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AI-Driven Telematics Will Transform Under-Penetrated Commercial Vehicle Markets

Published
19 Mar 25
Updated
19 Sep 25
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$48.20
21.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
19 Sep
US$38.02
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1Y
-20.0%
7D
-5.1%

Author's Valuation

US$48.2

21.1% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on19 Sep 25
Fair value Increased 1.58%

Samsara's price target was revised upward as bullish analysts cited strong Net New ARR momentum, improved enterprise traction, robust recurring revenue growth, and expanding margins, while bears pointed to rising competition and macro risks; as a result, the consensus fair value increased slightly from $47.45 to $48.20. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight strong acceleration in Net New ARR, notably outperforming expectations with improved momentum in large enterprise accounts and resulting upward revision of revenue and free cash flow guidance.

Shared on04 Sep 25

Despite ongoing digitization and innovation supporting Samsara’s long-term outlook, near-term headwinds from elongated deal cycles and macroeconomic uncertainty, along with concentrated exposure to GDP-sensitive sectors, have led analysts to maintain the consensus price target unchanged at $47.45. Analyst Commentary Ongoing digitization of physical operations and a strong pace of innovation are seen as long-term growth drivers, but near-term demand is impacted by elongating deal cycles and macroeconomic uncertainty.

Shared on01 May 25
Fair value Increased 0.11%

Shared on24 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 0.82%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on17 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 2.15%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on09 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on02 Apr 25
Fair value Increased 4.49%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on26 Mar 25
Fair value Decreased 4.22%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.