NFI Group Inc.

TSX:NFI Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$2.7b

NFI Group Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 0/6

NFI Group's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -10.8%, while the Machinery industry saw earnings growing at 6.5% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 11.2% per year.

Key information

-10.81%

Earnings growth rate

-0.20%

EPS growth rate

Machinery Industry Growth16.34%
Revenue growth rate11.16%
Return on equity-20.77%
Net Margin-3.43%
Last Earnings Update29 Mar 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jan 27

NFI: New Leadership And Guidance Reset Will Support Future Margin Expansion

Analysts have adjusted their price target for NFI Group from $20.84 to $21.94, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News NFI Group’s Board appointed John Sapp as Chief Executive Officer, effective January 1, 2026, following a global search led by the Board’s Human Resources, Compensation and Governance committee (Key Developments).
Analysis Article Jan 13

Further Upside For NFI Group Inc. (TSE:NFI) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 25% Bounce

NFI Group Inc. ( TSE:NFI ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...
Narrative Update Jan 09

NFI: Leadership Transition And Supply Chain Securing Will Support Future Margin Expansion

Analysts have made a small upward adjustment to their price target for NFI Group to approximately $20.84 from about $20.79. This reflects updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples.
Narrative Update Dec 23

NFI: Transit Demand Tailwinds Will Drive Margin Expansion And Zero Emission Recovery

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on NFI Group to about C$21 from roughly C$23, reflecting modestly lower growth expectations but still supportive views on improving margins and the company’s long term earnings power. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain broadly constructive on NFI Group despite the modest reset in price targets, with consensus still anchored in the view that the company can execute on its margin expansion and backlog conversion plans.
Narrative Update Dec 09

NFI: Transit Demand Tailwinds Will Support Future Recovery In Zero Emission Deliveries

NFI Group's analyst price target has been trimmed slightly to about C$20.40 from C$20.76, as analysts modestly adjust fair value assumptions while maintaining a generally constructive outlook on the company. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects modestly reduced price targets for NFI Group, clustering in the C$20 to C$22 range, while ratings remain skewed toward Outperform.
Narrative Update Nov 25

NFI: Recovery in Transit Demand Will Drive Revenue Upside Ahead

The average analyst price target for NFI Group has been revised downward from approximately C$21.54 to C$20.76. This reflects recent adjustments as analysts cite lower profit margin estimates and moderated fair value projections, despite continued revenue growth expectations.
Narrative Update Nov 10

NFI: Order Backlog and Transit Market Recovery Will Drive Upside

Analysts have lowered their average price target for NFI Group from approximately C$22.35 to C$21.54. They cited more cautious forecasts for revenue growth and profitability.
Narrative Update Oct 27

Record Backlog And Industry Partnerships Will Drive Long-Term Market Expansion

The average analyst price target for NFI Group has been revised slightly lower from approximately $22.42 to $22.35. This change reflects recent analyst adjustments in response to updated company forecasts and market conditions.
Narrative Update Oct 13

Record Backlog And Government Funding Will Expand Bus Market

NFI Group's average analyst price target has decreased from C$23 to a range between C$20 and C$22. Analysts cite tempered expectations for revenue growth and profit margins in their latest updates.
Narrative Update Sep 29

Record Backlog And Government Funding Will Expand Bus Market

Analysts modestly lowered NFI Group’s price target to CA$22.58, reflecting near-term supply chain challenges despite expectations for earnings inflection in H2 2025 and positive demand and defense trends. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see an inflection point in earnings in H2 2025 as seat supplier issues are expected to ease.
Analysis Article Sep 15

NFI Group Inc. (TSE:NFI) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch

NFI Group Inc.'s ( TSE:NFI ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x may look like a pretty appealing investment...
Analysis Article Jun 21

Here's Why NFI Group (TSE:NFI) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article May 10

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From NFI Group Inc.'s (TSE:NFI) 28% Share Price Climb

Despite an already strong run, NFI Group Inc. ( TSE:NFI ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last...
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New Narrative Apr 27

Record Backlog And Diverse Bus Models Will Drive Production Efficiency

Strong order backlog and propulsion-agnostic strategy position the company for revenue growth and market share capture across changing demand types.
Analysis Article Mar 15

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By NFI Group Inc.'s (TSE:NFI) Revenues Despite 35% Price Jump

Those holding NFI Group Inc. ( TSE:NFI ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 35% in the last...
Analysis Article Mar 11

NFI Group (TSE:NFI) Could Be At Risk Of Shrinking As A Company

To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications...
Analysis Article Jan 28

Sentiment Still Eluding NFI Group Inc. (TSE:NFI)

NFI Group Inc.'s ( TSE:NFI ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x may look like a pretty appealing investment...
Analysis Article Dec 07

NFI Group Inc.'s (TSE:NFI) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 77% Above Its Share Price

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, NFI Group fair value estimate is CA$24.66 NFI Group's CA$13.94...
Analysis Article Oct 07

Investors Continue Waiting On Sidelines For NFI Group Inc. (TSE:NFI)

NFI Group Inc.'s ( TSE:NFI ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x may look like a pretty appealing investment...
Analysis Article Jun 18

Does NFI Group (TSE:NFI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Analysis Article May 23

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From NFI Group Inc.'s (TSE:NFI) 41% Share Price Climb

NFI Group Inc. ( TSE:NFI ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 41% after a shaky period beforehand. The...
Analysis Article Mar 28

Investors Holding Back On NFI Group Inc. (TSE:NFI)

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x NFI Group Inc. ( TSE:NFI ) may be sending bullish signals at the moment...
Analysis Article Jan 19

Health Check: How Prudently Does NFI Group (TSE:NFI) Use Debt?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Analysis Article Dec 22

NFI Group Inc. (TSE:NFI) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch

NFI Group Inc.'s ( TSE:NFI ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x may look like a pretty appealing investment...
Analysis Article Sep 29

Is NFI Group (TSE:NFI) Using Debt Sensibly?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article Jan 05

NFI Group (TSE:NFI) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How NFI Group makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

TSX:NFI Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
29 Mar 263,615-1242810
28 Dec 253,615-1422720
28 Sep 253,426-2902560
29 Jun 253,258-1642640
30 Mar 253,24102450
29 Dec 243,122-32390
29 Sep 243,082-242450
30 Jun 243,081-492470
31 Mar 242,890-1002450
31 Dec 232,692-1362450
01 Oct 232,585-2862410
02 Jul 232,389-2872310
02 Apr 232,126-2952330
01 Jan 232,061-2762320
02 Oct 222,066-1332290
03 Jul 222,044-1082260
03 Apr 222,229-492130
02 Jan 222,344-142130
26 Sep 212,36032270
27 Jun 212,532-72360
28 Mar 212,283-832350
27 Dec 202,419-1582380
27 Sep 202,625-1322500
28 Jun 202,687-1082530
29 Mar 203,037-262520
29 Dec 192,893582410
29 Sep 192,638662150
30 Jun 192,5181052030
31 Mar 192,5071462040
30 Dec 182,5191602040
30 Sep 182,5121932050
01 Jul 182,4481912030
01 Apr 182,3881842010
31 Dec 172,3821911960
01 Oct 172,3501571860
02 Jul 172,3201481820
02 Apr 172,2931401780
01 Jan 172,2741251860
02 Oct 162,071971750
03 Jul 161,924881560
03 Apr 161,712661350
27 Dec 151,539541040
27 Sep 151,54047910
28 Jun 151,53641860

Quality Earnings: NFI is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: NFI is currently unprofitable.


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: NFI is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 10.8% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare NFI's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: NFI is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Machinery industry (5.8%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: NFI has a negative Return on Equity (-20.77%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/03 21:50
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/03 00:00
Earnings2026/03/29
Annual Earnings2025/12/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

NFI Group Inc. is covered by 10 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher MurrayATB Cormark
Sarah HughesATB Cormark Historical (Cormark Securities)
John GibsonBMO Capital Markets Equity Research