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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
62
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
67
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Go Fashion (India)
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
E-commerce Shift And High Overheads Will Threaten Profitability
Key Takeaways Dependence on physical stores and limited product range leaves the company exposed to digital competition, evolving consumer preferences, and mounting fixed costs. Heightened sustainability scrutiny and intensifying market rivalry could compress margins, undermine growth, and challenge profitability due to cost and demand pressures.
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₹820.00
FV
12.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.89%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
8 days ago
author updated this narrative
ReadyTech Holdings
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Delayed Cloud Transitions Will Impede Profits Yet Spur Recovery
Key Takeaways Persistent integration challenges, regulatory pressures, and delayed government projects threaten cash margins, recurring revenue growth, and long-term earnings stability. The company risks technological obsolescence and competitive pressure as automation and AI adoption in the industry accelerates beyond its current innovation pace.
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AU$3.05
FV
27.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.77%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
8 days ago
author updated this narrative
Ramelius Resources
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
High Real Rates And Decarbonisation Will Crush Gold Margins
Key Takeaways Persistently high interest rates and global green investment shifts may weaken gold demand, increasing Ramelius' financing costs and straining profit margins. Rising mining costs, lower-grade resources, and stricter regulations threaten earnings growth and heighten vulnerability to gold price and market competition.
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AU$2.70
FV
4.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-14.38%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
8 days ago
author updated this narrative
Telkom SA SOC
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Eroding Fixed-Line Revenue And Fierce Competition Will Shrink Margins
Key Takeaways Continued declines in legacy fixed-line revenue and growing competitive pressures threaten margins, while sector-wide fiber uptake and mobile gains are unlikely to offset losses. High capital requirements, inflationary lease expenses, and reduced asset sale benefits constrain cash flow, limiting capacity to fund growth amid market saturation and technological disruption.
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R45.00
FV
30.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.17%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
8 days ago
author updated this narrative
Superior Plus
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Energy Transitions And Regulation Will Dampen Fundamentals Yet Allow Recovery
Key Takeaways Accelerating energy transition, regulatory pressures, and regional concentration threaten long-term revenue stability and margin growth for Superior Plus. Reliance on acquisitions and operational efficiency improvements brings integration risks and limits flexibility amid rising competition and market disruption.
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CA$7.53
FV
8.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.29%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
8 days ago
author updated this narrative
Oxford Instruments
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
US-China Friction And Rising Compliance Costs Will Limit Market Potential
Key Takeaways Export controls, localization, and changing customer preferences threaten market access, revenue stability, and exposure to future growth sectors. Rising compliance costs, funding uncertainties, and increased competition risk continued margin pressures and limit predictable long-term earnings growth.
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UK£18.50
FV
3.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-1.69%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
8 days ago
author updated this narrative
Eurocell
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
UK Headwinds Will Squeeze Margins But Invite Modest Recovery
Key Takeaways Exposure to demographic headwinds, regulatory uncertainty, and reliance on PVC may constrain revenue growth and put pressure on margins despite sustainability initiatives. Acquisitions and new product categories broaden opportunities, but persistent inflation, rising rates, and high fixed costs amplify earnings volatility and downside risk.
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UK£2.10
FV
30.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
10.67%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
8 days ago
author updated this narrative
Cebu Air
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Engine Troubles Will Curb Flights And Philippine Demand Lift Outlook
Key Takeaways Fleet expansion and revenue growth are limited by supply chain disruptions, high modernization costs, and increased short-term financial pressures. Regional competition, regulatory risks, and macroeconomic headwinds threaten to erode long-term cost advantages and constrain profit growth.
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₱45.00
FV
18.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.27%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
8 days ago
author updated this narrative
Capstone Copper
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
Rising Environmental And Regulatory Risks Will Stall Copper Projects
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on large copper projects and limited expansion plans expose Capstone to rising regulatory, environmental, and capital risks, constraining earnings and free cash flow. Geographic concentration and industry-wide resource competition leave Capstone vulnerable to political volatility, weakened pricing power, and long-term profitability stagnation.
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CA$8.22
FV
0.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
16.29%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
8 days ago
author updated this narrative
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