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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings — the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes — including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B — now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling — a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$268.43
FV
27.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
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0
users have commented on this narrative
18
users have followed this narrative
22 days ago
author updated this narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
43.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
18
users have followed this narrative
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
41.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
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Central Depository Services (India)
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Escalating Tech Costs And Regulatory Demands Will Weigh On Margins
Key Takeaways Rising technology and compliance costs are steadily eroding margins, with growing complexity making historical profitability increasingly difficult to sustain. Overdependence on regulated, domestic revenue streams and lagging innovation exposes the company to regulatory shocks and competitive displacement risks.
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₹1.00k
FV
54.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
7.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
BBB Foods
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Rapid Expansion Will Erode Margins Yet Sustain Value
Key Takeaways Aggressive store expansion and tech investments could pressure margins and earnings until operational efficiencies and scale benefits are fully realized. Exposure to low-income consumers and rising compliance and labor costs create earnings volatility and may limit near-term profit growth despite strong demand trends.
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US$28.17
FV
11.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
25.40%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Hapvida Participações e Investimentos
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Rising Litigation And Inflation Will Undermine Brazil Healthcare
Key Takeaways Income inequality, regulatory risks, and medical inflation may restrict revenue growth and compress margins despite rising healthcare demand and digitalization efforts. Operational challenges from M&A integration and slow geographic expansion could hinder anticipated efficiencies and leave the company vulnerable to stagnating membership and revenue.
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R$45.00
FV
28.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.80%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
CD Projekt
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 18 Analysts
Rising Costs And Delays Will Undercut Witcher And Cyberpunk Success
Key Takeaways Dependence on major, infrequent game releases and shifting industry trends threaten revenue stability and growth prospects. Rising costs from labor, platform fees, and capital pressures weigh on margins and future profitability.
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zł95.00
FV
165.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
45.44%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
DEME Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Rising Global Rates And Policy Risks Will Curtail Offshore Orders
Key Takeaways Reliance on large offshore wind projects amid geopolitical, regulatory, and macroeconomic uncertainties exposes DEME to revenue volatility and unpredictable market gaps. Rising competition, potential regulatory changes, and costly technology adoption threaten profitability and could erode margins across core business segments.
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€135.00
FV
1.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.36%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
ASMPT
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Geopolitical Tensions Will Cripple Advanced Packaging Prospects
Key Takeaways Geopolitical risks, volatile supply chains, and market concentration threaten ASMPT's revenue stability and magnify exposure to demand shifts in key customer segments. Intensifying competition, commoditization, and rising operating costs are eroding margins and constrain earnings growth despite ongoing AI-related demand.
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HK$56.60
FV
22.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
8.94%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras - Eletrobrás
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Future Expansion Into Renewables And AI Aims To Improve Efficiency But May Face Financial And Regulatory Risks
Key Takeaways Expansion through auctions and new projects aims to increase revenue and improve margins via efficiency and reliability gains. Focus on increasing consumer base and operational efficiency, with AI integration, is expected to boost earnings and reduce costs.
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R$56.29
FV
26.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
0.61%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Moncler
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 23 Analysts
Opening New Flagships In Shanghai And New York Will Strengthen Global Brand Presence
Key Takeaways Strategic expansion in China and the U.S. aims to boost brand visibility and drive revenue growth in key markets. Emphasis on high-end offerings and digital expansion could enhance net margins and improve operational efficiencies.
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€59.27
FV
19.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.56%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Amundi
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Strong ETF Growth And Global Partnerships Propel Revenue And Earnings Expansion
Key Takeaways Growth in European ETFs and responsible investments could drive future revenue increases by capturing more market share. Strategic geographic expansion and partnerships in Asia suggest revenue growth via increased market penetration and client assets.
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€79.18
FV
18.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-17.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
18
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
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