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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
19
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
57
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
61
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Suncorp Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Focusing On Pure-Play Insurance May Boost Efficiency, But Inflation And Competition Could Challenge Profitability
Key Takeaways Transition to a pure-play insurer is expected to streamline operations and improve efficiency, possibly leading to higher net margins. Strong capital position after divestitures allows for substantial capital returns and EPS growth, supporting financial stability and shareholder value.
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AU$21.95
FV
5.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.01%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
29
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Vienna Insurance Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Extreme Weather And Aging Trends Will Strain CEE Profits
Key Takeaways Growing climate risks, weak demographics, and market volatility threaten profitability, while reliance on Central and Eastern Europe increases exposure to local economic and political instability. Legacy operational challenges and slow digital transformation could reduce efficiency and competitiveness compared to more technologically advanced rivals.
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€24.50
FV
85.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.37%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Endurance Technologies
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Aggressive Capacity Growth Will Erode Margins Amid Global EV Pressures
Key Takeaways Aggressive diversification into new technologies and markets increases investment risk, straining cash flow and returns amid uncertain payoffs and tough competition. Shifting industry trends and changing customer priorities threaten legacy business streams, while regulatory and supply chain pressures jeopardize future revenue and margin stability.
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₹2.05k
FV
20.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
11.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
HUB24
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
Rising Compliance Demands And Stiff Fintech Competition Will Hurt Margins
Key Takeaways Rising compliance costs, shifting consumer preferences, and increased competition threaten HUB24's margins, revenue growth, and ability to expand in the evolving investment platform landscape. Lagging technological innovation compared to global peers risks adviser and client loss, operational inefficiencies, and reduced long-term profitability.
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AU$38.35
FV
178.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
15.29%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Sumitomo Chemical Company
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Decarbonization Pressure And Capacity Additions Will Depress Margins
Key Takeaways Persistent demand declines and weak pricing, driven by global oversupply and shifting regulations, are likely to compress margins in core petrochemical businesses. Slow adaptation to green chemistry and market shifts raises risks of lost market share, product obsolescence, and reduced long-term profitability.
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JP¥320.00
FV
14.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-3.68%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Burberry Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 18 Analysts
Digital Trends Will Undermine Legacy Retail While Cost Cuts Help
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on traditional retail and geographic concentration leave Burberry vulnerable to digital disruption and geopolitical risks, threatening long-term sales and profit stability. Brand dilution, sustainability trends, and cost pressures challenge pricing power and margin recovery, raising concerns over maintaining profitability amid evolving luxury market dynamics.
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UK£6.65
FV
93.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.25%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Shurgard Self Storage
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
European Self-Storage Demand Will Plummet Under Regulatory Pressure
Key Takeaways Slowing urban growth, demographic shifts, and digitalization may limit storage demand, weakening Shurgard's revenue growth, pricing power, and customer retention. Increasing regulatory barriers, market saturation, and new agile competitors threaten expansion, expose the company to margin pressure, and elevate competitive risks.
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€33.00
FV
2.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Softcat
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Tech Competition And Cloud Shifts Will Erode Margins
Key Takeaways Increasing automation and direct vendor-customer engagement threaten Softcat's reseller model, compressing margins and diminishing its long-term earnings potential. Rising operational costs and intense competition risk further eroding Softcat's profitability as industry commoditization and regulatory challenges grow.
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UK£13.85
FV
15.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.20%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Fibra UNO
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Remote Work And Aging Assets Will Hurt Mexican Office Occupancy
Key Takeaways Shifts toward remote work and e-commerce threaten long-term demand for office and retail properties, risking higher vacancies and rental pressures. Rising financing costs, high leverage, and an aging property portfolio create vulnerabilities for future cash flows and earnings stability.
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Mex$22.95
FV
16.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.44%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
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