Published

29 Mar 26

Updated

01 Aug 26

Views

12.1k

Invested

Fair Value

US$397.41

Share price01 Aug

US$483.2421.6% overvalued

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1Y-4.73%

7D-2.45%

Everyone's Terrified Microsoft Will Keep Spending. I'm Terrified They'll Stop.

TR

Software engineer and investor. I write fundamental deep-dives on AU and US tech stocks, with the edge of using the tools I analyse daily. Focused on long-term value, not momentum. Also a property investor.

Published

29 Mar 26

Updated

01 Aug 26

Views

12.1k

Invested

Shared on 01 Aug 26

Fair value Decreased 15%

Microsoft Made $26.7 Billion More and Brought Home Less Cash. The Stock Jumped 15% in a Single Day.

Microsoft posts a blowout year in sales and cloud growth, but the cash it actually brings home shrinks as spending on data centers and long-term leasing ramps up. The results highlight a new tension: the business looks stronger, yet the shares now rely on unusually high profits holding up even as the bill for all that new capacity starts to hit.

137 views

Shared on 02 May 26

Fair value Increased 18%

Microsoft Just Had a Quarter for the History Books. I Still Haven't Bought a Share.

Microsoft posts a blowout quarter and shows a massive pile of future business already signed, but the company also ramps up spending even further to keep up with demand. A key partnership shifts in a way that slightly weakens Microsoft’s edge, so the stock still doesn’t look cheap enough to buy with confidence.

511 views

Fair Value vs Share Price

US$397.41

vs US$483.2421.6% overvalued

6.9%

Revenue growth

46%

Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

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Company analysis

Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.

Market capUS$3.6t

PB8.1x

Estimated Growth15.3%

Dividend Yield0.8%

CEO & management

Satya Nadella

CEO

6.1yrs

CEO Tenure

A technology company, develops and supports a portfolio of technology solutions for individuals and businesses worldwide.