Our community narratives are driven by numbers and valuation.
An analyst friend from Malaysia asked me to take a look at an M&A exercise involving two regional large-caps which has recently gone awry. I finished the valuation and shared it with him, then asked him if I could post it here since I had already done the work.Read more

Moody’s sits at the center of the global bond market, getting paid whenever governments and companies raise money, while also building a steadier subscription-style data and software business. The main question is whether new tools like AI weaken its role or end up strengthening it as debt markets and regulation keep growing.Read more
Horizon Aircraft is trying a different route to flying taxis: a plane that takes off like a helicopter but cruises like a normal aircraft, so it doesn’t depend on widespread charging networks. The team’s rewards hinge on hitting a bigger company size, and the story looks at whether patents, early customer interest, and upcoming flight and approval milestones can outweigh funding and certification risks.Read more

Sanyo Trading looks steadier again after a wobbly year, with its sustainability business picking up as customers keep buying repeat-use supplies and a big biomass project moves forward. One major contract ending still weighs on results, but the core business is starting to improve and the next leg of growth depends on new initiatives showing up over the coming years.Read more

Arrow, a small Colombian oil producer, sits on a growing cash pile with no debt, but its biggest upside hinges on a make-or-break permit decision and whether new wells keep delivering. See why this could be a time-limited trade rather than a long-term hold, and what could leave the shares stuck for months even if the company stays healthy.Read more
Vestland Berhad kicks off the year with stronger results, helped by faster progress on its design-and-build projects and steady work across other construction services. With a large pipeline of contracted jobs and a construction market that’s still growing, the key question is whether it can keep this momentum while costs rise.Read more
BrightSpring’s growth story may look like home health at first glance, but the real engine is its specialty and long-term care pharmacy business, where patients rarely switch providers once treatment starts. As the company finishes cleanup work from past restructuring, improving efficiency and lower debt could change how the market views the business.Read more
INTC Primer: No Equity Dilution Necessary (Part 1) When I first wrote about INTC (link above), the stock was trading at around $20. At the time, Intel could do no right — Pat Gelsinger was fired, Foundry was eating up precious cash flow, the dividend was cut — it was a perfect storm of unfortunate events.Read more
