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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
62
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
64
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Alibaba Group Holding
ST
StefanoF
Community Contributor
Alibaba's Fair Value may Suggests Growth Despite Trade and Regulatory Risks but...
Alibaba delivered solid FY2025 results with revenue growing 6% to RMB 996.3 billion ($137.3B). Key highlights include core e-commerce (Taobao/Tmall) customer management revenue growing 12%, Cloud Intelligence revenue accelerating to 18% growth, and AI-related products achieving triple-digit growth for the seventh consecutive quarter.
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US$107.09
FV
9.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
14.12%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
13
users have followed this narrative
2 months ago
author updated this narrative
Oiltek International
DR
drkevinkwok
Community Contributor
It is just getting started! Huge upside the next 3 years
It is just getting started! Huge upside the next 3 years.
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S$0.91
FV
7.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
13.59%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
14 days ago
author updated this narrative
BigBear.ai Holdings
DR
drkevinkwok
Community Contributor
BigBear.ai Holdings is just getting started
22.2x PE Growth in July 2025. And I have a plan to hold this stock for >5 years to see it take off!
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US$14.00
FV
54.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
100.16%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
14 days ago
author updated this narrative
LiveRamp Holdings
SW
SwissSimon
Community Contributor
LiveRamp Quick Check
DCF based on current analyst estimates of FCF Using my standard discount rate of 15% Terminal PE of 20
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US$38.32
FV
16.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
15 days ago
author updated this narrative
Unity Software
DR
drkevinkwok
Community Contributor
Market leader in 3D imaging for games and movies
Market leader in 3D imaging for games and movies. I see a huge growth potential in the next 3 years
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US$39.00
FV
18.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
32.03%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
14 days ago
author updated this narrative
Skolon
SW
SwissSimon
Community Contributor
Skolon Quick Check
DCF based on current analyst estimates of FCF Using my standard discount rate of 15% Terminal PE of 25
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SEK 30.83
FV
13.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
33.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
15 days ago
author updated this narrative
Agilysys
SW
SwissSimon
Community Contributor
Agilsys Quick Check
DCF based on current analyst estimates of FCF Using my standard discount rate of 15% Terminal PE of 20
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US$29.52
FV
289.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
15 days ago
author updated this narrative
Vertiseit
SW
SwissSimon
Community Contributor
Vertiseit Quick Check
DCF based on current analyst estimates of FCF Using my standard discount rate of 15% Terminal PE of 20
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SEK 16.03
FV
344.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
15 days ago
author updated this narrative
Sprinklr
SW
SwissSimon
Community Contributor
Sprinklr Quick Check
DCF based on current analyst estimates of FCF Using my standard discount rate of 15% Terminal PE of 20
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US$7.79
FV
10.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
15 days ago
author updated this narrative
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