Mineral Resources Limited is covered by 36 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Swapan PandyaAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Glyn LawcockBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited