Stimulus Linkage: Consumer subsidies and employment targets (12 million urban jobs)[1] bolster discretionary spending.
- JD.com
- 2025 Projections: Revenue growth of 12-15% YoY[7], driven by appliance subsidies and food delivery expansion; net margin to 3.6-4.0%[11].
- 5-Year Outlook: CAGR of 10-12% as rural penetration deepens; margin expansion to 4.5% via logistics efficiency[7][11].
- Alibaba
- 2025 Projections: Revenue growth of 5-7%[12], lagging PDD and JD.com due to slower cloud recovery; margins pressured at ~15%[12].
- 5-Year Outlook: Turnaround contingent on global e-commerce and AI adoption; margins at 16-18% if monetization improves[12].
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