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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
62
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
66
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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SigmaRoc
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Lime And Limestone Integration And Divestitures Will Improve Efficiency
Key Takeaways Strategic divestments and focus on profitable segments are set to enhance net margins and revenue quality through targeted asset sales. Synergies, efficient cash flow use, and sector positioning could drive earnings growth and margin improvements through internal efficiencies and cost savings.
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UK£1.38
FV
16.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.38%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
CIBE
Grupo Cibest
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Nequi's Expansion And Regional Diversification May Strengthen Prospects Despite Margin Pressure
Key Takeaways Bancolombia's loan portfolio growth, particularly in mortgages and regional diversification, is expected to drive future revenue expansion and earnings enhancement. Strategic initiatives in digital platforms and capital management could improve net margins and support long-term profitability goals.
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Col$55.83k
FV
3.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.91%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Hongkong Land Holdings
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Capital Recycling And Premium Assets Will Drive Vision 2035
Key Takeaways Capital recycling, strategic investments, and share buybacks are poised to enhance shareholder value, flexibility, and earnings growth. Focus on ultra-premium properties and management incentives could elevate revenue, productivity, and alignment with financial targets.
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US$6.31
FV
4.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.89%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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Etsy
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 26 Analysts
AI Personalization And App Engagement Will Boost E-commerce Appeal
Key Takeaways Investment in AI personalization and mobile app engagement is expected to drive higher buyer retention, increased loyalty, and improved revenue margins over time. Differentiation through unique, creator-driven products and social commerce aligns Etsy with shifting consumer preferences, enhancing long-term growth prospects and platform stickiness.
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US$55.15
FV
6.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.75%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
35
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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New India Assurance
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Digital Challenges And Climate Risks Will Limit Future Performance
Key Takeaways Intensifying competition from tech-driven insurers and persistent legacy inefficiencies threaten New India Assurance's market share, operational agility, and long-term revenue growth. High exposure to climate risks and low-margin, government-mandated schemes continues to weigh on profitability, earnings stability, and return on equity.
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₹180.00
FV
4.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.69%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
29 days ago
author updated this narrative
Anadolu Efes Biracilik ve Malt Sanayii Anonim Sirketi
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Tighter Regulations In Turkey And Global Shifts Will Weaken Performance
Key Takeaways Shifting consumer preferences and tighter regulations are pressuring core beer volumes and limiting revenue growth, especially in key markets. Exposure to geopolitical risks and rising input costs threaten profitability, with limited capacity to offset margin pressures through price increases.
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₺16.00
FV
3.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
20.78%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
29 days ago
author updated this narrative
United Spirits
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 21 Analysts
India Trends Will Erode Margins Amid Rising Competition
Key Takeaways Evolving consumer preferences and rising regulatory pressures threaten long-term sales growth, revenue stability, and the effectiveness of marketing initiatives. Intensifying competition, reliance on lower-margin products, and waning cost benefits may squeeze profitability and limit future margin expansion.
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₹1.21k
FV
9.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.93%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
29 days ago
author updated this narrative
Beazer Homes USA
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Rising Mortgage Rates And Climate Risks Will Erode Fundamentals
Key Takeaways Persistent affordability challenges and demographic shifts are expected to limit homebuyer demand, slowing sales growth and pressuring pricing power. High regional concentration and debt levels, alongside labor and supply chain pressures, expose the company to increased operational and financial risk.
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US$23.00
FV
5.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
29 days ago
author updated this narrative
Wilcon Depot
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Residential Building And Store Expansion Will Unlock New Markets
Key Takeaways Expansion into new provincial markets and investments in store upgrades enhance Wilcon's retail leadership and long-term growth prospects. Margin expansion and profitability are supported by improved inventory costs, supply chain efficiencies, and increased focus on higher-margin in-house brands.
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₱8.60
FV
14.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.19%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
49
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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