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CA$5.25
FV
4.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
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AU$0.4
FV
27.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
23.43%
Revenue growth p.a.
2.2k
users have viewed this narrative
5users have liked this narrative
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€89.45
28.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
5% p.a.
Profit Margin
15%
Future PE
22x
Price in 2031
€121.23
MSFT logo
Microsoft

Everyone's Terrified Microsoft Will Keep Spending. I'm Terrified They'll Stop.

Microsoft just burned $37.5 billion in 90 days. The stock has lost a third of its value.Read more

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US$466
11.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
9.8% p.a.
Profit Margin
46%
Future PE
22.21x
Price in 2031
US$700.64
€50.32
13.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
15% p.a.
Profit Margin
16.36%
Future PE
17.67x
Price in 2029
€71.24
US$270
26.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
27.02% p.a.
Profit Margin
52%
Future PE
28.5x
Price in 2031
US$444.48
CRMD logo
CorMedix

CRMD is trading at 5.9x trough-year EBITDA with the market ascribing near-zero value to two near-term pipeline events

Investment Thesis DefenCath's regulatory moat (only FDA-approved antimicrobial CLS in the U.S., NCE+GAIN exclusivity through 2033, composition patent to 2042) is intact and the 72% real-world CRBSI reduction is standard-of-care quality data; the TDAPA pricing step-down is a commercial mechanics event, not a competitive displacement event The stock at $7.02 prices in approximately the bear case ($6.54), meaning investors are effectively receiving the REZZAYO prophylaxis Phase III binary and the DefenCath TPN pipeline for free — an unusual asymmetry for a cash-flow-positive commercial pharma company Operating cash flow of $175M in FY2025 and $148.5M in cash provides full self-funding of pipeline without dilution risk, and the $75M buyback at current prices represents management's explicit capital allocation conviction about intrinsic value The Melinta acquisition was well-priced ($30M goodwill on $391M identified intangibles) and adds an annualizing $130M+ revenue stream with shared call points that provide SG&A leverage as the combined platform scales Post-TDAPA recovery in 2027 (3x–5x higher add-on payment vs. H2 2026 per management, plus Medicare Advantage contracting upside not in guidance) provides a clearly identified catalyst path back to re-rating independent of pipeline success Risk Considerations ReSPECT Phase III failure (data Q2 2026) would eliminate ~$221M of base case rNPV, trigger impairment of the $143M IPR&D intangible, and likely reset the stock to the $5.60 52-week low or below — this is the primary binary risk and is near-term Customer concentration at 79% revenue from three accounts is structurally dangerous; any publicly announced reduction in DefenCath orders from a major dialysis organization would be a material negative event with little warning The Q4 GAAP EPS miss ($0.16 vs.Read more

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US$12
35.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
38.8% p.a.
Profit Margin
51.99%
Future PE
3.42x
Price in 2031
US$16.82
€11
43.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Profit Margin
5.45%
Future PE
18.49x
Price in 2029
€14.77