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Exciting Times Ahead as JD.com Projects 12% Revenue Growth by 2025

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stimpackNot Invested
Community Contributor
Published
07 Mar 25
Updated
07 Mar 25
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stimpack's Fair Value
US$82.68
49.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
07 Mar
US$41.58
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1Y
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7D
-1.6%

Author's Valuation

US$82.7

49.7% undervalued intrinsic discount

stimpack's Fair Value

Stimulus Linkage: Consumer subsidies and employment targets (12 million urban jobs)[1] bolster discretionary spending.

  • JD.com
  • 2025 Projections: Revenue growth of 12-15% YoY[7], driven by appliance subsidies and food delivery expansion; net margin to 3.6-4.0%[11].
  • 5-Year Outlook: CAGR of 10-12% as rural penetration deepens; margin expansion to 4.5% via logistics efficiency[7][11].
  • Alibaba
  • 2025 Projections: Revenue growth of 5-7%[12], lagging PDD and JD.com due to slower cloud recovery; margins pressured at ~15%[12].
  • 5-Year Outlook: Turnaround contingent on global e-commerce and AI adoption; margins at 16-18% if monetization improves[12].

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Disclaimer

The user stimpack holds no position in NasdaqGS:JD. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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US$55.07
FV
24.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
6.53%
Revenue growth p.a.
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