Global Community
Our community narratives are driven by numbers and valuation.
Community Investing Ideas
Global Weekly Picks
Sandstorm Gold Overview and Stock Price Projection (at $4,000/oz Gold)
Key Financials: 2024 Forecast: 80,000 oz production; $160M cash flow. 2029 Forecast: 155,000 oz production; $250M cash flow.Read more
Vox Overview and Stock Price Projection (at $4,000 Gold and $100 Silver)
Key Metrics: Royalties: Over 60, with 6 producing and 10+ expected by 2025. Revenue: 2021: $3.6M.Read more
Gold at $4,000/oz & production at 50K oz/year
Key Assumptions: Project Overview: Cerro Caliche Project : Production: 33K oz annually (average) for 9 years. Initial Capex: $15M.Read more
Political Status Quo Will Result in Stable Growth
Key Takeaways A geopolitical status quo means TSMC can remain the market leader It has a healthy balance sheet to invest in R&D and maintain its wide moat Growing industry and large repeat customers will drive double-digit revenue growth The stock has the potential to become a dividend aristocrat Catalysts Industry Catalysts Continuous Demand and Reliance on Chips Will Support Revenue The computing power accessed through microchips is only increasing. It goes beyond smart devices and data centers, and in the 2020s, it is a vital part of the global economy.Read more
Fair - Optimistic
Future Efforts: Digitalization: Automation of the supply chain. Investment in data, enabling large-scale digitalization across the entire value chain (from procurement to factory management, including transportation and market placement).Read more
External Factors Could Keep BHP Pinned In Place
Key Takeaways A large exposure to the iron-ore market with a muted medium-term outlook leaves BHP vulnerable. The company's second-largest segment (copper) can provide growth but is at risk of prolonged higher capex.Read more
Gold Miner with bunch of assets + 10 baggers
GoldMining Inc. Valuation if Gold Reaches $4,000/oz Key Inputs: Gold Resources: 18M oz Gold Price: $4,000/oz Valuation per oz: $100–$200/oz (industry average for gold in the ground) Other Assets: Equity Stakes: $140M (Gold Royalty + US Gold Mining) Cash: $160M Shares Outstanding: 100M (approx.) Step 1: Valuation of Gold Resources Conservative: 18M oz x $100/oz = $1.8B Optimistic: 18M oz x $200/oz = $3.6B Step 2: Add Other Assets Total Other Assets = $140M (equity stakes) + $160M (cash) = $300M Step 3: Total Valuation Conservative: $1.8B (gold) + $300M (assets) = $2.1B Optimistic: $3.6B (gold) + $300M (assets) = $3.9B Step 4: Stock Price Estimate Conservative: $2.1B / 100M shares = $21/share Optimistic: $3.9B / 100M shares = $39/share Conclusion: At $4,000 gold, GoldMining Inc.’s stock price could range from $21 to $39/share depending on market valuation of their resources and assets.Read more
$100/oz Silver, Great Risks to Rewards
Sun Silver: Valuation at $100/oz Silver Key Project: Maverick Springs (Nevada) Resource: Silver: 175M oz at 45 gpt. Silver Equivalent (AgEq): 290M oz at 70 gpt (includes gold).Read more
If gold price $4,000, silver $100
--- Coeur Mining: Stock Price Estimate at $4,000 Gold and $100 Silver --- Step 1: Revenue Estimation 1. Production Estimates for 2024: Silver: 12M oz.Read more
