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Global Weekly Picks
Airbnb
TI
TickerTickle
Community Contributor
Airbnb (ABNB): Still one of the most interesting bets in travel
Key insights Airbnb is changing from a travel-only app to a full lifestyle platform (stays, rentals, experiences) International markets are growing faster than the US, which is slowing down Product experience is improving a lot, with AI making search and booking easier Regulations are becoming a big risk, especially in Europe where listings are getting removed The way people move around the world has changed. It’s not only about holidays anymore.
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US$163.75
FV
23.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
11
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
45
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
ING Groep
PI
PittTheYounger
Community Contributor
ING leads the pack when it comes to pivoting towards non-lending income
ING, of course, is a bank; and banks don't like falling interest rates, right? For the dominant stream of income is their core business model, i.e. borrowing short-term and lending long-term, reaping the difference in interest rates in the process.
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€27.92
FV
23.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Coles Group
RO
Robbo
Community Contributor
Coles (ASX: COL): Safe, Steady, and Surprisingly Cheap
The supermarket chain Coles is the kind of “boring” business that may have been overlooked as an investment opportunity. Although it was divested from Wesfarmers in 2018, Coles’ heritage traces back to 1914 — giving it over 110 years of history.
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AU$22.00
FV
4.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
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Napco Security Technologies
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Legacy Hardware Reliance Will Worsen Cybersecurity And Supply Challenges
Key Takeaways Heavy dependence on hardware exposes Napco to obsolescence risk as market shifts toward integrated, software-based security solutions. Intensifying competition, regulatory pressures, and supply chain volatility threaten margins, cost control, and overall profitability.
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US$24.50
FV
24.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.46%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
Arcos Dorados Holdings
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Rising Costs In Brazil Will Constrain Margins Yet Spur Efficiency
Key Takeaways Growth from digital channels and youth demographics is challenged by evolving health trends and rising regulatory risks, potentially limiting revenue and increasing operating costs. Currency instability and fierce competition threaten earnings predictability, while sustainability investments may constrain near-term cash flow and earnings growth.
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US$8.50
FV
13.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.49%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
VSCO
Victoria's Secret
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Mall Dependence And Tariffs Will Erode Retail Viability
Key Takeaways Dependence on mall-based retail and weak digital engagement leave the company exposed to shifting consumer habits and stagnating demand in key markets. Rising competition and cost pressures are reducing pricing power, squeezing margins, and threatening future earnings growth and brand relevance.
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US$14.00
FV
59.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.32%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
Navient
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Shrinking Enrollments And Rising Credit Risks Will Erode Margins
Key Takeaways Declining college enrollment, federal reform uncertainty, and run-off portfolios threaten future loan origination, revenue growth, and overall business stability. Rising competition, higher credit risk, and stagnant wages are likely to erode net interest margins and reduce the company's profitability.
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US$10.09
FV
26.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
7.26%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
Excelerate Energy
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Global LNG Headwinds Will Test Caribbean Expansions While Hope Endures
Key Takeaways Expansion into emerging LNG markets offers growth opportunities but exposes the company to political, regulatory, and energy transition risks that may reduce long-term revenue and utilization. Heavy investment in fleet and technology improves competitiveness but increases exposure to overcapacity, margin compression, and challenges from legacy assets and new industry entrants.
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US$26.00
FV
7.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
13.74%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
GEO Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Political Shifts Will Undermine Detention Demand Yet Deleveraging Offers Relief
Key Takeaways Reliance on government funding and contract expansions is tempered by high execution risks, political shifts, and ongoing criminal justice reform pressures threatening future demand. Expansion into alternatives like electronic monitoring is not fully offsetting core revenue declines, while legal, regulatory, and ESG factors continue to threaten earnings stability.
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US$35.00
FV
40.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
13.09%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
Verint Systems
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Competitive Risks Will Undermine AI Promise Though Gains Will Emerge
Key Takeaways Competitive pressure from tech giants and startups, plus stricter data regulations, threaten Verint's growth, pricing power, and scalability of its analytics platform. High R&D spending and long sales cycles could limit margin expansion, create adoption risks, and increase customer churn if AI results disappoint.
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US$23.00
FV
15.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.96%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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2 days ago
author updated this narrative
MGP Ingredients
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
American Spirits Will Face Pressure As Sustainability Offers Relief
Key Takeaways Premium spirits growth is offset by weakness in value tiers and distilling, with competitive pressures and shifting demand threatening segment revenues and margins. Ingredient Solutions gains from health trends but faces onboarding and export challenges, while structural risks and market shifts limit long-term growth and profitability.
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US$30.00
FV
4.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-4.02%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
PROG Holdings
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Regulation And Rising Consumer Caution Will Sink Leasing Prospects
Key Takeaways Increased consumer awareness and regulatory changes threaten to decrease demand, raise compliance expenses, and limit revenue growth for PROG Holdings' core products. Limited diversification and lagging technological innovation expose the company to concentration risk, volatile earnings, and intensifying competition from fintech and BNPL solutions.
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US$27.02
FV
23.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.62%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
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