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Global Weekly Picks
Airbnb
TI
TickerTickle
Community Contributor
Airbnb (ABNB): Still one of the most interesting bets in travel
Key insights Airbnb is changing from a travel-only app to a full lifestyle platform (stays, rentals, experiences) International markets are growing faster than the US, which is slowing down Product experience is improving a lot, with AI making search and booking easier Regulations are becoming a big risk, especially in Europe where listings are getting removed The way people move around the world has changed. It’s not only about holidays anymore.
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US$163.75
FV
23.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
7
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0
users have commented on this narrative
29
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New
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ING Groep
PI
PittTheYounger
Community Contributor
ING leads the pack when it comes to pivoting towards non-lending income
ING, of course, is a bank; and banks don't like falling interest rates, right? For the dominant stream of income is their core business model, i.e. borrowing short-term and lending long-term, reaping the difference in interest rates in the process.
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€27.92
FV
24.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
New
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Coles Group
RO
Robbo
Community Contributor
Coles (ASX: COL): Safe, Steady, and Surprisingly Cheap
The supermarket chain Coles is the kind of “boring” business that may have been overlooked as an investment opportunity. Although it was divested from Wesfarmers in 2018, Coles’ heritage traces back to 1914 — giving it over 110 years of history.
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AU$22.00
FV
4.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
12
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PBF Energy
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Accelerating Decarbonization Will Erode US Refining Prospects
Key Takeaways Accelerating decarbonization, stricter regulations, and aging assets threaten core refining operations, increasing costs and shrinking future revenue opportunities. Limited diversification into renewables leaves the company vulnerable to demand shifts, industry overcapacity, and long-term margin pressure.
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US$16.00
FV
44.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-2.43%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Western Union
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Legacy Remittance Methods Will Falter As Fintech Competition Intensifies
Key Takeaways Slow digital adoption and outdated pricing expose the company to faster, lower-cost fintech rivals, fueling customer loss and stagnant earnings. Shifting to digital wallets and rising compliance costs threaten the legacy retail model, squeezing margins and making revenue more unpredictable.
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US$7.00
FV
21.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-1.12%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Kontoor Brands
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Legacy Denim Will Lose Market Share Amid Rising Cost Pressures
Key Takeaways Shifting consumer preferences and a reliance on legacy brands threaten Kontoor's ability to sustain revenue growth and market share amidst rising competition. Margin pressures from industry commoditization, cost inflation, and limited diversification may hinder profitability and challenge long-term earnings stability.
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US$49.00
FV
44.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
11.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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4 days ago
author updated this narrative
CNX Resources
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Appalachian Oversupply Will Squeeze Margins Though Data Centers Assist
Key Takeaways Structural decline in natural gas demand and rising renewables adoption threaten long-term revenue, cash flow, and pricing for CNX Resources. Regulatory, geographic, and competitive pressures increase cost, risk, and earnings volatility, limiting margin expansion and capital returns.
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US$26.00
FV
11.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.77%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Clear Secure
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Rising Regulatory Backlash Will Choke Digital Identity Markets
Key Takeaways Regulatory, privacy, and cybersecurity pressures will increase operational costs, hinder growth, and squeeze profit margins across core business lines. Shifting travel behaviors and competition from both private and government sectors threaten market size, partnership stability, and recurring revenues.
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US$25.00
FV
36.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
7.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
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0
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4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Kilroy Realty
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
West Coast Office Markets Will Crumble Under Mounting Vacancy Pressures
Key Takeaways Declining office demand, tenant downsizing, and tech sector risks are pressuring occupancy, earnings stability, and leasing volumes in Kilroy's core urban markets. Rising capital needs for property upgrades and ESG compliance, along with asset value declines from market oversupply, are squeezing margins and long-term returns.
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US$33.00
FV
17.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-0.25%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Rayonier
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Rising Regulatory Burdens And Oversupply Will Erode Timber Markets
Key Takeaways Long-term demand for traditional timber is shrinking while rising costs and stricter climate regulations are squeezing margins and earnings growth. Heavy reliance on vulnerable regions and scarce, expensive acquisitions limit future growth, exposing revenues to environmental and market risks.
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US$26.00
FV
3.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-30.08%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
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0
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4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Box
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Competition From Microsoft 365 And Google Workspace Will Crush Margins
Key Takeaways Intense competition from integrated productivity suites and commoditized storage pressures Box's pricing power, margins, and customer retention. Regulatory barriers and lack of clear product differentiation hinder Box's global growth and make revenue increasingly volatile and unpredictable.
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US$24.00
FV
32.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
8.34%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Caterpillar
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 23 Analysts
Rising Tariffs And Decarbonization Will Crimp Long-Term Margins
Key Takeaways Trade protectionism and rising compliance costs threaten Caterpillar's margins, while evolving industry dynamics accelerate price competition and commoditization. Shrinking demand for traditional equipment, due to decarbonization and sluggish infrastructure spending, limits growth in Caterpillar's core markets.
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US$342.00
FV
21.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.07%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
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