Match Group

Match Group Stock: Dating Apps in the Age of Fatigue, AI, and Accountability

yiannisz

Not Invested

Community Contributor

Published

30 Dec 25

Updated

30 Jan 26

Views

30 Jan

US$35.80

yiannisz's Fair Value

US$34.51

3.7% overvalued

22.6%

1.1%

22.6%

1.1%

You can edit this narrative until Jan 31 4:40 PM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$34.513.7% overvalued

yiannisz's Fair Value

Shared on 30 Jan 26

Match Group Stock: Dating Apps in the Age of Fatigue, AI, and Accountability

Match Group (NASDAQ: MTCH) owns some of the most recognizable brands in online dating, including Tinder, Hinge, and OkCupid. For years, growth was driven by a simple formula: more smartphones, more users, more subscriptions.

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Valuator

Company Info

Notes

yiannisz'sFair Value

US$34.51

3.7% overvalued

Future estimation in

Revenue

Profit Margin

Future PE

Growth p.a.

Decrease

Increase

Forecast revenue growth rate

3.96%

Historical revenue growth rate

5.11%

Interactive Media and Services revenue growth rate

0.63%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

10.06%

Calculation

US$707.43m

Earnings '30

13.60x

PE Ratio '30

US$9.62b

Market Cap '30

US$9.62b

Market Cap '30

175.72m

No. shares '30

US$54.76

Share Price '30

US$54.76 Share Price '30

Discounted to 2025 @ 9.68% p.a.

US$34.51

Fair Value '25