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Keyera Corp.TSX:KEY Stock Report

Market Cap CA$15.9b
Share Price
CA$56.91
CA$60.86
6.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y29.2%
7D-0.5%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Keyera Corp.

TSX:KEY Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$15.9b

Keyera (KEY) Stock Overview

Engages in the gathering and processing of natural gas; and the transportation, storage, and marketing of natural gas liquids and iso-octane in Canada and the United States. More details

KEY fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance1/6
Financial Health1/6
Dividends3/6

KEY Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 41 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Keyera Corp. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Keyera
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceCA$56.91
52 Week HighCA$59.99
52 Week LowCA$40.09
Beta0.83
1 Month Change-3.54%
3 Month Change6.12%
1 Year Change29.22%
3 Year Change92.59%
5 Year Change71.88%
Change since IPO980.91%

Recent News & Updates

Analysis Article Jun 19

Keyera (TSX:KEY) Stock Could Be 8% Below Fair Value After Recent Pullback

How Keyera Stock Has Been Performing Keyera (TSX:KEY) has been on the radar for investors after a steady run, with the stock closing at CA$55.96 and showing mixed short term moves alongside stronger longer term total returns. Over the past week, the share price declined about 5%, and it is down roughly 5% over the past month. In contrast, year to date the total return is about 25%, with the past year around 33% and the past 3 years and 5 years each posting very large gains above 7x on a total...
Narrative Update Jun 16

KEY: Plains NGL Deal And Rail Project Will Shape Balanced Future Outlook

Keyera's updated analyst price target edges higher by about CA$0.36 to roughly CA$60.86. Analysts cite stronger recent results, supportive energy infrastructure updates, and positive views on the company’s marketing environment and recent natural gas liquids acquisition.

Recent updates

Analysis Article Jun 19

Keyera (TSX:KEY) Stock Could Be 8% Below Fair Value After Recent Pullback

How Keyera Stock Has Been Performing Keyera (TSX:KEY) has been on the radar for investors after a steady run, with the stock closing at CA$55.96 and showing mixed short term moves alongside stronger longer term total returns. Over the past week, the share price declined about 5%, and it is down roughly 5% over the past month. In contrast, year to date the total return is about 25%, with the past year around 33% and the past 3 years and 5 years each posting very large gains above 7x on a total...
Narrative Update Jun 16

KEY: Plains NGL Deal And Rail Project Will Shape Balanced Future Outlook

Keyera's updated analyst price target edges higher by about CA$0.36 to roughly CA$60.86. Analysts cite stronger recent results, supportive energy infrastructure updates, and positive views on the company’s marketing environment and recent natural gas liquids acquisition.
Narrative Update Jun 01

KEY: Recent Acquisition And ACE Rail Project Will Shape Future Upside And Execution Risks

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Keyera to CA$60.50 from CA$56.00. This reflects updated models that incorporate higher price targets from several firms and analyst views on stronger recent results, a supportive marketing backdrop and expected benefits from the recent natural gas liquids acquisition.
Narrative Update Apr 23

KEY: Balance Sheet Capacity Will Support Execution And Future Upside Potential

Keyera's updated fair value estimate has risen from CA$54.69 to CA$56.00, reflecting analysts' recent price target increases that highlight factors such as balance sheet capacity and modestly adjusted assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Keyera has focused on a series of higher price targets in the CA$54 to CA$58 range, with several firms reaffirming positive ratings on the shares.
Narrative Update Apr 08

KEY: Balance Sheet Capacity And Execution Risk Will Guide Future Fairly Valued Returns

Narrative Update on Keyera The updated analyst price target for Keyera edges higher to CA$54.69 from CA$54.46, reflecting recent target increases across several firms, as analysts point to what they see as underappreciated balance sheet capacity and adjust their P/E and growth assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Keyera clusters around higher price targets, with several firms adjusting their models and only a few trimming expectations.
Narrative Update Mar 25

KEY: Balance Sheet Capacity And Execution Risk Will Shape Future Fairly Valued Returns

Keyera's analyst price target is nudged higher as the model fair value edges up to CA$54.46. Analysts generally point to stronger perceived balance sheet capacity and a series of recent price target hikes across major firms.
Narrative Update Mar 11

KEY: Balance Sheet Capacity And Execution Risk Will Guide Balanced Future Returns

Keyera's fair value estimate edges up to about CA$54.31 from CA$54, as analysts lift price targets into the CA$54 to CA$58 range. They cite underappreciated balance sheet capacity and reaffirmed positive ratings across multiple firms.
Narrative Update Feb 24

KEY: Balance Sheet Capacity And Execution Risk Will Shape Future Share Performance

Analysts have nudged their average fair value estimate for Keyera higher to CA$54.00 from CA$51.69, citing a series of recent CA$1 to CA$7 price target increases across major firms that highlight what they see as underappreciated balance sheet capacity. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of price target changes around the low to high CA$50s, with several firms focusing on what they see as Keyera's financial flexibility and execution risk.
Narrative Update Feb 09

KEY: Mixed Margin Outlook And Steady Assumptions Will Shape Future Share Performance

Narrative Update on Keyera The analyst price target for Keyera has shifted as recent Street research, including a C$2 reduction at TD Securities, a C$1 increase at Scotiabank, and a move to C$51 from C$54 at BMO Capital, reflects updated views on its profit margin outlook and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Keyera centers on how its profit margins and P/E assumptions line up with current valuation, with some analysts trimming targets and others nudging them higher.
Narrative Update Jan 26

KEY: Execution On Projects And Cost Control Will Support Future Share Price Upside

Narrative Update on Keyera Our updated analyst price target for Keyera shifts slightly lower to about C$51.70 from roughly C$51.90. This reflects a mix of recent target cuts and raises from analysts who now factor in modestly adjusted growth, margin, discount rate, and P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update Jan 11

KEY: Revised Cash Flow Outlook Will Support Future Share Price Upside

Analysts have reduced their price target on Keyera to C$51 from C$54, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rates, revenue growth assumptions and expected P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show that analysts are adjusting their fair value views on Keyera, but still see a supportive backdrop for the stock relative to their rating stance.
Narrative Update Dec 25

KEY: Higher Uptime Will Drive Stronger Q3 Earnings And Share Price Upside

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Keyera by C$3 to C$45, citing expectations for sequentially stronger Q3 earnings and steady growth across the company’s core business. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts view the higher price target as supported by improving operational performance, particularly the anticipated sequential uplift in Q3 earnings driven by stronger uptime across base assets.
Narrative Update Dec 11

KEY: Improved Asset Uptime Will Support Stronger Earnings And Share Price Upside

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Keyera, with fair value estimates increasing from about C$50.71 to C$51.43. They cite expectations for sequential Q3 earnings improvement driven by higher base asset uptime and steady growth across the core business.
Analysis Article Sep 15

Keyera Corp.'s (TSE:KEY) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.4x Keyera Corp. ( TSE:KEY ) may be sending bearish signals at the...
Analysis Article Aug 31

Do Keyera's (TSE:KEY) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Analysis Article Aug 10

Keyera (TSE:KEY) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

The board of Keyera Corp. ( TSE:KEY ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend by 3.8% on the 30th of...
User avatar
New Narrative Nov 27

Unlocking Growth Potential With Innovative Expansion And Strategic Resilience

Advancements in growth projects and infrastructure could boost net capacity, revenue, and margins through increased demand and service expansion.

Shareholder Returns

KEYCA Oil and GasCA Market
7D-0.5%-2.2%-0.9%
1Y29.2%40.9%31.2%

Return vs Industry: KEY underperformed the Canadian Oil and Gas industry which returned 39.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: KEY underperformed the Canadian Market which returned 31.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is KEY's price volatile compared to industry and market?
KEY volatility
KEY Average Weekly Movement4.1%
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement8.3%
Market Average Movement9.9%
10% most volatile stocks in CA Market17.1%
10% least volatile stocks in CA Market3.8%

Stable Share Price: KEY has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Canadian market.

Volatility Over Time: KEY's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1998n/aC. Setoguchiwww.keyera.com

Keyera Corp. together with its subsidiaries, engages in the gathering and processing of natural gas; and the transportation, storage, and marketing of natural gas liquids and iso-octane in Canada and the United States. It operates through three segments: Gathering and Processing, Liquids Infrastructure, and Marketing. The Gathering and Processing segment owns and operates raw gas gathering pipelines and processing plants, which collects and process raw natural gas, remove waste products, and separate economic components, primarily natural gas liquids; and provides gas handling services and other ancillary services, such as NGL extraction, NGL handling and loading services, and condensate stabilization.

Keyera Corp. Fundamentals Summary

How do Keyera's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
KEY fundamental statistics
Market capCA$15.93b
Earnings (TTM)CA$180.03m
Revenue (TTM)CA$6.39b
89.2x
P/E Ratio
2.5x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
KEY income statement (TTM)
RevenueCA$6.39b
Cost of RevenueCA$5.26b
Gross ProfitCA$1.13b
Other ExpensesCA$949.43m
EarningsCA$180.03m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)0.64
Gross Margin17.66%
Net Profit Margin2.82%
Debt/Equity Ratio243.6%

How did KEY perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.8%
Current Dividend Yield
272%
Payout Ratio

Does KEY pay a reliable dividends?

See KEY dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy KEY by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Keyera dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateJun 15 2026
Dividend Pay DateJun 30 2026
Days until Ex dividend8 days
Days until Dividend pay date7 days

Does KEY pay a reliable dividends?

See KEY dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/22 04:09
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/22 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Keyera Corp. is covered by 28 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nathan HeywoodATB Cormark
Brent WatsonATB Cormark Historical (Cormark Securities)
Christopher TillettBarclays