Spotify Technology

GDPR And AI Commoditization Will Erode Fundamentals

AN

AnalystLowTarget

Not Invested

Community Contributor

Published

08 Jun 25

Updated

16 Jun 26

Views

113

16 Jun

US$468.08

AnalystLowTarget's Fair Value

US$475.84

1.6% undervalued

1Y

-34.1%

7D

-3.7%

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1Y

-34.1%

7D

-3.7%

You can edit this narrative until Jun 17 1:10 AM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$475.841.6% undervalued

AnalystLowTarget Fair Value

Shared on 16 Jun 26

Fair value Decreased 17%

SPOT: AI Personalization And Pricing Tests Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile

Spotify leans into smarter listening features, new paid options, and fresh music and live-event deals to keep fans engaged and unlock new ways to make money. But early pricing tests show some customers push back, raising the stakes on whether these new ideas can pay off without slowing subscriber growth.

3 views

Shared on 06 Jan 26

Fair value Increased 0.32%

SPOT: Pricing Power And AI Collaboration Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price targets for Spotify higher, citing a supportive mix of pricing power, a constructive view on music industry economics, and a willingness to underwrite a richer future P/E multiple of around 38.7x. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify reflects a mix of enthusiasm for the business model and pricing potential alongside debate over how much optimism is already reflected in the share price.

42 views

Shared on 14 Dec 25

Fair value Increased 6.98%

SPOT: Pricing Power And AI Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward Outlook

Our fair value estimate for Spotify Technology has been raised by about $37 to roughly $569 per share, as analysts grow more confident in accelerating revenue growth, expanding profit margins, and the earnings power implied by recent price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Spotify highlights a mix of optimism around pricing power, product innovation, and artificial intelligence, alongside a more measured tone on valuation and execution risk.

10 views

Valuator

Company Info

Notes

AnalystLowTarget Fair Value

US$475.84

1.6% undervalued

Future estimation in

Revenue

Profit Margin

Future PE

Growth p.a.

%

Decrease

Increase

Forecast revenue growth rate

11.83%

Historical revenue growth rate

14.76%

Entertainment revenue growth rate

0.33%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

8.38%

Calculation

€3.95b

Earnings '29

x

27.12x

PE Ratio '29

=

€107.17b

Market Cap '29

€107.17b

Market Cap '29

/

205.15m

No. shares '29

=

€522.40

Share Price '29

€522.40 Share Price '29

Discounted to 2026 @ 8.39% p.a.

=

€410.21

Fair Value '26

€410.21 Fair Value '26

Converted to USD @ 1.1592 EUR/USD Exchange Rate

=

US$475.50

Fair Value '26