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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
62
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
65
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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Porch Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Fee-Based Model Transition And Data Expansion Will Shape Our Future
Key Takeaways Porch Group's shift to a fee-based insurance model and formation of PIRE create a higher-margin, more predictable earnings structure. Strategic investments in software, data, and new geographies aim to boost future revenue and EBITDA growth, leveraging products like Home Factors.
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US$14.00
FV
12.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.14%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Vonovia
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Rising European Rates And Regulations Will Limit Returns
Key Takeaways Rising interest rates, regulatory actions, and demographic trends are pressuring profitability, cash flow, and long-term rental income growth. Increased supply, stricter environmental requirements, and higher capital spending threaten occupancy, asset values, and return on equity.
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€24.00
FV
12.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-26.42%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Pinnacle Financial Partners
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Sun Belt Markets And Digital Banking Will Unlock Future Value
Key Takeaways Expansion in fast-growing Southern markets and focus on personalized banking drives robust customer acquisition, supporting strong revenue, loan, and deposit growth even in difficult environments. Talent acquisition from major competitors and ongoing digital investments enhance efficiency and profitability, while regulatory changes may create further growth and consolidation opportunities.
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US$119.67
FV
28.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.39%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
SoftBank Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
AI Initiatives And Partnerships Will Shape Future Opportunities But Could Bring Financial Challenges
Key Takeaways SoftBank's strategic focus on AI, including investments in AI chip design and enterprise systems, aims to significantly increase its revenue and market presence. Enhancing financial stability through IPOs of Vision Fund companies and leveraging project financing could boost earnings and improve net margins.
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JP¥11.10k
FV
4.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.58%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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Profoto Holding
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Shifting Imaging Trends Will Erode Demand Yet Yield Cautious Hope
Key Takeaways Expansion into new markets and products may not offset weakening demand from technological shifts and stagnation in core professional segments, threatening sustained revenue growth. Competitive pressures, shifting customer preferences, and supply chain uncertainties challenge premium positioning and margin improvements, risking future market share and profitability.
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SEK 30.00
FV
27.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.45%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Electromed
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Concentrated Respiratory Care Will Face Hurdles While Sustaining Modest Promise
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on a narrow product focus and limited market expansion could threaten growth if innovation or reimbursement environments shift. Rising costs and increasing competition may outpace revenue gains, creating long-term challenges for sustaining margins and earnings growth.
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US$29.00
FV
37.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.17%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Elders
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Australia's Extreme Weather And Regulations Will Compress Margins
Key Takeaways Extreme weather, regulatory pressures, and rising input costs are set to undermine farm profitability, decreasing spending on Elders' products and driving volatile earnings. Shifting consumer preferences and rapid agri-tech advances threaten Elders' market relevance, sales revenue, and competitive positioning in key agricultural segments.
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AU$6.03
FV
20.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
14.56%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Prosus
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
China, EU And Tencent Risks Will Undermine Digital Platforms
Key Takeaways Heightened regulatory scrutiny and rising digital nationalism threaten Prosus's global scalability, portfolio revenue, and ability to achieve operating leverage and profit expansion. Heavy reliance on Tencent and complex M&A activity increase exposure to concentration, operational, and integration risks, potentially compressing margins and undermining earnings growth.
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€41.58
FV
16.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
15.99%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
dotdigital Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Rising Costs Will Hinder Martech Expansion Yet Spark Recovery
Key Takeaways Rising regulatory costs, intensifying competition, and evolving consumer privacy trends threaten margins, revenue growth, and the effectiveness of dotdigital's digital marketing platform. International expansion and product innovation offer growth opportunities, but bring higher operating risks, customer retention challenges, and increased revenue volatility.
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UK£1.10
FV
34.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.58%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
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