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Weekly Picks
Citigroup
CH
ChadWisperer
Community Contributor
Pole position to benefit from GENIUS Act
The passing of the GENIUS Act establishes a clear regulatory framework for stablecoins, allowing banks like Citi to issue their own stablecoins; Citi Token Services lets Citi position itself as the "killer app" for institutional cross-border payments, absorbing complexities and offering instant, cost-effective solutions; Core business is firing on all cylinders , with record performances in Markets and Wealth, significant share gains in Investment Banking (especially M&A, LevFin, and sponsors), and robust growth in Services and U.S. Personal Banking, all contributing to strong revenue momentum; Highly capital efficient returning $3 billion in capital during the quarter , including $2 billion in share repurchases, part of our $20 billion repurchase plan with a goal of 11% Return on tangible equity (ROTE or ROTCE). ✨ Chat with this narrative: https://notebooklm.google.com/notebook/aa2a6c92-6bd1-495e-beb5-d8d4e6525410 (believe a Google account is required) Background Citigroup Inc.
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US$233.04
FV
58.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
14
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
34
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
IREN
KA
kapirey
Community Contributor
IREN will transform from bitcoin miner to leader in AI infrastructure
Key Highlights Financial Performance (Q3 FY25) Record Revenue : $148.1 million Record Adjusted EBITDA : $83.3 million Record EBITDA : $82.7 million Profit After Tax : $24.2 million Avg. Operating Hashrate : 29.4 EH/s Strong Margins : All-in cash cost per BTC mined at $41k vs.
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US$21.48
FV
17.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
49.99%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
34
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
XRF Scientific
RO
Robbo
Community Contributor
Behind the Assay: XRF Scientific’s Role in Modern Mining Economics
There’s an old saying that in a gold rush, those who make the money are the ones selling the shovels; and mining service companies have indeed proven to be shrewd investments historically. XRF Scientific holds a strong niche in sample preparation equipment and consumables used in X-ray fluorescence (XRF) and X-ray diffraction (XRD) analysis, which are essential in determining the quality and purity of materials.
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AU$2.10
FV
2.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.68%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
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Stellantis
WO
woodworthfund
Community Contributor
BETTING AGAINST MATH? PERFECT. I’LL BE BUYING MORE STELLANTIS (STLA)
Stellantis is an underappreciated gem in an out-of-favor market. Recent layoffs at their Michigan plant unrelated to tariffs have only compounded the malaise brought on by recent whiplash trade policy changes.
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US$30.00
FV
66.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
50.20%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
12
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
Moderna
WO
woodworthfund
Community Contributor
MODERNA (MRNA): WALLSTREET THREW IT OUT - I’LL PICK IT UP AND CASH THE CHECK
Despite the defunding of US governmental research and health services, Moderna remains in a commanding fundamental position. The company that made its name during the COVID-19 pandemic developing and manufacturing vaccines for the disease at breakneck pace also happened to have bagged a historic windfall in exchange for its performance.
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US$175.00
FV
80.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
48.43%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
VNOM
Viper Energy
ID
Idle
Community Contributor
Great dividend, add on dip
This is one of three major benefits the company brings to the table: As I just briefly explained, the company has a high-margin business model, as it does not incur drilling costs. The Permian is home to almost half of all onshore horizontal rigs in the United States.
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US$38.00
FV
0.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.62%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
MTN Nigeria Communications
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
MTN Nigeria Reverses Fortunes in Q1 2025 with 134% Profit Surge, Returns to Positive Trajectory
MTN Nigeria Plc has delivered a remarkable turnaround in Q1 2025, with profit after tax surging by 134% year-on-year to ₦133.64 billion , a significant recovery from the ₦392.7 billion loss reported in Q1 2024 , firmly signaling the telecom giant’s return to profitability. Key Financial Highlights: Revenue: ₦1.057 trillion ▲ +40.5% YoY (Q1 2024: ₦753 billion) Profit After Tax: ₦133.64 billion ▲ +134% YoY EBITDA: Up 65.9%; EBITDA Margin: 46.6% ▲ +7.2 ppts Free Cash Flow: ₦209.9 billion ▼ -54.8%, impacted by accelerated capex Net FX Losses: ₦5.5 billion ▼ -99.2% (Q1 2024: ₦656.4 billion) Net Finance Costs: ₦134.5 billion ▼ -44% YoY Capex: ₦202.4 billion ▲ +159% YoY Operational Drivers and Strategic Execution MTN’s strong topline performance was fueled by a 51.5% surge in data revenue (₦529.4 billion) and 27.7% increase in voice revenue (₦407.4 billion).
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₦241.10
FV
65.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
34.24%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
12
users have commented on this narrative
24
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
Cadbury Nigeria
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
Cadbury Nigeria Soars 21% Ahead of Q1 2025 Earnings Amid Signs of Operational Recovery
Cadbury Nigeria Plc saw its market value surge by 21% in the equities segment of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) over the past week, as investor sentiment turned optimistic in anticipation of the company’s Q1 2025 earnings release. The stock advanced from ₦22.00 to ₦26.60 , with over 1.34 million shares changing hands, amounting to ₦35.3 million in value.
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₦25.02
FV
174.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.59%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
AstraZeneca
UN
Unike
Community Contributor
Expect a future valuation of 22x as AstraZeneca bets on pipeline strength
Catalysts Most Immediate Catalyst (1–2 Years): Strong Oncology Portfolio Growth: AstraZeneca’s cancer drugs Tagrisso, Imfinzi, Enhertu, and Calquence continue gaining market share, driving double-digit revenue growth in oncology. Respiratory & Cardiovascular Expansion: New approvals and label expansions in Farxiga (diabetes/heart failure) and Tezspire (severe asthma) can drive meaningful sales upside.
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SEK 1.67k
FV
17.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
39
users have liked this narrative
6
users have commented on this narrative
116
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
Pandora
SW
swift11
Community Contributor
The accessible-luxury jewelry brand Pandora posted 8% same-store sales growth in the U.S. last year.
U.S. jewelry sales advanced a tepid 1.3% in 2024, driven primarily by price increases as the number of units sold dropped 1.6%, according to industry analyst Edahn Golan of Tenoris. Yet, while American consumers largely hit the pause button on new jewelry purchases, the accessible-luxury jewelry brand Pandora posted 8% same-store sales growth in the U.S. last year.
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DKK 1.60k
FV
34.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.37%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
thyssenkrupp nucera KGaA
CH
Chris1
Community Contributor
Thyssenkrupp Nucera Will Achieve Double-Digit Profits by 2030 Boosted by Hydrogen Growth
EBIT-margin trajectory: Historical: 2.3 % → 3.6 % (FY 22/23) , down to – 2 % (FY 23/24) , back to 3 % in Q1 24/25 Forecast: Gradual recovery to 4–6 % by FY 25/26, reaching 6–8 % by FY 29/30 Revenue growth: Historical: + 70 % (FY 22/23) , + 30 % (FY 23/24) , + 27 % (Q1 24/25) Forecast: ~ 15 % CAGR over the next five years (FY 24/25–29/30) Five-year share-price goal: Current fair value: € 8.5–9.0 per share Five-year target: € 14–15 per share (≈ 1.9 bn EUR market cap) Enterprise value (EV) outlook (DCF-based): Revenues rising to ~ 1.8 bn EUR by FY 29/30 EBIT of ~ 145 m EUR (8 % margin) → NOPAT ~ 102 m EUR FCF margin ~ 5 % → ~ 90 m EUR FCF Terminal-value multiple: EV/FCF = 15 → TV ~ 1.35 bn EUR Discounted EV: ≈ 1.18 bn EUR + net cash 0.69 bn EUR → ≈ 1.87 bn EUR → ~ 14.8 EUR/share Top risks: execution delays, margin pressure from competition, raw-material cost swings, subsidy uncertainty, heavy capex needs Narrative Outlook Over the next five years, thyssenkrupp nucera is poised to leverage its unique position at the intersection of mature Chlor-Alkali expertise and rapid Green-Hydrogen adoption. After a transitional phase in FY 23/24 with negative margins driven by upfront investments, the company’s shift toward series-manufactured AWE modules and high-growth project backlog supports a steady margin recovery.
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€14.40
FV
28.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
15.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
21
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
Avino Silver & Gold Mines
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Avino a case for USD$20 per share within 5 years (assuming $3,500 gold, $100 silver and $4 copper).
Full disclosure. I am a shareholder at the time of writing this.
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CA$26.79
FV
81.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
78.01%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
17
users have liked this narrative
5
users have commented on this narrative
56
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
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