Tech U.S. Community
Our community narratives are driven by numbers and valuation.
Tech U.S. Investing Ideas
Is IonQ (IONQ) on Course to Become the "Nvidia of Quantum"?
Following a landmark earnings report, a new "800-pound gorilla" has been uncaged. We analyze the three-part moat that has de-risked IonQ’s "100-Bagger" thesis.Read more
Navigating Tariff Turbulence with Resilience and AI-Driven Growth
As of April 12, 2025, Apple Inc. (AAPL) is navigating a complex landscape marked by significant challenges and resilient strengths.Read more
Scenario: We are approx. at a local bottom, life after the security breach, full recovery within 12-18 months.
Conservative Scenario: On Average for next 5 years (so, next 12 months these might be worse but it will eventually recover and could show these averages over 5 years): 8% yearly Revenue Growth Rate. 22% Margin.Read more
Scenario: 15% yearly Revenue Growth (past 5 years is cumulative 34.4%!), 35% Margin, 10% risk discount.
Conservatively assumes: 15% yearly Revenue Growth Rate (currently 17.22% as of 2025-11-12), assuming demand for network switches eventually tapers off. 35% Net Profit Margin due to increased competition for Market Share, Compensation, R&D, etc (currently a whopping 39.73% as of 2025-11-12).Read more
Good Value for IOT and AI play
Key Takeaways Reached Cashflow profitability in 2023 Strong player in IOT driven by AI Founded 1989. Was around $60 during dot com bubble but has been stagnant since.Read more
Apple: Updates
On 3-11 Apple just unvieled a concert experience with their Apple Vision Pro, proving to millions that they are holding the best technology currently in the market. It may be over-priced but with the technology and security features, it is a Must Have.Read more
SMCI is poised to regain momentum and capture a huge portion of the customized data center solutions space.
Management guidance (FY2025 Q2) -- $23 - $25bn revenue guidance for 2025, and positive about reaching $40bn in revenue for 2026, this is due to the DLC technology (Direct Liquid Cooling) that is expected to be adopted by an estimate of 30% of the new data center space. New Auditor & Special Committee -- After almost a 85% decline in share price after Hidenburg's (short seller) accounting manipulation report on the company, SMCI' has already increased their stock price in more than 200% expecting to release all of their adjusted and revised filings for FY2024 (10-K) and the first two quarters of 2025 (10-Q).Read more
Apple: A Dying Star with an Overpriced Valuation
Intro Apple Inc. (AAPL) has long been one of the most beloved stocks in the market, celebrated for its sleek products and loyal customer base.Read more
The "Porsche" of Internet Switches
<<< To see my other narratives, please scroll up and klick on Tokyo (next to my profile picture) >>> My main narrative for ANET: Young company (founded 2004, IPO 2014), disrupting CISCO in the High Speed Switch Market (for Datacenter, Cloud and AI) Very successful introduction of Fast Internet Switches for Brokerage (High Speed Trading) Internet Speed will continuously increase to meet “tactile internet” capabilities (control robots or vehicles over distance (through internet) with nearly no delay) Perfect fit of Arista HW and Arista SW, as known from Apple devices, leads to high customer satisfaction and customer binding I focus also on: More equity than debt. Ratio is at 0%.Read more
