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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
30.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
42
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
17
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
48
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
40.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
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NNFM
Northern Nigeria Flour Mills
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
Strong Revenue Growth and Asset Expansion Drive NNFM’s Q1 2025 Earnings Upsurge
Northern Nigeria Flour Mills Plc (NNFM) has delivered a solid financial performance for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, reflecting robust topline growth, disciplined cost management, and significant balance sheet expansion. Key Takeaways: Revenue surged by 36.38% year-on-year to N35.3 billion (FY 2024: N25.9 billion), underscoring strong product demand and effective market penetration.
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₦71.00
FV
31.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.80%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative
Alibaba Group Holding
ST
StefanoF
Community Contributor
Alibaba's Fair Value may Suggests Growth Despite Trade and Regulatory Risks but...
Alibaba delivered solid FY2025 results with revenue growing 6% to RMB 996.3 billion ($137.3B). Key highlights include core e-commerce (Taobao/Tmall) customer management revenue growing 12%, Cloud Intelligence revenue accelerating to 18% growth, and AI-related products achieving triple-digit growth for the seventh consecutive quarter.
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US$107.09
FV
11.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
14.12%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
13
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative
Porsche Automobil Holding
ST
StefanoF
Community Contributor
Is Porsche Automobil Holding set to surpass analyst targets with fair value at €40
Based on my research, here's a brief fundamental analysis and DCF valuation of Porsche Automobil Holding SE (PAH3): Fundamental Analysis Business Model: Porsche SE is a holding company that owns 52.2% of Volkswagen AG (including 12 brands: Audi, Bentley, Bugatti, Ducati, Lamborghini, MAN, Porsche, Scania, SEAT, ŠKODA, Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles and Volkswagen Passenger Cars) and has investments in mobility and industrial technology 2024 Financial Performance: Profit after tax: €2.51 billion (9M 2024), down 34% YoY from €3.8 billion 2024 full-year profit forecast: €2.4-4.4 billion range Net debt projected: €5.0-5.5 billion by year-end 2024 2024 dividend: €1.910 per preferred share, €1.904 per ordinary share Key Challenges: Expected significant non-cash impairment losses on VW and Porsche AG investments for 2024, making group result after tax significantly negative Trading at 29.8% discount to NAV Heavy reliance on dividends from VW and Porsche AG for debt servicing DCF Valuation Current Market Data: Current stock price: €36.77 (as of April 28, 2025) Analyst average price target: €45.78 (range: €35-78) DCF Analysis: PAH3's DCF value cannot be reliably calculated due to the holding company structure and irregular cash flow patterns. However, alternative valuation approaches suggest: Intrinsic value estimate: $6.849 USD (€6.40 approx.) - shows 26% undervaluation based on multiples-only approach Analyst consensus implies 31.74% upside potential to €45.78 Investment Thesis: Strengths: Exposure to leading automotive brands, solid dividend history, trading at discount to NAV Risks: High leverage (€5.3B net debt), impairment charges, dependence on underlying holdings' performance Conclusion: PAH3 appears undervalued at current levels, but traditional DCF valuation is challenging due to its holding company structure.
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€40.00
FV
11.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
0%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative
Cerro de Pasco Resources
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
A CASE FOR USD$2.50 (CAD$3.44) BY 2028 (A 5-10 BAGGER)
Projection for December 2028, Assuming Silver at USD 100, Oil at USD 50/Barrel, Gallium Prices Stable, and All Production Goals Achieved Company Overview Cerro de Pasco Resources Inc. (TSXV:CDPR) is a Canadian junior mining company focused on silver, zinc, and lead exploration and development, primarily through its El Metalurgista concession in Peru.
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CA$3.44
FV
86.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
105.46%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
11
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
32
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative
BANDAI NAMCO Holdings
BR
Broke_Joe
Community Contributor
Bandai Namco will ride a 6% growth wave powered by its hit games like Elden Ring
Bandai Namco is well-positioned to deliver 6–8% compound annual revenue growth over the next five years, supported by its diversified entertainment portfolio and strategic focus on intellectual property (IP) monetization. The company’s growth engine is fueled primarily by its Games segment , which benefits from a robust pipeline of AAA titles and digital distribution channels.
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JP¥2.80k
FV
75.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative
Euroseas
IN
IndusyHoldings
Community Contributor
Euroseas - Long-term contracts and high margins
Catalysts Eurosea's core business is long-term charter contracts. These are very profitable due to the tactically selected shore-based routes as a supplier to smaller ports.
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US$62.04
FV
15.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.20%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative
Whitecap Resources
ST
StjepanK
Equity Analyst and Writer
WhiteCap Is Positioned To Profit Regardless Of Trump's Policy
Key Takeaways I believe the Canadian oil and gas sector is overlooked, mainly because of Donald Trump's upcoming second term. Regardless of Trump tariff risk, which I deem overblown due to economic recoil to the American Midwest, I believe Canadians have hedged their risk, improving exporting infrastructure.
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CA$22.60
FV
52.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.51%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
26
users have liked this narrative
8
users have commented on this narrative
117
users have followed this narrative
2 months ago
author updated this narrative
MINISO Group Holding
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
MINISO’s Q1 Earnings Reveal Growth Momentum Overshadowed by Profitability Concerns
Miniso Group Holding (NYSE: MNSO; HKEX: 9896), the Japanese lifestyle retailer known for its affordable and design-forward everyday goods, reported mixed Q1 results that led to a sharp market reaction, with U.S.-listed shares plunging 17.6% — the steepest single-day drop in over two years. Despite strong revenue growth and continued global expansion, investor concerns over profit margins and rising costs weighed heavily on sentiment.
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US$18.55
FV
5.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
17.02%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
2 months ago
author updated this narrative
ZTO Express (Cayman)
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
ZTO Delivers Solid Volume Growth Amid Margin Pressures in Q1 2025
ZTO Express kicked off 2025 with a strong operational performance, highlighted by a 19.1% year-over-year surge in parcel volume to 8.5 billion —a clear reflection of robust market demand and the company's deepening competitive moat in China’s express delivery landscape. The company reiterated its full-year volume growth guidance of 20% to 24% , underscoring management's confidence in sustained momentum.
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US$20.00
FV
1.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
15.78%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
10
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
2 months ago
author updated this narrative
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