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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings — the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes — including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B — now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling — a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$268.43
FV
27.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
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0
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
21 days ago
author updated this narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
43.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
41.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
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Rentokil Initial
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Terminix Integration And Network Expansion Will Improve North American Operations
Key Takeaways Expanding North American operations with new branches and improved marketing boosts revenue potential and operational reach. Terminix acquisition integration enhances cost efficiency, improving margins and contributing to earnings growth.
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UK£4.23
FV
14.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.79%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
22
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Narayana Hrudayalaya
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Capacity Delays And Rising Costs Will Hinder Indian Healthcare Expansion
Key Takeaways Capacity constraints, stagnating patient numbers, and external regulatory pressures limit Narayana Hrudayalaya's growth prospects and restrict margin expansion opportunities. Aggressive new ventures and rising operating costs are straining profitability, while intensifying competition and higher capital needs threaten long-term returns.
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₹1.16k
FV
71.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.03%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
ISA Energía Brasil
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Rooftop Solar Surge And Cost Overruns Will Shatter Fundamentals
Key Takeaways Distributed energy adoption and changing regulations threaten traditional revenue streams and may compress long-term earnings and growth prospects. Increasing climate risks, project execution challenges, and competitive pressures could elevate costs, hinder returns, and strain profitability.
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R$21.00
FV
5.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-16.82%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
RDC
Redcare Pharmacy
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Germany eRx Delays Will Pressure The Sector Yet Spark Recovery
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on electronic prescription adoption and regulatory trends poses significant risks to growth and revenue predictability. Intensifying competition, persistent offline loyalty, and regulatory scrutiny threaten market share, margin expansion, and sustainable digital penetration.
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€94.39
FV
12.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
18.47%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
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5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Drax Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Zero-carbon Renewables Will Reclassify Biomass And Undermine Viability
Key Takeaways Regulatory and investor skepticism over biomass sustainability could cut off subsidies and financing, raising costs and threatening Drax's expansion and returns. Advances in renewables and stricter emissions standards risk eroding Drax's market share, compressing margins, and exposing the company to stranded asset risks.
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UK£5.29
FV
30.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-14.21%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Norsk Hydro
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
Sustainable Metals Demand Will Transform Future Industry Landscape
Key Takeaways Growing demand for sustainable aluminum and strong renewable energy sourcing reinforce Hydro's leadership and pricing power in low-carbon metals. Automation, cost savings, and a downstream focus drive margin improvements and position the company for sustainable long-term earnings growth.
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NOK 64.75
FV
2.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-1.20%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
28
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Aberdeen Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Fee Pressures And Digital Shifts Will Undermine Legacy Business
Key Takeaways Persistent fee pressure, digital disruption, and regulatory costs threaten Aberdeen's traditional model, compressing margins and risking revenue as clients move to lower-cost alternatives. Limited success in capturing high-value inflows and ongoing outflows in core segments undermine sustainable growth and put long-term earnings targets at risk.
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UK£1.40
FV
42.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-2.44%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
TOTVS
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Cloud Giants Will Drive Brazilian Compliance Costs And Erode Margins
Key Takeaways Growing competition from international SaaS and hyperscale cloud providers threatens TOTVS's market share, margins, and client retention in Latin America. Stricter compliance demands, economic instability, and rising low-code/open-source adoption increase operational costs and intensify pricing pressures on TOTVS.
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R$33.00
FV
29.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
15.18%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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5 days ago
author updated this narrative
NCSOFT
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 26 Analysts
Aging Franchises And Cost Pressures Will Weaken Long-Run Prospects
Key Takeaways Dependence on older franchises and shifting consumer preferences are reducing engagement, constraining growth, and threatening long-term earnings stability. Mounting regulatory pressures, rising operational costs, and intense competition are squeezing profitability and market share, heightening risks to future financial performance.
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₩118.00k
FV
64.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.45%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
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