Overvalued

WB
WBIN
Not Invested
Community Contributor
Published
25 Apr 25
Updated
26 Apr 25
WBIN's Fair Value
US$68.00
92.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
26 Apr
US$131.06
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1Y
122.7%
7D
0.05%

Author's Valuation

US$68.0

92.7% overvalued intrinsic discount

WBIN's Fair Value

Warren Buffett would likely not invest in Twilio Inc. at its current stage. While Twilio has a promising growth trajectory, a moderate competitive moat, and improving management, it falls short of Buffett’s criteria in several key areas:

  • Lack of consistent profitability and predictable earnings.
  • A tech-heavy business model with competitive risks and a less durable moat.
  • A valuation that doesn’t offer a clear margin of safety.
  • A fast-evolving industry that may feel too speculative for Buffett’s long-term, value-driven approach.

Buffett might reconsider if Twilio achieves sustained GAAP profitability, strengthens its moat, or trades at a significantly lower valuation. For now, it’s more suited to growth-oriented investors than Buffett’s conservative, value-focused strategy. For real-time stock data or further analysis, check platforms like Yahoo Finance or Twilio’s Investor Relations.

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Disclaimer

The user WBIN holds no position in NYSE:TWLO. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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