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MINISO Group Holding Community
NYSE:MNSO Community
6
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21
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125
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MINISO Group Holding
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Overvalued
MINISO Group Holding
SU
SuEric
Community Contributor
Top Pick for Multi-bagger
Strong Q1 2024 Performance In Q1 2024, $MNSO revenue surged 26% year-on-year to $515.7 million, with adjusted EBITDA margin expanding by 200 basis points to 25.9%. This growth was fueled by a robust strategy of opening new stores globally.
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US$44.06
FV
39.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
20.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
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9
users have liked this narrative
20
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23
users have followed this narrative
7 months ago
author updated this narrative
MINISO Group Holding
BE
Bejgal
Community Contributor
MINISO Group Holding will soar with a revenue surge of 17.1%
MINISO Investment Thesis This analysis is based on the MINISO 2024 Q4 and 2025 Q1 earnings call presentations and the provided transcript. # Catalysts MINISO has several key growth drivers that could meaningfully impact sales and earnings: Global Store Network Expansion: The primary catalyst is the aggressive and ongoing expansion of its store network, both in China and, more significantly, in overseas markets.
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US$32.86
FV
19.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
17.10%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
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0
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1
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16 days ago
author updated this narrative
MINISO Group Holding
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
MINISO’s Q1 Earnings Reveal Growth Momentum Overshadowed by Profitability Concerns
Miniso Group Holding (NYSE: MNSO; HKEX: 9896), the Japanese lifestyle retailer known for its affordable and design-forward everyday goods, reported mixed Q1 results that led to a sharp market reaction, with U.S.-listed shares plunging 17.6% — the steepest single-day drop in over two years. Despite strong revenue growth and continued global expansion, investor concerns over profit margins and rising costs weighed heavily on sentiment.
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US$18.55
FV
43.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
17.02%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
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0
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1
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3 months ago
author updated this narrative
MINISO Group Holding
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
US And Europe Expansion And Partnerships Will Secure Lasting Success
Key Takeaways Strategic expansion in overseas markets and enhanced store formats are expected to significantly drive growth and profitability. Diversification of supply chain and focused partnerships are designed to optimize costs, boost margins, and enhance customer engagement.
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US$25.81
FV
n/a
intrinsic discount
19.31%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
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0
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55
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Updated
narrative
MINISO Group Holding
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Digital Shift And Rising Costs Will Hinder Offline Retail
Key Takeaways Rising online shopping and digital habits threaten long-term revenue growth and in-store traffic for MINISO's chiefly offline retail model. Expanding internationally amid supply chain, cost, and brand challenges risks earnings volatility, pressure on margins, and weakened market differentiation.
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US$17.37
FV
53.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
17.67%
Revenue growth p.a.
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0
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1
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0
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2 days ago
author updated this narrative
MINISO Group Holding
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Emerging Middle-Class And Urbanization Will Catalyze Retail Expansion
Key Takeaways Accelerated international expansion, proprietary brand development, and flagship store upgrades are fueling stronger revenue growth, higher margins, and increased operating leverage. Data-driven membership and emerging market focus enhance customer loyalty and recurring sales, positioning MINISO for sustained, above-peer profitability.
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US$26.59
FV
0.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
23.73%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
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0
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2
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2 days ago
author updated this narrative
Your Valuation for
MNSO
MNSO
MINISO Group Holding
Your Fair Value
US$
Current Price
US$26.63
31.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
Growth estimate over
Annual revenue growth rate
5 Years
time period
%/yr
Decrease
Increase
Past
Future
-1b
41b
2015
2018
2021
2024
2025
2027
2030
Revenue CN¥41.4b
Earnings CN¥5.2b
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