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Global Weekly Picks
Airbnb
TI
TickerTickle
Community Contributor
Airbnb (ABNB): Still one of the most interesting bets in travel
Key insights Airbnb is changing from a travel-only app to a full lifestyle platform (stays, rentals, experiences) International markets are growing faster than the US, which is slowing down Product experience is improving a lot, with AI making search and booking easier Regulations are becoming a big risk, especially in Europe where listings are getting removed The way people move around the world has changed. It’s not only about holidays anymore.
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US$163.75
FV
27.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
ING Groep
PI
PittTheYounger
Community Contributor
ING leads the pack when it comes to pivoting towards non-lending income
ING, of course, is a bank; and banks don't like falling interest rates, right? For the dominant stream of income is their core business model, i.e. borrowing short-term and lending long-term, reaping the difference in interest rates in the process.
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€27.92
FV
25.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Coles Group
RO
Robbo
Community Contributor
Coles (ASX: COL): Safe, Steady, and Surprisingly Cheap
The supermarket chain Coles is the kind of “boring” business that may have been overlooked as an investment opportunity. Although it was divested from Wesfarmers in 2018, Coles’ heritage traces back to 1914 — giving it over 110 years of history.
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AU$22.00
FV
5.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
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HF Sinclair
ST
StickmanCyborg
Community Contributor
HF Sinclair Corp: A Nuanced Investment Case
HF Sinclair Corporation represents an intricate investment proposition in the ever-shifting dynamics of the energy sector. Against the background of recent underperformance, a combination of factors suggests probable undervaluation, for which a closer look might be warranted.
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US$98.48
FV
56.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
8
users have followed this narrative
7 months ago
author updated this narrative
Smith Micro Software
NA
NateF
Community Contributor
SMSI Market Outlook
Smith Micro Software, Inc. (SMSI) specializes in developing software solutions for wireless service providers, focusing on digital lifestyle and security technologies.
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US$0.64
FV
1.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
28.25%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
22
users have followed this narrative
7 months ago
author updated this narrative
T-Mobile US
WA
WallStreetWontons
Community Contributor
TMUS: Fairly Priced with Growing Margins Among its Peers, Verizon and AT&T
Catalysts Products or Services Impacting Sales or Earnings T-Mobile (TMUS) has several key products and services that could significantly impact its sales and earnings: 5G Network Expansion : T-Mobile’s aggressive rollout of its 5G network is a major growth driver. The company has been leading in 5G coverage and performance, which attracts more customers and increases service revenues.
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US$201.69
FV
23.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.30%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Tencent Holdings
PA
Panayiotis
Community Contributor
Tencent's robust growth prospects will have a 22x impact on their future PE ratio
Catalysts Fueling Tencent's Future: Expansion of Cloud Services : Tencent Cloud is rapidly growing, capitalizing on the global surge in digital transformation. As businesses increasingly migrate to the cloud for scalability and efficiency, Tencent's robust infrastructure and advanced AI capabilities position it as a formidable contender in cloud computing, both within China and internationally.
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HK$508.40
FV
10.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
12.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
Walt Disney
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Parks and Resorts Will Transform Disney Into A Tourism Magnet, Drastically Improving Revenue And Margins
Key Takeaways Disney will transform to a tourism-centered company focusing on parks and resorts, a space lacking any serious competition. I expect sales to grow 4.3% over the next 5 years, primarily driven by Parks.
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US$112.22
FV
0.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.30%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
8
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
LYC Healthcare Berhad
ON
Ontological
Community Contributor
Resilience in Healthcare-LYC Healthcare
LYC Healthcare: Progress Amid Challenges LYC Healthcare’s latest Q2 FY2025 results reflect steady progress, with revenue rising 29% year-on-year to RM41.74 million from RM32.01 million. This growth was driven by strong performance in its nutraceutical, clinical, and confinement businesses, alongside contributions from new subsidiaries.
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RM 0.25
FV
90.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.47%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
8 months ago
author updated this narrative
Amazon.com
DR
DrBaraa_Alnahal
Community Contributor
Why Amazon?
Why Amazon? Amazon revolutionized the way consumers shop.
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US$232.22
FV
4.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.49%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
7 months ago
author updated this narrative
Global Payments
MA
Maxell
Community Contributor
Global Payments will reach new heights with a 34% upside potential
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 12-Month Price Target: $142 Current Price: $105.71 Implied Upside: 34.3% Rating: STRONG BUY Risk Assessment: MODERATE INVESTMENT THESIS Global Payments (GPN) presents a compelling investment opportunity at current levels, with three key catalysts driving potential outperformance in 2025: Q4 2024 momentum in Merchant Solutions with strong POS adoption (added ~3,000 new locations) Strategic sale of AdvancedMD for $1.125 billion at attractive multiple with $700M earmarked for shareholder returns Successful integration of EVO Payments enhancing B2B capabilities and geographic reach VALUATION METHODOLOGY Our $142 price target reflects: Forward P/E multiple of 13x (below historical average, reflecting current market dynamics) applied to our 2025 EPS estimate of $10.92 EV/EBITDA multiple of 11x on projected 2025 EBITDA, reflecting recent sector compression DCF analysis using 9.5% WACC (adjusted for higher rate environment) and 3% terminal growth KEY GROWTH DRIVERS Recent Performance Highlights Q3 2024 adjusted net revenue increased 6% to $2.36 billion Adjusted operating margin expanded 40 basis points to 46.1% Added 92 new software partners in Q3, up 60% year-over-year Macro Environment U.S. GDP growth projected at 2.4% for 2025, supporting payment volumes Fed funds rate expected to decrease to 3.88%, reducing funding costs Resilient high-income consumer spending evidenced by recent holiday data RISK FACTORS Near-term margin pressure from technology investments and compensation costs Integration execution risk from recent acquisitions Increasing competition in digital payments space Potential policy changes under new administration FINANCIAL METRICS Key Financial Metrics for Q4 2024E: Revenue Growth: 5-6% Operating Margin: 46.1% EPS Growth: 11-12% Free Cash Flow Conversion: 92% Projected Metrics for 2025E: Revenue Growth: 8-9% Operating Margin: 46.6% EPS Growth: 13-14% Free Cash Flow Conversion: 93% STRATEGIC POSITIONING Recent developments reinforce GPN's leadership in: Integrated payments with strong new partner acquisition B2B payments expansion through EVO integration Software-driven solutions with continued innovation International market penetration RECOMMENDATION RATIONALE Our STRONG BUY recommendation at current price of $105.71 is based on: Current valuation represents significant discount to intrinsic value Strong Q3 2024 execution with improving operating leverage Strategic initiatives creating clearer growth path Robust free cash flow generation supporting shareholder returns
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US$142.00
FV
43.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
13.04%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
22
users have followed this narrative
7 months ago
author updated this narrative
Endeavour Silver
RO
RockeTeller
Community Contributor
If silver reaches $100 per oz
To calculate the stock price of Endeavour Silver if silver reaches $100 per oz, we can follow these steps based on the projected production and valuation metrics: ### Assumptions 1. Production Estimate: 9 million oz annually starting in 2025.
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CA$51.43
FV
85.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
96.89%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
11 months ago
author updated this narrative
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