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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
62
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
65
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Envista Holdings
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Expanding Digital Dentistry And Aging Demographics Will Drive Industry Transformation
Key Takeaways Expansion in digital dentistry and premium product innovation positions Envista for higher margins and revenue diversification amid industry shifts toward advanced, aesthetic solutions. Stable global demand, operational efficiencies, and a flexible supply chain support predictable earnings and reduce downside risks despite macroeconomic volatility.
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US$21.25
FV
2.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.01%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Hang Seng Bank
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Expansion Into Wealth Management And Digital Solutions Will Improve Future Prospects
Key Takeaways Diversifying revenue through increased noninterest income and wealth management enhances growth potential and net margins due to higher-margin activities. Effective risk management and digital investment stabilize earnings and support improved shareholder returns by reducing costs and credit risk.
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HK$107.39
FV
5.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.66%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
9658
Super Hi International Holding
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Diverse Dining And Global Expansion Will Balance Risk And Upside
Key Takeaways Diversifying dining experiences and localizing operations aim to boost customer traffic, operational efficiency, and satisfaction, potentially enhancing revenue growth. Global store expansion and innovation projects drive revenue prospects, but increased CapEx and significant investments could impact near-term earnings and profitability.
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HK$18.33
FV
16.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
13.81%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Solar
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Unpredictable Recovery Will Impact Revenue Projections In 2025
Key Takeaways Stagnant growth and cost pressures are expected to reduce earnings, impacting revenue projections and net margins. Investments in automation may not yield immediate returns, potentially affecting short-term net earnings.
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DKK 295.00
FV
5.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Helvetia Holding
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Insurance Firm's Capital-Light Focus Will Drive Efficiency, But Divergent Analyst Forecasts Highlight Uncertainty
Key Takeaways Helvetia's capital-light focus in Life and improved operational efficiency aims to boost profitability and net margins. Ambitious revenue growth through specialty business expansion in Europe and technical excellence could enhance long-term earnings and dividends.
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CHF 200.20
FV
1.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.73%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
18 days ago
author updated this narrative
Jupiter Fund Management
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Key Team Exits And European Underperformance Will Impair Global Prospects
Key Takeaways Departures and fund underperformance may negatively impact revenue growth and client retention, emphasizing the need for new inflows and improved investment performance. Squeezed fee margins and rising costs could pressure net margins, affecting future profitability unless AUM growth is achieved and strategic initiatives succeed.
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UK£1.16
FV
8.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.11%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
BW Offshore
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
New FPSO Projects May Strengthen Operations Despite Earnings Decline
Key Takeaways Strategic FPSO project expansion and emerging floating wind initiatives could drive long-term revenue growth and diversification into low-carbon energy solutions. A strong balance sheet and targeted capital allocation enhance financial flexibility and potentially increase net margins and shareholder returns.
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NOK 34.80
FV
0.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-11.64%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Bank of Ireland Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Ireland Demographics And Digital Banking Will Enable Strong Future Performance
Key Takeaways Strong retail lending growth and market leadership in mortgages position the bank well amid favorable economic and demographic trends. Digital adoption, wealth management expansion, and robust capital discipline underpin sustained efficiency, earnings resilience, and shareholder value.
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€13.22
FV
13.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.11%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Tikehau Capital
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
ETF Competition And Rising Regulation Will Crush Returns
Key Takeaways Prolonged low interest rates, rising regulation, and competition threaten Tikehau Capital's revenue, margins, and ability to grow or sustain earnings in alternative investments. Shifts to passive investments and reliance on illiquid strategies expose the firm to fee pressure, muted fundraising, and greater vulnerability to sudden changes in investor sentiment.
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€20.00
FV
4.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
20.60%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
about 1 month ago
author updated this narrative
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