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Global Weekly Picks
Novo Nordisk
BA
bactrian
Community Contributor
A Quality Compounder Marked Down on Overblown Fears
Novo Nordisk , a global leader in diabetes and obesity treatments, is trading at a deep discount to both its historical multiples and intrinsic value. The ADR is now priced at $47.05 , reflecting a normalized P/E ratio of just 13.4× , down from a five-year average closer to 25–30×.
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US$120.72
FV
57.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
15.71%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
27
users have liked this narrative
8
users have commented on this narrative
76
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
ASML Holding
IN
Investingwilly
Community Contributor
Why Now is the Time to buy ASML
What Does ASML Do? ASML Holding N.V. is a Dutch company and the world’s only supplier of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines —a critical technology used to produce the world’s most advanced computer chips.
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US$1.00k
FV
28.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
15.17%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
35
users have liked this narrative
6
users have commented on this narrative
97
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts
ZW
Zwfis
Community Contributor
Wyndham Continues Global Expansion with 19% Ancillary Revenue Growth
WH is a company that I actually took interest in a couple of months ago when I happened to stay at one of their franchise hotels. I had to leave early in the morning at like 4 and when I went out to the parking lot I was astounded that in the little town I was was absolutely full.
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US$105.80
FV
20.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
13.23%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
7
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
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Walt Disney
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Parks and Resorts Will Transform Disney Into A Tourism Magnet, Drastically Improving Revenue And Margins
Key Takeaways Disney will transform to a tourism-centered company focusing on parks and resorts, a space lacking any serious competition. I expect sales to grow 4.3% over the next 5 years, primarily driven by Parks.
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US$112.22
FV
0.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.30%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
8
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
LYC Healthcare Berhad
ON
Ontological
Community Contributor
Resilience in Healthcare-LYC Healthcare
LYC Healthcare: Progress Amid Challenges LYC Healthcare’s latest Q2 FY2025 results reflect steady progress, with revenue rising 29% year-on-year to RM41.74 million from RM32.01 million. This growth was driven by strong performance in its nutraceutical, clinical, and confinement businesses, alongside contributions from new subsidiaries.
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RM 0.25
FV
92.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.47%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
8 months ago
author updated this narrative
Amazon.com
DR
DrBaraa_Alnahal
Community Contributor
Why Amazon?
Why Amazon? Amazon revolutionized the way consumers shop.
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US$232.22
FV
4.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.49%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
7 months ago
author updated this narrative
Global Payments
MA
Maxell
Community Contributor
Global Payments will reach new heights with a 34% upside potential
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 12-Month Price Target: $142 Current Price: $105.71 Implied Upside: 34.3% Rating: STRONG BUY Risk Assessment: MODERATE INVESTMENT THESIS Global Payments (GPN) presents a compelling investment opportunity at current levels, with three key catalysts driving potential outperformance in 2025: Q4 2024 momentum in Merchant Solutions with strong POS adoption (added ~3,000 new locations) Strategic sale of AdvancedMD for $1.125 billion at attractive multiple with $700M earmarked for shareholder returns Successful integration of EVO Payments enhancing B2B capabilities and geographic reach VALUATION METHODOLOGY Our $142 price target reflects: Forward P/E multiple of 13x (below historical average, reflecting current market dynamics) applied to our 2025 EPS estimate of $10.92 EV/EBITDA multiple of 11x on projected 2025 EBITDA, reflecting recent sector compression DCF analysis using 9.5% WACC (adjusted for higher rate environment) and 3% terminal growth KEY GROWTH DRIVERS Recent Performance Highlights Q3 2024 adjusted net revenue increased 6% to $2.36 billion Adjusted operating margin expanded 40 basis points to 46.1% Added 92 new software partners in Q3, up 60% year-over-year Macro Environment U.S. GDP growth projected at 2.4% for 2025, supporting payment volumes Fed funds rate expected to decrease to 3.88%, reducing funding costs Resilient high-income consumer spending evidenced by recent holiday data RISK FACTORS Near-term margin pressure from technology investments and compensation costs Integration execution risk from recent acquisitions Increasing competition in digital payments space Potential policy changes under new administration FINANCIAL METRICS Key Financial Metrics for Q4 2024E: Revenue Growth: 5-6% Operating Margin: 46.1% EPS Growth: 11-12% Free Cash Flow Conversion: 92% Projected Metrics for 2025E: Revenue Growth: 8-9% Operating Margin: 46.6% EPS Growth: 13-14% Free Cash Flow Conversion: 93% STRATEGIC POSITIONING Recent developments reinforce GPN's leadership in: Integrated payments with strong new partner acquisition B2B payments expansion through EVO integration Software-driven solutions with continued innovation International market penetration RECOMMENDATION RATIONALE Our STRONG BUY recommendation at current price of $105.71 is based on: Current valuation represents significant discount to intrinsic value Strong Q3 2024 execution with improving operating leverage Strategic initiatives creating clearer growth path Robust free cash flow generation supporting shareholder returns
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US$142.00
FV
43.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
13.04%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
22
users have followed this narrative
7 months ago
author updated this narrative
Endeavour Silver
RO
RockeTeller
Community Contributor
If silver reaches $100 per oz
To calculate the stock price of Endeavour Silver if silver reaches $100 per oz, we can follow these steps based on the projected production and valuation metrics: ### Assumptions 1. Production Estimate: 9 million oz annually starting in 2025.
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CA$51.43
FV
85.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
96.89%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
11 months ago
author updated this narrative
Atlassian
FR
FrugalBull
Community Contributor
Enterprise, AI & Cloud Growth Ahead, Waiting For the Right Price 💸
Catalysts AI Integration (Atlassian Intelligence & Rovo) Atlassian is strongly positioned to leverage AI to increase workforce efficiency, particularly in large enterprises and is actively embedding AI across its product suite. In 2024 it introduced Atlassian Rovo , an AI teammate that uses Atlassian’s “teamwork graph” to help enterprise users find information across their tools and act on insights quickly.
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US$204.74
FV
17.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
19.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
10
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
47
users have followed this narrative
5 months ago
author updated this narrative
thyssenkrupp nucera KGaA
CH
Chris1
Community Contributor
Thyssenkrupp Nucera Will Achieve Double-Digit Profits by 2030 Boosted by Hydrogen Growth
EBIT-margin trajectory: Historical: 2.3 % → 3.6 % (FY 22/23) , down to – 2 % (FY 23/24) , back to 3 % in Q1 24/25 Forecast: Gradual recovery to 4–6 % by FY 25/26, reaching 6–8 % by FY 29/30 Revenue growth: Historical: + 70 % (FY 22/23) , + 30 % (FY 23/24) , + 27 % (Q1 24/25) Forecast: ~ 15 % CAGR over the next five years (FY 24/25–29/30) Five-year share-price goal: Current fair value: € 8.5–9.0 per share Five-year target: € 14–15 per share (≈ 1.9 bn EUR market cap) Enterprise value (EV) outlook (DCF-based): Revenues rising to ~ 1.8 bn EUR by FY 29/30 EBIT of ~ 145 m EUR (8 % margin) → NOPAT ~ 102 m EUR FCF margin ~ 5 % → ~ 90 m EUR FCF Terminal-value multiple: EV/FCF = 15 → TV ~ 1.35 bn EUR Discounted EV: ≈ 1.18 bn EUR + net cash 0.69 bn EUR → ≈ 1.87 bn EUR → ~ 14.8 EUR/share Top risks: execution delays, margin pressure from competition, raw-material cost swings, subsidy uncertainty, heavy capex needs Narrative Outlook Over the next five years, thyssenkrupp nucera is poised to leverage its unique position at the intersection of mature Chlor-Alkali expertise and rapid Green-Hydrogen adoption. After a transitional phase in FY 23/24 with negative margins driven by upfront investments, the company’s shift toward series-manufactured AWE modules and high-growth project backlog supports a steady margin recovery.
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€14.40
FV
30.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
15.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
21
users have followed this narrative
3 months ago
author updated this narrative
PDD
PDD Holdings
MA
Maxell
Community Contributor
PDD Holdings will see accelerating growth with a 74% price target increase
Executive Summary Based on exceptional recent execution and accelerating growth metrics, we revise our 12-month price target for PDD Holdings to $165.00, representing approximately 74% upside from the current price of $94.68. Recent Performance Highlights Q3 2024 demonstrated remarkable acceleration across key metrics: Transaction services revenue surged 72% year-over-year, significantly outpacing expectations Operating profit increased 46% to RMB 24.3 billion with expanding margins Net income growth accelerated to 61% year-over-year Cash position strengthened to $44 billion, providing substantial strategic flexibility Key Growth Catalysts International Expansion: Temu's semi-entrusted model showing stronger-than-anticipated margin improvement Geographic footprint expanded to 70+ countries with robust user acquisition metrics Customer acquisition costs decreased 22% quarter-over-quarter Platform Economics: Take rate expanded to 3.8%, demonstrating pricing power Monthly active users exceeded 900 million in Q4 2024 Merchant retention rate stable at 89% despite take rate increases Risk Assessment Near-term Challenges: EU's VLOP designation may require additional compliance investments Potential changes to U.S. de minimis import rules Intensifying competition in cross-border e-commerce Revised Valuation Analysis Given the acceleration in key metrics, we apply a 10x FY2024E EV/EBITDA multiple (up from 8x), still below high-growth internet peers at 12-15x.
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US$165.00
FV
30.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-6.30%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
18
users have followed this narrative
7 months ago
author updated this narrative
DRC Systems India
DI
DineshManoharan
Community Contributor
Potential Multibagger
DRC Systems: Significant Upside Potential (Q3 FY25 - Dec 2024 Analysis) In its recent quarterly report , DRC Systems, a software product company, indicated that it expects to bag "several million dollars" in annual contracts for its newly developed software. Given the nature of the software business—where incremental costs are minimal—this revenue could have a substantial impact on the company's bottom line.
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₹37.00
FV
52.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
27.32%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
5 months ago
author updated this narrative
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