NFI Group Inc.'s (TSE:NFI) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x may look like a pretty appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Machinery industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 1.1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
View our latest analysis for NFI Group
What Does NFI Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times have been advantageous for NFI Group as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on NFI Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, NFI Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 19%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 30% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 20% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 5.0% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that NFI Group's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
To us, it seems NFI Group currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for NFI Group you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:NFI
NFI Group
Manufactures and sells buses in North America, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, and the Asia Pacific.
Very undervalued with reasonable growth potential.