Dashboard
Portfolios
Watchlist
Community
Discover
Screener
Narratives
Your Valuation
Loading...
Community
/
United States
/
Media
/
Netflix
Create a narrative
Netflix Community
NasdaqGS:NFLX Community
6
Narratives
written by author
9
Comments
on narratives written by author
688
Fair Values set
on narratives written by author
Community Investing Ideas
Netflix
Popular
Undervalued
Overvalued
Netflix
JO
Jonh
Community Contributor
Netflix Will Boost Revenue by 22% with Ad-Supported Tiers and Gaming Strategy
Key Takeaways Strategic investments in diverse content, ad-supported tiers, and live events support subscriber growth, retention, and revenue enhancement. Video game strategy leveraging existing IP aims to increase engagement, acquisition, and growth in the gaming market.
View narrative
US$1.17k
FV
3.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
12.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
Netflix
RI
Richard_Bowman
Equity Analyst and Writer
Scale, Operating Leverage And Ad Plans Will Drive EPS Growth
Key Takeaways Netflix ad-supported plans will drive new revenue Revenue per user will decrease in short term from ad plans, but increase longer term Margins will continue to improve as costs grow slower than revenue (operating leverage) User growth expected from password sharing crackdown I believe these 3 catalysts will result in $52bn in revenue and $12.5bn profit by 2028 Catalysts Industry Catalysts There is Room For More Than One Streaming Platform The video streaming industry has become very competitive, and the market has been hyper focused on the question of “who will win the streaming war.” I don’t think this is a winner takes all situation, and there is room for a handful of platforms. There are pros and cons to each platform and many households end up subscribing to two or three platforms.
View narrative
US$936.00
FV
29.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
11.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
11
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
21
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Netflix
MI
MichaelP
Content Lead
Industry Consolidation and Internal Initiatives Will Support Subscriber growth
Key Takeaways Possible consolidation in the streaming market will benefit NFLX with better negotiating leverage Internal initiatives of ad-plans and paid sharing will drive user and revenue growth ARPM will increase due to future price increases and advertising revenue Advertising dollars will transition from Cable TV to NFLX as its ad-supported members base grows Discipline on content costs will increase net margins and push future earnings and cash flows higher Catalysts Industry Catalysts Consolidation Of Content In The Streaming Market After 25 years of expensive growth, Netflix has now become the most dominant, profitable streaming player in the world. With 238m subscribers, trailing 12 month revenues of $32bn and cash flows of $4.6bn (all as of June 30 2023), the company has reached scale economics that allow the streaming model to work profitably.
View narrative
US$797.74
FV
51.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
13.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
20
users have liked this narrative
6
users have commented on this narrative
28
users have followed this narrative
9 months ago
author updated this narrative
Netflix
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 40 Analysts
Global Content And AI Will Redefine Streaming Experience
Key Takeaways Accelerated global ad suite roll-out, AI-powered personalization, and local content expansion position Netflix for outsized subscriber growth, engagement, and profit margin improvement. Advanced live, interactive programming and industry shifts to streaming will drive major new audience segments, boosting engagement and long-term revenue opportunities.
View narrative
US$1.60k
FV
24.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.29%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
Netflix
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 40 Analysts
Global Ad Tech Rollout Will Spark Future Prosperity
Key Takeaways Launch of proprietary ad tech and strong international partnerships drive monetization, market penetration, and support robust subscriber and revenue growth. Investing in diverse, localized content and advanced AI-driven user experiences boosts engagement, retention, and operational efficiencies, improving margins despite rising competition.
View narrative
US$1.35k
FV
10.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.51%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
139
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
Netflix
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 40 Analysts
Escalating Content Costs And Regulatory Burdens Will Weigh On Margins
Key Takeaways Escalating content costs and competition threaten profit margins, while regulatory and operational pressures are set to further erode Netflix's long-term earnings potential. Slowing subscriber growth and rising consumer price sensitivity, amid fierce competition and alternative entertainment, increase churn risk and undermine future revenue expansion.
View narrative
US$984.24
FV
22.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
11.56%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
9 days ago
author updated this narrative
Your Valuation for
NFLX
NFLX
Netflix
Your Fair Value
US$
Current Price
US$1.21k
10.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
Growth estimate over
Annual revenue growth rate
5 Years
time period
%/yr
Decrease
Increase
Past
Future
0
70b
2015
2018
2021
2024
2025
2027
2030
Revenue US$69.8b
Earnings US$17.2b
Advanced
Set Fair Value