Dollar Tree, Inc.

NasdaqGS:DLTR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$18.2b

Dollar Tree Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Dollar Tree is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 7.4% and 5.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 22% in 3 years.

Key information

7.4%

Earnings growth rate

9.37%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Retailing earnings growth10.3%
Revenue growth rate5.7%
Future return on equity22.01%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated13 May 2025

Recent future growth updates

Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) Price Target After Its Latest Report

Jun 08
Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) Price Target After Its Latest Report

Recent updates

Dollar Tree: Attractive Buy With Signs Of A Rebound

May 15

Getting In Cheap On Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) Might Be Difficult

Apr 16
Getting In Cheap On Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) Might Be Difficult

Analysts Just Shaved Their Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) Forecasts Dramatically

Apr 01
Analysts Just Shaved Their Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) Forecasts Dramatically

Dollar Tree Goes It Alone

Mar 26

Slowing Rates Of Return At Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) Leave Little Room For Excitement

Mar 20
Slowing Rates Of Return At Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) Leave Little Room For Excitement

Family Dollar Spin-Off: Dollar Tree's Path To Recovery

Feb 13

Calculating The Fair Value Of Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR)

Feb 12
Calculating The Fair Value Of Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR)

What Is Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) Share Price Doing?

Jan 25
What Is Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) Share Price Doing?

Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) Not Flying Under The Radar

Jan 06
Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) Not Flying Under The Radar

Dollar Tree Stores: Short-Term Concerns But Still A Buy

Jan 03

Dollar Tree: A High Risk, High Return Contrarian Play

Dec 09

Sell Dollar Tree Heading Into Q3 Earnings

Dec 02

Dollar Tree: Limited Value As Temu Competition And Import Inflation Destroys Moat

Nov 19

Dollar Tree Has Become Too Cheap To Ignore

Nov 06

Slowing Rates Of Return At Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) Leave Little Room For Excitement

Nov 05
Slowing Rates Of Return At Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) Leave Little Room For Excitement

Is There An Opportunity With Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) 43% Undervaluation?

Oct 18
Is There An Opportunity With Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) 43% Undervaluation?

Dollar Tree: Waiting For A Family Dollar Strategic Decision

Oct 16
author-image

From Store Revamps To IT Modernization Boosting Growth And Margins

Sep 24 Multi-price expansion and accelerated store growth at Dollar Tree aim to capitalize on current economic conditions, suggesting potential revenue growth.

Dollar Tree: Finding Value In Dollar Store Dumpsters

Sep 23

Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) 34% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues

Sep 05
Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) 34% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues

Dollar Tree Gets Crushed, Attracting The Sharks

Sep 04

Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR)

Jul 17
Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR)

Dollar Tree: Stay Calm And Remain Long On This Strong Operator

Jul 17

Why We're Not Concerned About Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) Share Price

Jun 26
Why We're Not Concerned About Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) Share Price

Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) Price Target After Its Latest Report

Jun 08
Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) Price Target After Its Latest Report

Discount Retailer Dollar Tree Could Benefit By Continued High Inflation

Jun 03

Estimating The Fair Value Of Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR)

May 27
Estimating The Fair Value Of Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR)

Dollar Tree Stores: Should Have No Problem Meeting FY26 Target

Mar 28

Dollar Tree Stock: Let It Fall, Then Do Some Buying

Mar 13

Dollar Tree: Rising Bullishness On Expanding Customer Base

Feb 26

Dollar Tree: Mixed Consumer Spending Outlook

Jan 27

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:DLTR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
1/31/202821,1151,3111,0632,29812
1/31/202720,0781,2216362,02922
1/31/202618,9401,0905871,82522
2/1/202517,5791,0431,5622,863N/A
11/2/202431,220-1,0448603,043N/A
8/3/202430,966-1,0654652,763N/A
5/4/202430,913-9974052,628N/A
2/3/202416,7811,2661,4902,685N/A
10/28/202329,6851,1646652,310N/A
7/29/202329,3101,2195232,018N/A
4/29/202328,7531,3784831,828N/A
1/28/202315,4121,5009711,615N/A
10/29/202227,6921,617-451,147N/A
7/30/202227,1691,5671191,216N/A
4/30/202226,7441,4903641,414N/A
1/29/202226,3211,3284101,432N/A
10/30/202126,0091,3771,0602,001N/A
7/31/202125,7681,4901,1312,015N/A
5/1/202125,7021,4691,4262,314N/A
1/30/202125,5091,3421,8182,716N/A
10/31/202025,0579621,6302,589N/A
8/1/202024,6268881,4622,463N/A
5/2/202024,0898071,1532,215N/A
2/1/202023,6118278351,870N/A
11/2/201923,501-1,6037531,730N/A
8/3/201923,293-1,5779161,841N/A
5/4/201923,078-1,4831,1471,993N/A
2/2/201922,823-1,5919491,766N/A
11/3/201822,9791,756N/A1,969N/A
8/4/201822,7571,714N/A1,604N/A
5/5/201822,5121,674N/A1,467N/A
2/3/201822,2461,714N/A1,510N/A
10/28/201721,520996N/A1,611N/A
7/29/201721,205928N/A1,668N/A
4/29/201720,921864N/A1,793N/A
1/28/201720,719896N/A1,673N/A
10/29/201620,449803N/A1,487N/A
7/30/201620,393714N/A1,507N/A
4/30/201618,408446N/A963N/A
1/30/201615,498282N/A803N/A
10/31/201512,609260N/A509N/A
8/1/20159,759311N/A537N/A
5/2/20158,779530N/A879N/A
1/31/20158,602599N/A943N/A
11/1/20148,362606N/A816N/A
8/2/20148,151598N/A859N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: DLTR's forecast earnings growth (7.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: DLTR's earnings (7.4% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: DLTR's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: DLTR's revenue (5.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: DLTR's revenue (5.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: DLTR's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (22%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/16 12:38
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/16 00:00
Earnings2025/02/01
Annual Earnings2025/02/01

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Dollar Tree, Inc. is covered by 53 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Will ChienAccountability Research Corporation
Seth SigmanBarclays
Meredith AdlerBarclays