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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Stock Price

NYSE:ZTO Community·US$17.0b Market Cap
  • 4 Narratives written by author
  • 5 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 33 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

ZTO Share Price Performance

US$21.98
4.37 (24.82%)
US$23.87
Fair Value
US$21.98
4.37 (24.82%)
7.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
US$23.87
Fair Value
Price US$21.98
AnalystConsensusTarget US$23.87
AnalystHighTarget US$32.53
AnalystLowTarget US$24.24

ZTO Community Narratives

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Fair Value US$23.87 7.9% undervalued intrinsic discount

Sustained Profitability And Efficiency Will Drive Continued Market Outperformance

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Fair Value US$32.53 32.4% undervalued intrinsic discount

E-commerce And AI Logistics Will Transform China And Southeast Asia

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Fair Value US$24.24 9.3% undervalued intrinsic discount

Chinese E-Commerce Deceleration And Cost Pressures Will Strain Performance

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US$32.53
32.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
14.42% p.a.
Profit Margin
20.02%
Future PE
12.34x
Price in 2029
US$41.78
US$24.24
9.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
8.37% p.a.
Profit Margin
19.2%
Future PE
11.33x
Price in 2029
US$31.22
US$23.87
7.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
8.97% p.a.
Profit Margin
19.23%
Future PE
14.31x
Price in 2029
US$30.5

Trending Discussion

Updated Narratives

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ZTO: Future Buybacks And Margin Gains Will Support Share Upside

Fair Value: US$32.53 32.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
3 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
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ZTO: Buybacks And Alibaba Stake Overhang Will Shape Execution And Sector Risks

Fair Value: US$24.24 9.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
0 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
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ZTO: Buybacks And Stable Margins Will Support Fairly Valued Shares

Fair Value: US$23.87 7.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
14 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
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Snowflake Analysis

Very undervalued with excellent balance sheet.

1 Risk
4 Rewards

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Key Details

CN¥51.5b

Revenue

CN¥38.7b

Cost of Revenue

CN¥12.8b

Gross Profit

CN¥3.6b

Other Expenses

CN¥9.2b

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
12.03
24.89%
17.88%
34.1%
View Full Analysis

About ZTO

Founded
2002
Employees
23399
CEO
Meisong Lai
WebsiteView website
www.zto.com

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. It also offers less-than-truckload (LTL) logistics services; integrated logistics solutions for warehousing, distribution, and transportation; and freight forwarding services. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

Recent ZTO News & Updates

Analysis Article Jun 20

ZTO Express (ZTO) Stock Could Be 7.8% Undervalued as Automation Savings Come Into Focus

Recent Share Price Moves and Return Profile ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO) has drawn investor attention after recent trading saw the stock close at US$22. Over the past month, the share price declined about 4%, and over the past 3 months it fell roughly 10%. Looking further out, the stock is up about 2.5% year to date and gained roughly 31.8% over the past year. The 3 year and 5 year total returns declined about 4.3% and 19.5% respectively. See our latest analysis for ZTO Express (Cayman). For...
Narrative Update Jun 15

ZTO: Future Buybacks And Margin Gains Will Support Share Upside

Narrative Update on ZTO Express (Cayman) The analyst price target for ZTO Express (Cayman) has been updated to $32.53 from $31.48 as analysts weigh a higher projected profit margin and a lower future P/E, along with slightly softer revenue growth assumptions and ongoing questions around a potential Alibaba stake sale overhang. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ZTO Express (Cayman) highlights a mix of optimism around profitability and market share, alongside concern about potential share overhang linked to a possible Alibaba stake sale.

Recent updates

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