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Seattle Expansion And Hawaiian Integration Will Create Lasting Value

Published
26 Jan 25
Updated
04 Oct 25
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$69.93
31.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
04 Oct
US$47.78
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1Y
4.7%
7D
-2.8%

Author's Valuation

US$69.9331.7% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on04 Oct 25
Fair value Decreased 2.00%

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Alaska Air Group, now projecting fair value at approximately $69.93 per share compared to the previous estimate of $71.36. They cite updated forecasts that balance ongoing cost headwinds with optimism for long-term growth and competitive positioning.

Shared on18 Sep 25
Fair value Increased 7.65%

Analysts have raised their price target for Alaska Air Group to $71.36, citing strengthening corporate demand, competitive easing, and long-term earnings tailwinds that outweigh near-term cost headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite accelerating corporate demand and easing competitive pressures as key drivers of improved outlook and de-risked near-term performance.

Shared on03 Sep 25
Fair value Increased 1.64%

Analysts have raised Alaska Air Group’s price target modestly—from $65.21 to $66.29—citing improving demand, a favorable competitive environment, and increased confidence in management’s disciplined handling of strategic changes. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite improving demand trends and favorable competitive capacity developments, boosting confidence in Alaska Air’s forward earnings outlook.

Shared on08 May 25
Fair value Increased 3.11%

Shared on30 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 15%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from 11.6% to 10.0% and decreased future PE multiple from 7.8x to 6.5x.

Shared on23 Apr 25
Fair value Increased 0.47%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on17 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 3.35%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on09 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 18%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased future PE multiple from 9.8x to 8.5x.

Shared on02 Apr 25
Fair value Increased 9.21%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on26 Mar 25
Fair value Decreased 0.93%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on19 Mar 25
Fair value Decreased 1.90%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on11 Mar 25
Fair value Increased 38%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.