Graphic Packaging Holding

Analysts Signal Caution on Graphic Packaging Holding Amid Lowered Price Targets and Softer Market Conditions

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

27 Aug 24

Updated

04 Dec 25

n/a

n/a

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

-47.0%

7D

-2.6%

Loading

1Y

-47.0%

7D

-2.6%

You can edit this narrative until Dec 5 8:05 PM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$19.8921.7% undervalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 04 Dec 25

Fair value Decreased 0.73%

GPK: Operational Discipline Will Support Upside Despite Softer Packaging Demand

Analysts modestly reduced their price target on Graphic Packaging Holding by about $0.15 per share to reflect slightly lower fair value estimates and softer containers and packaging market conditions that have led to recent target cuts from $23 to $24 to around $20 to $21. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more cautious stance on Graphic Packaging Holding, with modestly lower price targets signaling tempered expectations for upside in the near term.

Shared on 20 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 12%

GPK: Operational Discipline Will Drive Resilience Amid Changing Market Conditions

Analysts have lowered their price target for Graphic Packaging Holding by nearly $3 to $20 per share. They cite reduced estimates and softer market conditions in the packaging industry.

Shared on 05 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 1.57%

GPK: Cost Controls And Market Stability Will Support Long-Term Upside

The analyst price target for Graphic Packaging Holding has recently decreased, dropping by over $1 to reflect a new range near $21. Analysts cite softer market conditions and revised sector estimates as key factors.

Shared on 22 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 7.20%

Analysts have lowered their price targets for Graphic Packaging Holding by several dollars. This reflects more cautious expectations due to ongoing softer market conditions in the packaging industry.

Shared on 08 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 2.92%

Analysts have lowered their price target for Graphic Packaging Holding from $25.70 to $24.95, citing expectations for softer market conditions as well as a modest reduction in revenue growth and profit margin forecasts. Analyst Commentary Analysts have issued mixed commentary following the recent price target adjustments for Graphic Packaging Holding.

Shared on 07 May 25

Fair value Decreased 12%

Shared on 30 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 1.55%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 0.57%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 17 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 0.30%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 1.52%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from 1.8% to 1.5%.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 2.07%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 0.29%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 20%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from 2.1% to 1.9%.

Shared on 10 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 1.21%

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

US$19.89

21.7% undervalued

Future estimation in

% p.a.

0

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

0.96%

Packaging revenue growth rate

0.14%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

8.73%

Calculation

US$582.04m

Earnings '28

x

12.25x

PE Ratio '28

=

US$7.13b

Market Cap '28

US$7.13b

Market Cap '28

/

280.36m

No. shares '28

=

US$25.42

Share Price '28

US$25.42 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 8.57% p.a.

=

US$19.87

Fair Value '25